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Journal ArticleDOI

Fewer butterflies seen by community scientists across the warming and drying landscapes of the American West

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TLDR
The authors found a 1.6% annual reduction in the number of individual butterflies observed over the past four decades, associated in particular with warming during fall months, and suggested that a new approach is needed for butterfly conservation in the region, focused on suites of species with shared habitat or host associations.
Abstract
Uncertainty remains regarding the role of anthropogenic climate change in declining insect populations, partly because our understanding of biotic response to climate is often complicated by habitat loss and degradation among other compounding stressors. We addressed this challenge by integrating expert and community scientist datasets that include decades of monitoring across more than 70 locations spanning the western United States. We found a 1.6% annual reduction in the number of individual butterflies observed over the past four decades, associated in particular with warming during fall months. The pervasive declines that we report advance our understanding of climate change impacts and suggest that a new approach is needed for butterfly conservation in the region, focused on suites of species with shared habitat or host associations.

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Citations
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Scientists' warning on climate change and insects

TL;DR: In this paper , the authors considered that climate warming is among the most serious of anthropogenic stresses to the environment, because it not only has direct effects on biodiversity but also has indirect effects on humans.
Journal ArticleDOI

The complexity of global change and its effects on insects.

TL;DR: The complexity and uncertainty of indirect, non-additive and combined effects of global change have been explored in this article, which argues for renewed efforts to address the fundamental drivers of global changes.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Inference from Iterative Simulation Using Multiple Sequences

TL;DR: The focus is on applied inference for Bayesian posterior distributions in real problems, which often tend toward normal- ity after transformations and marginalization, and the results are derived as normal-theory approximations to exact Bayesian inference, conditional on the observed simulations.
BookDOI

An introduction to statistical learning

TL;DR: An introduction to statistical learning provides an accessible overview of the essential toolset for making sense of the vast and complex data sets that have emerged in science, industry, and other sectors in the past twenty years.
Journal ArticleDOI

More than 75 percent decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas.

TL;DR: This analysis estimates a seasonal decline of 76%, and mid-summer decline of 82% in flying insect biomass over the 27 years of study, and shows that this decline is apparent regardless of habitat type, while changes in weather, land use, and habitat characteristics cannot explain this overall decline.
Journal ArticleDOI

REVIEW: An overview of the environmental risks posed by neonicotinoid insecticides

TL;DR: Major knowledge gaps remain, but current use of neonicotinoids is likely to be impacting on a broad range of non-target taxa including pollinators and soil and aquatic invertebrates and hence threatens a range of ecosystem services.
Book

Bayesian Population Analysis using WinBUGS: A Hierarchical Perspective

Marc Kéry, +1 more
TL;DR: Includes complete documentation of all R and WinBUGS code required to conduct analyses and shows all the necessary steps from having the data in a text file out of Excel to interpreting and processing the output from WinBUGs in R.
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