Forecasting australian macroeconomic variables using a large dataset
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Citations
Review of the Australian Economy 2009–10: On the Road to Recovery
Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models
Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic variables, evaluating innovations state space approaches
References
A Comparison of the Forecasting Ability of ECM and VAR Models
Forecasting Some Low-Predictability Time Series Using Diffusion Indices
Forecasting Vector Autoregressions with Bayesian Priors
Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts
Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic variables, evaluating innovations state space approaches
Related Papers (5)
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Frequently Asked Questions (5)
Q2. What are the future works mentioned in the paper "Forecasting australian macroeconomic variables using a large dataset" ?
17 To improve the forecasting performance of the di¤usion index approach, further research is needed regarding the construction of straightforward methods for ltering large datasets in a manner conducive to obtaining forecast improvements.
Q3. Why are the multivariate and AR approaches chosen as popular forecasting tools?
The AR and multivariate approaches are chosen as popular single equation forecasting methods, while the VAR and BVAR methods are chosen due to their popularity as macroeconomic forecasting tools.
Q4. Why are some variables omitted from the Australian Treasury forecast?
Some variables used by the Australian Treasury have been omitted due to their inappropriateness for forecasting purposes (such as dummy or trend variables) or their perfect correlation with existing variables in the set.
Q5. What is the reason for the weaker performance of the diusion index approach?
A possible reason for the weaker performance of the di¤usion index approach in this paper may be the number of time-dependent observations, since both the factor estimates F and the loadings are sensitive to T .