Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States
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"Global and Regional Sea Level Rise ..." refers background in this paper
...…would be more of a consequence to RSL near the ice source (Mitrovica et al., 2011) and generally not an issue for most of the U.S. Thermal expansion and ocean dynamics were based on a distribution constructed from the CMIP5 ensemble of global climate model projections (Taylor et al., 2012)....
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6,169 citations
"Global and Regional Sea Level Rise ..." refers background in this paper
...These emissions pathways are represented by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (van Vuuren et al., 2011)....
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...Specifically, several recent studies have provided probabilistic projections of the extent of future 13 GMSL rise conditional on forcing from the RCPs (van Vuuren et al., 2011)....
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2,160 citations
"Global and Regional Sea Level Rise ..." refers background in this paper
...These effects can be significant; for instance, in some GIA models (e.g., Peltier, 2004), SSH fall offsets about one-third of the RSL rise caused by land subsidence in New York City....
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1,813 citations
"Global and Regional Sea Level Rise ..." refers background in this paper
...The Parris et al. scenarios initially served as input into the Third NCA (NCA3; Melillo et al., 2014), but have since been taken up in a variety of assessment, planning, and decision-making processes at the Federal, state, and local level (e.g., USACE, 2014), illustrating the clear demand for such information, even when available only for GMSL....
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...Today, millions of people in the United States already live in areas at risk of coastal flooding, with more moving to the coasts every year (Melillo et al., 2014)....
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...To ensure consistency with these recent updates to the peer-reviewed scientific literature, we recommend a revised ‘extreme’ upper-bound scenario for GMSL rise of 2.5 m by the year 2100, which is 0.5 m higher than the upper bound scenario from Parris et al. (2012) employed by the Third NCA (NCA3)....
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...Their scenario set, which was developed to support NCA3 (Melillo et al., 2014), was not intended to provide probabilistic prediction of future changes....
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...The Parris et al. scenarios initially served as input into the Third NCA (NCA3; Melillo et al., 2014), but have since been taken up in a variety of assessment, planning, and decision-making processes at the Federal, state, and local level (e.g., USACE, 2014), illustrating the clear demand for such…...
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