Global urbanization projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Leiwen Jiang,Brian C. O'Neill +1 more
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In this paper, the authors present a new, long-term, global set of urbanization projections at country level that cover a plausible range of uncertainty, which can be extended to further elaborate assumptions about the styles of urban growth and spatial distributions of urban people and land cover occurring in each SSP.Citations
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The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
Keywan Riahi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Elmar Kriegler,Jae Edmonds,Brian C. O'Neill,Shinichiro Fujimori,Nico Bauer,Katherine Calvin,Rob Dellink,Oliver Fricko,Wolfgang Lutz,Alexander Popp,Jesus Crespo Cuaresma,Samir Kc,Samir Kc,Marian Leimbach,Leiwen Jiang,Tom Kram,Shilpa Rao,Johannes Emmerling,Kristie L. Ebi,Tomoko Hasegawa,Petr Havlik,Florian Humpenöder,Lara Aleluia Da Silva,Steve Smith,Elke Stehfest,Valentina Bosetti,Valentina Bosetti,Jiyong Eom,Jiyong Eom,David E.H.J. Gernaat,Toshihiko Masui,Joeri Rogelj,Jessica Strefler,Laurent Drouet,Volker Krey,Gunnar Luderer,Mathijs Harmsen,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Lavinia Baumstark,Jonathan C. Doelman,Mikiko Kainuma,Zbigniew Klimont,Giacomo Marangoni,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Michael Obersteiner,Andrzej Tabeau,Massimo Tavoni,Massimo Tavoni +50 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications, and find that associated costs strongly depend on three factors: (1) the policy assumptions, (2) the socioeconomic narrative, and (3) the stringency of the target.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
Brian C. O'Neill,Claudia Tebaldi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Veronika Eyring,Pierre Friedlingstein,George C. Hurtt,Reto Knutti,Elmar Kriegler,Jean-Francois Lamarque,Jason Lowe,Gerald A. Meehl,Richard H. Moss,Keywan Riahi,Keywan Riahi,Benjamin M. Sanderson +15 more
TL;DR: The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) as discussed by the authors is the primary activity within Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Comparison Project (CMIP6) that will provide multi-model climate projections based on alternative scenarios of future emissions and land use changes produced with integrated assessment models.
Journal ArticleDOI
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Kristie L. Ebi,Eric Kemp-Benedict,Keywan Riahi,Dale S. Rothman,Bas van Ruijven,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Joern Birkmann,Kasper Kok,Marc A. Levy,William Solecki +12 more
TL;DR: The SSP narratives as discussed by the authors is a set of five qualitative descriptions of future changes in demographics, human development, economy and lifestyle, policies and institutions, technology, and environment and natural resources, which can serve as a basis for integrated scenarios of emissions and land use, as well as climate impact, adaptation and vulnerability analyses.
Journal ArticleDOI
Six transformations to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals
Jeffrey D. Sachs,Guido Schmidt-Traub,Mariana Mazzucato,Dirk Messner,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Johan Rockström +5 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce six SDG Transformations as modular building-blocks of SDG achievement: education, gender and inequality; health, well-being and demography; energy decarbonization and sustainable industry; sustainable food, land, water and oceans; sustainable cities and communities; and digital revolution for sustainable development.
Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg,Daniela Jacob,Marco Bindi,Sally Brown,I. A. Camilloni,Arona Diedhiou,Riyanti Djalante,Kristie L. Ebi,Francois Engelbrecht,Joel Guiot,Yasuaki Hijioka,S. Mehrotra,Antony J. Payne,Sonia I. Seneviratne,Adelle Thomas,Rachel Warren,G. Zhou,Sharina Abdul Halim,Michelle Achlatis,Lisa V. Alexander,Myles R. Allen,Peter Berry,Christopher Boyer,Edward Byers,Lorenzo Brilli,Marcos Silveira Buckeridge,William W. L. Cheung,Marlies Craig,Neville Ellis,Jason P. Evans,Hubertus Fischer,Klaus Fraedrich,Sabine Fuss,Anjani Ganase,Jean-Pierre Gattuso,Peter Greve,Tania Guillén Bolaños,Naota Hanasaki,Tomoko Hasegawa,Katie Hayes,Annette L. Hirsch,Chris D. Jones,Thomas Jung,Markku Kanninen,Gerhard Krinner,David M. Lawrence,Timothy M. Lenton,Debora Ley,Diana Liverman,Natalie M. Mahowald,Kathleen L. McInnes,Katrin J. Meissner,Richard J. Millar,Katja Mintenbeck,Daniel M. Mitchell,Alan C. Mix,Dirk Notz,Leonard Nurse,Andrew Emmanuel Okem,Lennart Olsson,Michael Oppenheimer,Shlomit Paz,Juliane Petersen,Jan Petzold,Swantje Preuschmann,Mohammad Feisal Rahman,Joeri Rogelj,Hanna Scheuffele,Carl-Friedrich Schleussner,Daniel Scott,Roland Séférian,Jana Sillmann,Chandni Singh,Raphael Slade,Kimberly Stephenson,Tannecia S. Stephenson,Mouhamadou Bamba Sylla,Mark Tebboth,Petra Tschakert,Robert Vautard,Richard Wartenburger,Michael Wehner,Nora Marie Weyer,Felicia S. Whyte,Gary W. Yohe,Xuebin Zhang,Robert B. Zougmoré +86 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a survey of women's sportswriters in South Africa and Ivory Coast, including: Marco Bindi (Italy), Sally Brown (UK), Ines Camilloni (Argentina), Arona Diedhiou (Ivory Coast/Senegal), Riyanti Djalante (Japan/Indonesia), Kristie L. Ebi (USA), Francois Engelbrecht (South Africa), Joel Guiot (France), Yasuaki Hijioka (Japan), Shagun Mehrotra (USA/India), Ant
References
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The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TL;DR: A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.
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Global Change and the Ecology of Cities
Nancy B. Grimm,Stanley H. Faeth,Nancy Golubiewski,Charles L. Redman,Jianguo Wu,Xuemei Bai,John M. Briggs +6 more
TL;DR: Urban ecology integrates natural and social sciences to study these radically altered local environments and their regional and global effects of an increasingly urbanized world.
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Travel and the Built Environment
Reid Ewing,Robert Cervero +1 more
TL;DR: A meta-analysis of the built environment-travel literature existing at the end of 2009 is conducted in order to draw generalizable conclusions for practice, and finds that vehicle miles traveled is most strongly related to measures of accessibility to destinations and secondarily to street network design variables.
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The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones:
TL;DR: In this article, the authors undertake the first global review of the population and urban settlement patterns in the Low Elevation Coastal Zone (LECZ), defined as the contiguous area along the coast that is less than 10 meters above sea level.
Journal ArticleDOI
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Kristie L. Ebi,Stephane Hallegatte,Timothy R. Carter,Ritu Mathur,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +8 more
TL;DR: A conceptual framework for how to define and develop a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for use within the scenario framework for climate change research is proposed.
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