Increasing freshwater and dissolved organic carbon flows to Northwest Alaska’s Elson lagoon
About: This article is published in Environmental Research Letters.The article was published on 2021-10-12 and is currently open access. It has received 2 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Dissolved organic carbon & Permafrost.
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TL;DR: The Water Balance Model (WBM) as mentioned in this paper is a process-based gridded global hydrologic model that simulates the land surface components of the global water cycle and includes water extraction for use in agriculture and domestic sectors.
Abstract: Abstract. This paper describes the University of New Hampshire Water Balance Model, WBM, a process-based gridded global hydrologic model that simulates the land surface components of the global water cycle and includes water extraction for use in agriculture and domestic sectors. The WBM
was first published in 1989; here, we describe the first fully open-source
WBM version (v.1.0.0). Earlier descriptions of WBM methods provide the foundation for the most recent model version that is detailed here. We present an overview of the
model functionality, utility, and evaluation of simulated global river
discharge and irrigation water use. This new version adds a novel suite of
water source tracking modules that enable the analysis of flow-path histories on water supply. A key feature of WBM v.1.0.0 is the ability to identify the partitioning of sources for each stock or flux within the model. Three different categories of tracking are available: (1) primary inputs of water to the surface of the terrestrial hydrologic cycle (liquid precipitation, snowmelt, glacier melt, and unsustainable groundwater); (2) water that has been extracted for human use and returned to the terrestrial hydrologic system; and (3) runoff originating from user-defined spatial land units. Such component tracking provides a more fully transparent model in that users can identify the underlying mechanisms generating the simulated behavior. We find that WBM v.1.0.0 simulates global river discharge and irrigation water withdrawals well, even with default parameter settings, and for the first time, we are able to show how the simulation arrives at these fluxes by using the novel tracking functions.
2 citations
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01 Jan 1948
TL;DR: The measurement of rank correlation was introduced in this paper, and rank correlation tied ranks tests of significance were applied to the problem of m ranking, and variate values were used to measure rank correlation.
Abstract: The measurement of rank correlation introduction to the general theory of rank correlation tied ranks tests of significance proof of the results of chapter 4 the problem of m ranking proof of the result of chapter 6 partial rank correlation ranks and variate values proof of the result of chapter 9 paired comparisons proof of the results of chapter 11 some further applications.
6,404 citations
TL;DR: The problem of testing the errors for independence forms the subject of this paper and its successor and deals mainly with the theory on which the test is based, while the second paper describes the test procedures in detail and gives tables of bounds to the significance points of the test criterion adopted.
Abstract: A great deal of use has undoubtedly been made of least squares regression methods in circumstances in which they are known to be inapplicable. In particular, they have often been employed for the analysis of time series and similar data in which successive observations are serially correlated. The resulting complications are well known and have recently been studied from the standpoint of the econometrician by Cochrane & Orcutt (1949). A basic assumption underlying the application of the least squares method is that the error terms in the regression model are independent. When this assumption—among others—is satisfied the procedure is valid whether or not the observations themselves are serially correlated. The problem of testing the errors for independence forms the subject of this paper and its successor. The present paper deals mainly with the theory on which the test is based, while the second paper describes the test procedures in detail and gives tables of bounds to the significance points of the test criterion adopted. We shall not be concerned in either paper with the question of what should be done if the test gives an unfavourable result.
3,630 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the magnitude, spatial distribution, and seasonality of the surface warming in the Arctic is examined and compared among the models, and it is found that the mean sea-ice state in the control (or present) climate is found to influence both the magnitude and spatial distribution of the high-latitude warming in models.
Abstract: The Northern Hemisphere polar amplification of climate change is documented in models taking part in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project and in the new version of the Community Climate System Model. In particular, the magnitude, spatial distribution, and seasonality of the surface warming in the Arctic is examined and compared among the models. The range of simulated polar warming in the Arctic is from 1.5 to 4.5 times the global mean warming. While ice-albedo feedback is likely to account for much of the polar amplification, the strength of the feedback depends on numerous physical processes and parametrizations which differ considerably among the models. Nonetheless, the mean sea-ice state in the control (or present) climate is found to influence both the magnitude and spatial distribution of the high-latitude warming in the models. In particular, the latitude of the maximum warming is correlated inversely and significantly with sea-ice extent in the control climate. Additionally, models with relatively thin Arctic ice cover in the control climate tend to have higher polar amplification. An intercomparison of model results also shows that increases in poleward ocean heat transport at high latitudes and increases in polar cloud cover are significantly correlated to amplified Arctic warming. This suggests that these changes in the climate state may modify polar amplification. No significant correlation is found between polar amplification and the control climate continental ice and snow cover.
1,125 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that surface-based Arctic amplification is largely driven by loss of the sea ice cover, allowing for strong heat transfers from the ocean to the atmosphere.
Abstract: . Rises in surface and lower troposphere air temperatures through the 21st century are projected to be especially pronounced over the Arctic Ocean during the cold season. This Arctic amplification is largely driven by loss of the sea ice cover, allowing for strong heat transfers from the ocean to the atmosphere. Consistent with observed reductions in sea ice extent, fields from both the NCEP/NCAR and JRA-25 reanalyses point to emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification in the last decade.
1,018 citations