Intense and Mild Wave of COVID-19 in the Gambia: A Cohort Analysis
Summary (3 min read)
Introduction
- By the end of October 2020, the severe acute respi-ratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic had spread to 6 continents and caused >45 million coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases and 1.1 million deaths (1).
- Of note, severe COVID-19 cases seem to occur less frequently in Africa than in the rest of the world (4).
- Several factors have been proposed to explain this.
- Detailed SARS-CoV-2 epidemiologic data are needed in Africa.
- Among infections, MRCG staff accounted for 191 cases; all were asymptomatic or mild.
Population Demographics, Climate, and Healthcare Structure
- The illiteracy rate is high across the country.
- Around 59% of the population live in urban and peri-urban settings, mainly along the coast (Figure 1).
- The climate is typical of the sub-Sahel region, including a long dry season during November–May and a short rainy season during June–October.
- The government of The Gambia is the main health provider, and healthcare delivery has 3 tiers, based on the primary healthcare strategy in which most healthcare delivery occurs at local health posts.
- The system is complemented by 34 private and nongovernmental organization clinics.
COVID-19 Response in The Gambia
- Shortly after the first COVID-19 case was detected in The Gambia on March 19, 2020, the country closed its international land, sea, and air borders.
- On March 27, the country declared a state of emergency, which included closing schools, nonessential shops, places of worship, and many workplaces.
- The Ministry of Health, supported by several international organizations, set up a hotline for the public, which persons, including those with suspected cases, could call to ask for advice or request the surveillance team to perform the SARS-CoV-2 test either at health facilities or at home.
- Demand for testing services was not high, and attempts to raise awareness were unsuccessful.
- Ministry of Health staff traced and quarantined contacts for 10 days in hotels during the early part of the outbreak, April–July 2020, after which persons were permitted to self-isolate for 10 days at home.
MRCG Unit
- MRCG is a biomedical research institution that also provides outpatient and inpatient clinical care to the local population through its clinical services department (CSD).
- MRCG staff work in different environments, including 715 (53.5%) field-based staff, such as drivers, community workers, nurses, and research clinicians; 334 (25.0%) office-based staff, including those in administrative, operations, data-management, and statistics positions; and 177 (13.2%) laboratory-based staff.
- CSD is 1 of 2 hospital facilities in The Gambia able to care for severe COVID-19 patients.
- From the start of the epidemic, all staff were trained to wear appropriate personal protective equipment (PPE) according to international guidelines (17).
- Staff deemed to be at high risk for severe disease were advised to work from home and were excluded from high-risk clinical areas.
Surveillance and Contact Tracing among MRCG Staff
- In July 2020, MRCG established enhanced passive case detection by testing all staff exhibiting COVID-19 symptoms, such as cough, fever, headache, sore throat, nasal congestion, body pain, or other influenza-like symptoms.
- Families and contacts of symptomatic staff also were tested, as were staff known to have been exposed to confirmed cases.
- MRCG set up a hotline manned by doctors from whom staff could receive answers to questions or concerns and get information on how to access services.
- Case contacts were called to confirm exposure and then tested 3–5 days after the last exposure.
- Regardless of negative test results, all exposed staff were quarantined for 14 days; SARSCoV-2–positive staff isolated in their homes for 14 days, or at the MRCG site if at-home isolation was not possible, in line with WHO recommendations (18).
Sample Collection
- Samples were collected via nasopharyngeal swab, oropharyngeal swab, or both by using FLOQSwabs (COPAN Diagnostics, https://www.copanusa.com).
- Samples were placed in single tubes containing universal transport medium (COPAN Diagnostics) and delivered to the laboratory within 24 hours.
- Sampling methods were comparable across cohorts with similar operational procedures and training.
Laboratory Methods for SARS-CoV-2 Detection
- MRCG laboratories collaborated with national public health laboratories to support national testing throughout the country during the epidemic.
- MRCG and these laboratories used the same laboratory methods and assays.
- The standard test for COVID-19 diagnosis in The Gambia is real-time reverse transcription PCR of SARS-CoV-2–specific viral gene sequences.
- Initial extractions were performed manually by using the QIAamp Viral RNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, https:// www.qiagen.com) or the IndiSpin Pathogen Kit (INDICAL BIOSCIENCE, https://www.indical.com).
Statistical Analysis
- The authors calculated rates of risk for COVID-19 per 1,000 persons among the population of The Gambia.
- For MRCG, the authors stratified rates by occupational clinical exposure for staff working at the CSD versus nonCSD staff.
- The Ministry of Health generated daily national data for The Gambia (22).
- The authors extracted compiled data from the publicly available Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 database (23).
- The Gambian Government/ MRCG Joint Ethics committee approved the study (reference no. L2020.E37).
Results
- Persons <25 years of age and persons >60 years of age are underrepresented in the MRCG cohort compared with the population of The Gambia, .
- In addition, urban residents are overrepresented in the MRCG cohort; 67.6% of MRCG staff live in cities or towns compared with 59.4% of the overall population.
SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Rates
- The number of samples collected and the positivity rate were the highest during August–September 2020, during which time the number of daily swabs collected varied from 28 to 524/day (median 184/day) (Figure 2).
- Positivity rate also varied substantially, from <5% to >50%.
- Approximately 67% of confirmed cases were detected in August; overall, 60% of confirmed cases were among persons <40 years of age (20).
- During July 1–September 30, a total of 937 samples were collected from the MRCG cohort; 191 Table.
- ‡For MRCG staff location, the authors considered the workplace rather than the living place.
Rates of Infection and Death
- During the same period, 115 COVID-19 deaths were recorded across the country.
- Among MRCG staff, stratified analysis showed that infection rates among CSD staff were 2.6 times higher than among non-CSD staff, whom the authors considered representative of the infection risk among the general population (Figure 3, panel B).
- By the end of September, the cumulative risk for infection among non-CSD MRCG staff was ≈124/1,000 persons (Figure 3, panel B).
- All 191 confirmed cases among MRCG staff were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic; no cases met WHO criteria for moderate or severe pneumonia and no deaths occurred in this cohort.
Discussion
- The COVID-19 pandemic arrived in The Gambia in July 2020, later than in most countries in the world.
- This estimation contrasts sharply with the 3,579 cases reported during the same period across the country and in all age groups, a discrepancy that could be partly explained by the high occurrence of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infections and the national testing strategy that used passive case detection and targeted symptomatic persons.
- The authors considered MRCG staff outside the clinical service department to be at the same risk for COVID-19 as the rest of the population.
- Such damage includes diversion of financial and personnel resources from other services to the COVID-19 response, changes in healthcare seeking behavior, reduced availability of medicines for acute and chronic diseases, and disruption of routine vaccination services (29–33).
- In conclusion, SARS-CoV-2 transmission in The Gambia was intense over a short period.
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Frequently Asked Questions (15)
Q2. What was the RT-PCR protocol used in the outbreak?
In the early stages of the outbreak, RT-PCR diagnosis was made by using the Berlin Charité Laboratory protocol (21), which targets the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase and envelope protein gene.
Q3. What is the importance of minimizing the collateral damage of the COVID-19 pandemic?
The low occurrence of severe disease in Africa compared with other continents underlines the importance of minimizing the potential collateral damage of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Q4. How many samples were tested in The Gambia?
From the start of the epidemic through September 30, 2020, a total of 17,885 samples were tested in The Gambia; 20.1% (3,590) were SARS-CoV-2–positive.
Q5. How long did the sample be delivered to the laboratory?
Samples were placed in single tubes containing universal transport medium (COPAN Diagnostics) and delivered to the laboratory within 24 hours.
Q6. What was the focus of the initial SARS-CoV-2 testing?
Initial SARS-CoV-2 testing by PCR was focused on identifying imported cases and tracing and isolating case contacts, especially among travelers from Senegal.
Q7. What was the role of MRCG laboratories in the outbreak?
MRCG laboratories collaborated with national public health laboratories to support national testing throughout the country during the epidemic.
Q8. What was the reason for the outbreak?
The later start of the epidemic is probably the result of the early closure of national borders, including for air travel, and of the identification and isolation of infected persons who continued to enter the country from Senegal.
Q9. How long did the staff be quarantined?
Regardless of negative test results, all exposed staff were quarantined for 14 days; SARSCoV-2–positive staff isolated in their homes for 14days, or at the MRCG site if at-home isolation was not possible, in line with WHO recommendations (18).
Q10. What is the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the health system?
Such damage includes diversion of financial and personnel resources from other services to the COVID-19 response, changes in healthcare seeking behavior, reduced availability of medicines for acute and chronic diseases, and disruption of routine vaccination services (29–33).
Q11. What was the common type of pneumonia among MRCG staff?
All 191 confirmed cases among MRCG staff were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic; no cases met WHO criteria for moderate or severe pneumonia and no deaths occurred in this cohort.
Q12. What was the RNA extraction method used?
Initial extractions were performed manually by using the QIAamp Viral RNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, https:// www.qiagen.com) or the IndiSpin Pathogen Kit (INDICAL BIOSCIENCE, https://www.indical.com).
Q13. Why did the fewer hospitalizations indicate avoidance of SARSCoV-2 testing?
the fewer hospitalizations also could indicate avoidance of SARSCoV-2 testing because of stigmatization, which has been observed in other regions (7).
Q14. What was the main purpose of the hotline?
MRCG set up a hotline manned by doctors from whom staff could receive answers to questions or concerns and get information on how to access services.
Q15. How do the authors prevent a second wave of cases?
The authors strongly encourage continuous protection of healthcare workers with appropriate PPE and strengthening of surveillance systems around the country to promptly detect another sudden increase of cases.