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Journal ArticleDOI

Investigation of factors contributing to injury severity in single vehicle motorcycle crashes in India.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors highlighted that single-vehicle crashes are of major concern in both developed as well as in Low Middle Income Countries due to the severity of injuries, particularly fatal accidents.
Abstract: Single-vehicle crashes are of major concern in both developed as well as in Low Middle Income Countries due to the severity of injuries, particularly fatal accidents. In India, a significant propor...
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper , a plausible data mining tool was employed to explore hidden rules associated with motorcycle crash casualty injury severity outcomes at both signalized and non-signalized intersections in Ghana's most densely populated region, Accra, using three-year crash data spanning 2016-2018.

28 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper , the authors examined the differences between weekday, weekend, and holiday crashes on the severity of motorcyclist injury using four-year motorcycle crash data in Thailand from 2016 to 2019.

11 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article , the effects of a wide range of associated risk characteristics on the severity outcomes of the motorcyclist were explored using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and random parameters binary probit model with heterogeneity in means and variances (RPBPHM).
Abstract: Abstract In Thailand, the motorcyclist mortality rate is steadily on the rise and remains a serious concern for highway administrators and burden on both economic and local people. Using motorcycle-crash data in Thailand from 2016 to 2019, this study empirically employed and compared the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model and random parameters binary probit model with heterogeneity in means and variances (RPBPHM) to explore the effects of a wide range of associated risk characteristics on the severity outcomes of the motorcyclist. Study results revealed that probabilities of injury or fatal crash increase for crashes that involve male riders, riding with pillion, speeding, improper overtaking, riders under influence of alcohol, fatigue riders, undivided road and so on. The probability of non-injury crash increases for crashes on main or frontage traffic lane, four-lane road, concrete road, during rain, involving collision with other motorcycles, rear-end crashes, sideswipe crashes, single-motorcycle crashes and crashes within urban areas. The RPBPHM models were found to outperform the ANN model (quadratic support vector machine) in all performance metrics. The findings could potentially assist policymaker, safety professionals, practitioners, trainers, government agencies or highway designers in future planning and serve as guidance for mitigation policies directed at safety improvement for motorcyclists.

8 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article , the authors investigated the risk factors related to pedestrian, crash, and built environment characteristics that contribute to different injury severity levels in pedestrian crashes in Santiago, Chile from a spatial and statistical perspective.
Abstract: Pedestrians are vulnerable road users that are directly exposed to road traffic crashes with high odds of resulting in serious injuries and fatalities. Therefore, there is a critical need to identify the risk factors associated with injury severity in pedestrian crashes to promote safe and friendly walking environments for pedestrians. This study investigates the risk factors related to pedestrian, crash, and built environment characteristics that contribute to different injury severity levels in pedestrian crashes in Santiago, Chile from a spatial and statistical perspective. First, a GIS kernel density technique was used to identify spatial clusters with high concentrations of pedestrian crash fatalities and severe injuries. Subsequently, partial proportional odds models were developed using the crash dataset for the whole city and the identified spatial clusters to examine and compare the risk factors that significantly affect pedestrian crash injury severity. The model results reveal higher increases in the fatality probability within the spatial clusters for statistically significant contributing factors related to drunk driving, traffic signage disobedience, and imprudence of the pedestrian. The findings may be utilized in the development and implementation of effective public policies and preventive measures to help improve pedestrian safety in Santiago.

3 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The results show that most of the fatal crashes are due to exceeding the lawful speed limit, followed by driving under the influence of alcohol and going ahead and overtaking, which predicted that there will be an increase in the number of fatal road crashes by 4.5%.
Abstract: Road crashes are the sixth leading cause of death in India. There has been a fourfold increase in the number of road traffic crashes in India in the last four decades and an increase of 9.8 times in the fatalities associated with that exponential increase. Manipal is a coastal place with a population of approximately 50,000 inhabitants lying in between the western Mountain range and the Arabian sea. The study’s objective is to explore the characteristics of fatal road crashes in Manipal from 2008–2018 using the data pertaining to fatal crashes retrieved from the office of the superintendent of police. Furthermore, it aims to forecast crashes by time series analysis prediction. The results show that most of the fatal crashes are due to exceeding the lawful speed limit, followed by driving under the influence of alcohol and going ahead and overtaking. The time series analysis forecasted the number of fatal crashes until the year 2025 and predicted that there will be an increase in the number of fatal road crashes by 4.5%. The results also provide essential leads for initiating specific intervention programmes targeting the causes of fatal road crashes.

2 citations

References
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors describe the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling.
Abstract: This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. This second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

2,016 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A review of the evolution of methodological applications and available data in highway-accident research can be found in this article, where fruitful directions for future methodological developments are identified and the role that new data sources will play in defining these directions is discussed.

923 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This paper summarizes the evolution of research and current thinking as it relates to the statistical analysis of motor-vehicle injury severities, and provides a discussion of future methodological directions.

818 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The mixed generalized ordered response logit (MGORL) model as discussed by the authors was proposed to examine non-motorist injury severity in accidents in the USA, using the 2004 General Estimates System (GES) database.

544 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This study combines a number of databases, including a detailed database on roadside features, to analyze run-off-roadway accidents on a 96.6-km section of highway in Washington State and isolates a wide range of factors that significantly influence the frequency and severity of run-offs-roadways accidents.

476 citations