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Local Treatment of Unresectable Colorectal Liver Metastases: Results of a Randomized Phase II Trial

TL;DR: This phase II trial is the first randomized study demonstrating that aggressive local treatment can prolong OS in patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases.
Abstract: Background: Tumor ablation is often employed for unresectable colorectal liver metastases. However, no survival benefit has ever been demonstrated in prospective randomized studies. Here, we investigate the long-term benefits of such an aggressive approach. Methods: In this randomized phase II trial, 119 patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (n 38%) was met. We now report on long-term OS results. All statistical tests were two-sided. The analyses were according to intention to treat. Results: At a median follow up of 9.7 years, 92 of 119 (77.3%) patients had died: 39 of 60 (65.0%) in the combined modality arm and 53 of 59 (89.8%) in the systemic treatment arm. Almost all patients died of progressive disease (35 patients in the combined modality arm, 49 patients in the systemic treatment arm). There was a statistically significant difference in OS in favor of the combined modality arm (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.38 to 0.88, P = .01). Three-, five-, and eight-year OS were 56.9% (95% CI = 43.3% to 68.5%), 43.1% (95% CI = 30.3% to 55.3%), 35.9% (95% CI = 23.8% to 48.2%), respectively, in the combined modality arm and 55.2% (95% CI = 41.6% to 66.9%), 30.3% (95% CI = 19.0% to 42.4%), 8.9% (95% CI = 3.3% to 18.1%), respectively, in the systemic treatment arm. Median OS was 45.6 months (95% CI = 30.3 to 67.8 months) in the combined modality arm vs 40.5 months (95% CI = 27.5 to 47.7 months) in the systemic treatment arm. Conclusions: This phase II trial is the first randomized study demonstrating that aggressive local treatment can prolong OS in patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases.

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ARTICLE
Local Treatment of Unresectable Colorectal Liver
Metastases: Results of a Randomiz ed Phase II Trial
Theo Ruers, Frits Van Coevorden, Cornelis J. A. Punt, Jean-Pierre E. N. Pierie,
Inne Borel-Rinkes, Jonathan A. Ledermann, Graeme Poston, Wolf Bechstein,
Marie-Ange Lentz, Murielle Mauer, Gunnar Folprecht, Eric Van Cutsem,
Michel Ducreux, Bernard Nordlinger; for the European Organisation for
Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Gastro-Intestinal Tract Cancer
Group, Arbeitsgruppe Lebermetastasen und tumoren in der Chirurgischen
Arbeitsgemeinschaft Onkologie (ALM-CAO), and the National Cancer
Research Institute Colorectal Clinical Study Group (NCRI CCSG)
Affiliations of authors: The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Antoni Van Leeuwenhoek Ziekenhuis, Amsterdam, the Netherlands (TR, FVC); Academic Medical Centre,
University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands (CP); Leeuwarden Medical Center, Leeuwarden, the Netherlands (JPENP); Universitair Medisch Centrum,
Academisch Ziekenhuis, Utrecht, the Netherlands (IBR); Cancer Research UK and UCL Cancer Trials Centre and UCL Hospitals, London, United Kingdom (JAL); Aintree
University Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom (GP); Frankfurt University Hospital and Clinics, Frankfurt, Germany (WB); EORTC Headquarters, Data Management Unit,
Brussels, Belgium (MAL); EORTC Headquarters, Statistics Department, Brussels, Belgium (MM); University Cancer Center, University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus,
Dresden, Germany (GF); Digestive Oncology, University Hospitals Gasthuisberg and KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium (EVC); Institut Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France (MD);
Assistance Publique Hoˆpitaux de Paris, Boulogne-Billancourt, France (BN)
Correspondence to: Prof. Dr. T. Ruers, Division of Surgical Oncology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Plesmanlaan 121, 1066CX, Amsterdam, The Netherlands,
(e-mail: t.ruers@nki.nl).
Abstract
Background: Tumor ablation is often employed for unresectable colorectal liver metastases. However, no survival benefit
has ever been demonstrated in prospective randomized studies. Here, we investigate the long-term benefits of such an
aggressive approach.
Methods: In this randomized phase II trial, 119 patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (n < 10 and no
extrahepatic disease) received systemic treatment alone or systemic treatment plus aggressive local treatment by
radiofrequency ablation 6 resection. Previously, we reported that the primary end point (30-month overall survival [OS] >
38%) was met. We now report on long-term OS results. All statistical tests were two-sided. The analyses were according to
intention to treat.
Results: At a median follow up of 9.7 years, 92 of 119 (77.3%) patients had died: 39 of 60 (65.0%) in the combined modality arm
and 53 of 59 (89.8%) in the systemic treatment arm. Almost all patients died of progressive disease (35 patients in the
combined modality arm, 49 patients in the systemic treatment arm). There was a statistically significant difference in OS in
favor of the combined modality arm (hazard ratio [HR] ¼ 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] ¼ 0.38 to 0.88, P ¼ .01). Three-, five-,
and eight-year OS were 56.9% (95% CI ¼ 43.3% to 68.5%), 43.1% (95% CI ¼ 30.3% to 55.3%), 35.9% (95% CI ¼ 23.8% to 48.2%), re-
spectively, in the combined modality arm and 55.2% (95% CI ¼ 41.6% to 66.9%), 30.3% (95% CI ¼ 19.0% to 42.4%), 8.9% (95%
CI ¼ 3.3% to 18.1%), respectively, in the systemic treatment arm. Median OS was 45.6 months (95% CI ¼ 30.3 to 67.8 months) in
the combined modality arm vs 40.5 months (95% CI ¼ 27.5 to 47.7 months) in the systemic treatment arm.
ARTICLE
Received: September 7, 2016; Revised: November 25, 2016; Accepted: January 20, 2017
© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
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JNCI J Natl Cancer Inst (2017) 109(9): djx015
doi: 10.1093/jnci/djx015
First published online March 17, 2017
Article
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Conclusions: This phase II trial is the first randomized study demonstrating that aggressive local treatment can prolong OS in
patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases.
Surgery is the gold standard of treatment in patients with re-
sectable colorectal liver metastases, with reported five-year sur-
vival rates ranging from 40% to 60% (13). Only 20% to 30% of
patients with CRC metastases confined to the liver are candi-
dates for surgery (2,4). In others, extensive tumor burden within
the liver or poor anatomical position of the tumors close to criti-
cal vascular or biliary structures precludes resection. In these
patients, systemic therapy is offered with the goal of improving
survival or potentially converting patients into resection candi-
dates (5,6). Although the outcome of systemic therapy is still be-
ing improved and promising biological agents are being
incorporated into treatment protocols, the realistic goal of sys-
temic treatment remains palliative (710). It is for this reason
that more aggressive local therapeutic approaches are being
pursued in patients with unresectable colorectal liver
metastases.
Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a treatment modality that
is being increasingly used (11). In patients with unresectable co-
lorectal liver metastases, total tumor clearance from the liver
can often still be obtained by RFA or a combination of RFA plus
resection (1214). The efficacy of this approach is controversial
because data on the effect on overall survival compared with
the standard of care, systemic treatment, are lacking (1118). To
deliver compelling evidence on the beneficial effect of such an
aggressive approach, a European intergroup randomized phase
III study (European Organisation for Research and Treatment of
Cancer 40004 CLOCC trial, ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT00043004)
was initiated. The trial was designed with overall survival (OS)
as the primary end point.
Patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases were
randomly assigned to systemic treatment alone (standard arm)
or systemic treatment plus local treatment by RFA with or with-
out additional resection (experimental arm). Because of slow ac-
crual, the study was amended to a randomized phase II trial.
Previously published results of this phase II study showed that
the primary end point, being a 30-month overall survival (OS)
rate greater than 38% in the combined modality arm, was met
(61.7%) (19).
At the time of primary analysis with a median follow-up
time of 4.4 years, median progression-free survival (PFS) was
statistically significantly different between both arms, being
16.8 months in the combined modality arm and 9.9 months in
the systemic treatment–only arm (P ¼ .025) (19). After an ex-
tended follow-up of 9.7 years, we now report on the definitive
impact on overall survival.
Methods
Study Design and Patients
Patients with unresectable colorectal liver–limited metastases
were randomly assigned to systemic treatment alone (standard
arm) or systemic treatment plus local treatment by RFA 6 resec-
tion (experimental arm). The primary end point of this phase II
study was a 30-month OS rate higher than 38% in the combined
modality arm. Using a Fleming design, 76 patients were re-
quired in the experimental arm to reject a 30-month OS rate of
38% or lower under the alternative hypothesis of a 30-month OS
rate of 53% with 90% power, using a one-sided test with a type I
error of 10%.
Secondary end points were progression-free survival (PFS),
overall survival (OS), and health-related quality of life. From
April 2002, patients were recruited from 22 centers in Europe.
The trial was prematurely closed for poor accrual because of
physician’s preferences in treatment modalities in June 2007,
with 60 patients in the experimental arm and 59 patients in the
control arm.
Eligible patients were age 18 to 80 years with a World
Health Organization performance of less than 2 and who pre-
sented with nonresectable colorectal liver metastases without
extrahepatic disease. Nonresectability was defined as no pos-
sibility to completely resect all tumor lesions, as judged by a
multidisciplinary team with at least a hepatobiliary surgeon
and radiologist on board. Patients were eligible only when all
liver lesions could be fully treated by either RFA alone or
combined treatment that consisted of resection of resectable
lesions and RFA of the remaining unresectable lesions. To
allow complete treatment of all liver lesions, the number of
liver metastases had to be less than 10. Full inclusion and ex-
clusion criteria have been previously reported (19). The trial
was approved by the medical ethics committees of all partici-
pating centers. Written informed consent was obtained from
all patients prior to random assignment. Random assignment
(1:1) was done at the EORTC headquarters with the minimiza-
tion technique and was stratified according to center, previous
systemic treatment for liver metastases, previous adjuvant
treatment, and route of random assignment (before or during
surgery).
Procedures
Patients assigned to the combined modality therapy received
complete treatment of all liver metastases either by RFA alone
or by RFA in combination with resection. The optimal strategy
to obtain adequate local treatment was decided upon by the
hepatobiliary surgeon and the multidisciplinary team. RFA
procedures were carried out according to the guidelines of the
manufacturer of the ablation device used during open sur-
gery, laparoscopically, or percutaneously. Quality control for
RFA and surgery required specialized liver surgeons and radi-
ologists to assess the suitability of patients for ablation and
full documentation of the lesions treated. From April 2002 to
October 2005, systemic treatment in both study arms con-
sisted of 5-FU/LV/oxaliplatin. After October 2005, bevacizu-
mab was added when it became accepted as the standard of
care in most participating centers. Treatment of 5-FU/LV/
oxaliplatin consisted of the FOLFOX 4 regimen while bevaci-
zumab was administered at 5 mg/kg body weight once every
two weeks. Detailed systemic treatment regimens were re-
ported previously (19).
In the systemic treatment arm only, no additional local
treatment options were allowed except for resection when
unresectable disease was converted to resectable disease by
systemic treatment. In both study arms, treatment was started
within four weeks of random assignment and systemic
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treatment after RFA was planned within four to eight weeks af-
ter the procedure.
Systemic treatment in both arms was administered for six
months unless there was disease progression or unacceptable
toxicity. After protocol treatment, any further systemic treat-
ment was at the discretion of the multidisciplinary team.
Patients were assessed for PFS and OS every six weeks during
protocol treatment, every three months after treatment for a pe-
riod of two years, and every six months thereafter. Disease pro-
gression was assessed using contrast-enhanced CT scan by the
local radiologist according to RECIST 1.0. Recurrence at the RFA
site was defined by the appearance on CT imaging of one or more
new lesions along the margin of the ablated lesion or at least a
20% increase in the longest diameter of the RFA-treated lesion.
Statistical Analysis
Follow-up duration was computed fromthetimeofrandomassign-
ment to the date of last follow-up. Patients who died were censored
at the date of death. PFS was defined as the time interval between
thedateofrandomassignmentandthedateofprogression(orre-
currence) of the disease or death, whichever occurred first. OS was
defined as the time interval between the date of random assign-
ment and the date of death. Patients who were still event free at
the last visit were censored at the date of last follow-up.
The updated analyses of PFS and OS are intent-to-treat anal-
yses. Overall PFS and OS were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier
method and compared by a two-sided log-rank test. The level of
statistical significance was set to .05.
Additional sensitivity univariate analyses of OS, adjusting
for baseline factors, that is, number of liver metastases (4vs
>4) and synchronicity (synchronous vs metachronous), were
performed to correct for a potential prognostic effect on the re-
sults. OS was compared between arms using a two-sided log-
rank test stratified for the baseline factor. Possible heterogeneity
of the results in these subgroups was tested by means of a
Cochran’s Q test. A graphical display of the results is provided us-
ing Forest plots. To determine any possible influence of second-
ary treatments on OS, survival duration after initial disease
progression was analyzed in progressive patients (for whom
death was not the first recorded event, 55 and 43 patients in the
systemic treatment and in the combined modality arms, respec-
tively). Survival duration after initial disease progression was
computed as the time interval between the date of first progres-
sion and the date of death. Patients who were still alive at the
last visit were censored at the date of last follow-up. Survival du-
ration after initial disease progression was estimated by the
Kaplan-Meier method and compared between treatment arms by
a two-sided log-rank test.
The analysis of the time to hepatic progression and to extra-
hepatic progression was performed using the competing risk
methodology in the intent-to-treat population as exploratory
analyses. The cumulative incidence of the event of interest (in-
cluding the occurrence of the event and a simultaneous pro-
gression at another site) was estimated and compared by
means of a Gray test (20). In these analyses, death in absence of
hepatic or extrahepatic progression, respectively, was consid-
ered the only competing risk.
Results
A total of 119 patients were randomly assigned to either sys-
temic treatment alone or combined modality treatment
(systemic plus local treatment). Patient and tumor characteris-
tics appeared balanced between both arms (Table 1).
In the combined modality arm (n ¼ 60), three patients
were ineligible, two had more advanced disease than allowed
per protocol, and one showed liver metastases that were
considered resectable at baseline (Figure 1). Of the 60 patients
randomly assigned to combined modality, two patients did not
receive any local treatment because of patient refusal (n ¼ 1) or
ineligibility (n ¼ 1); for one patient, no treatment data are avail-
able. Local treatment in the 57 remaining patients consisted of
RFA only in 30 patients, RFA plus resection in 26 patients, and
resection only in one patient (Table 2). In 51 patients, local treat-
ment was combined with planned systemic treatment. Six
patients did not receive any systemic treatment because of fast
disease progression (n ¼ 2), patient death (n ¼ 1), or postopera-
tive complications (n ¼ 3).
In the systemic treatment arm (n ¼ 59), all patients started
systemic therapy. One patient was considered ineligible; this
patient showed resectable disease on the initial CT scan and
was resected after the start of systemic treatment. Six addi-
tional patients underwent liver resection as intended by the
protocol because unresectable disease was converted by sys-
temic treatment into resectable disease. In the systemic treat-
ment arm, the median number of systemic treatment cycles was
10 (range ¼ 1–12), in the combined modality arm 8.5 (range ¼
0–12).
After a similar long-term follow-up in both arms at a me-
dian of 9.7 years, 92 of 119 (77.3%) patients had died, 53 of 59
(89.8%) patients in the systemic treatment arm and 39 of 60
(65.0%) patients in the combined modality arm (Table 3).
Nearly all patients died due to progressive disease (PD), 49 pa-
tients in the systemic treatment arm and 35 patients in the
combined modality arm. Only five patients were lost to follow-
up, two patients in the systemic treatment arm and three pa-
tients in the combined modality arm.
Patients in the combined modality arm had a statistically
significantly longer OS as compared with the patients in the
systemic treatment arm (HR ¼ 0.58, 95% CI ¼ 0.38 to 0.88, P ¼
.01) (Figure 2). Three-, five-, and eight-year OS rates were 56.9%
(95% CI ¼ 43.3% to 68.5%), 43.1% (95% CI ¼ 30.3% to 55.3%), and
35.9% (95% CI ¼ 23.8% to 48.2%) in the combined modality arm
and 55.2% (95% CI ¼ 41.6% to 66.9%), 30.3% (95% CI ¼ 19.0% to
42.4%), and 8.9% (95% CI ¼ 3.3% to 18.1%) in the systemic treat-
ment arm. The median overall survival was 45.6 months (95%
CI ¼ 30.3 to 67.8 months) for the combined modality arm and
40.5 months (95% CI ¼ 27.5 to 47.7 months) for the systemic
treatment arm.
As previously reported, PFS was statistically significantly
prolonged in the combined modality arm as compared with the
systemic treatment arm (HR ¼ 0.57, 95% CI ¼ 0.38 to 0.85, P ¼
.005) (Figure 3). Median PFS was improved from 9.9 months (95%
CI ¼ 9.1 to 12.9 months) to 16.8 months (95% CI
¼ 11.0 to 21.9
months).
After this long-term follow-up, 45 patients in the combined
modality arm had recurrent disease or had died compared with
57 patients in the systemic treatment arm. In the combined mo-
dality arm, apart from the three patients who were lost to
follow-up without progression, 12 patients did not experi-
ence any recurrence or death. The minimum follow-up in
these 12 patients was 7.9 years. In the systemic treatment
arm, one patient was lost to follow-up without progression and
only one patient did not experience any progression after a
follow-up duration of 10.8 years.
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Three-, five-, and eight-year PFS rates in the combined mo-
dality arm were 27.7% (95% CI ¼ 16.9% to 39.5%), 24.2% (95% CI ¼
14.1% to 35.7%), and 22.3% (95% CI ¼ 12.7% to 33.7%), respec-
tively (Figure 3). In the systemic treatment arm, three-, five-,
and eight-year PFS rates were 11.9% (95% CI ¼ 5.2% to 21.5%),
5.9% (95% CI ¼ 1.6% to 14.4%), and 2.0% (95% CI ¼ 0.2% to 9.0%),
respectively. Among patients who experienced progression, six
and three patients in the combined modality arm and in the
systemic treatment arm, respectively, were still alive during the
last follow-up. In the systemic treatment arm, the six patients
who underwent liver resection because nonresectable disease
was converted by systemic treatment into resectable disease all
developed recurrence.
The liver as first site of recurrence (with or without extrahe-
patic disease) was observed in 28 of 60 (46.7%) patients in the com-
bined modality arm and in 46 of 59 (78.0%) of those in the
systemic treatment arm. In the combined modality arm, in 56 pa-
tients treated with radiofrequency ablation, nine patients (16.1%)
experienced a first liver recurrence at a site treated by RFA.
Extrahepatic progression only as first progression was observed in
25.0% of patients (15/60) in the combined modality arm and 13.6%
of patients (8/59) who received systemic treatment alone (Table 3).
Furthermore, given the small sample size, it was impossible
to completely eliminate the possibility of small imbalances in
baseline characteristics, for example, in the number of lesions
or synchronicity. To correct for a potential prognostic effect of
baseline factors on the results, we conducted additional sensi-
tivity analyses. The results of the sensitivity analyses of OS ad-
justing for the number of liver metastases (4vs>4) and
synchronicity (synchronous vs metachronous) show that the
difference in OS between both arms remains statistically signifi-
cant. No heterogeneity in the results in patients with four or
fewer liver metastases vs more than four liver metastases or in
patients with synchronous vs metachronous liver metastases
was observed (Supplementary Figures 1 and 2, available online).
To determine any possible influence of secondary treat-
ments on OS, survival after initial disease progression was ana-
lyzed. Median survival after disease progression was 21.0
months (95% CI ¼ 16.2 to 30.5 months) in the systemic treatment
arm only and 19.5 months (95% CI ¼ 14.3 to 32.3 months) in the
combined modality arm (HR ¼ 0.86, 95% CI ¼ 0.56 to 1.31, P ¼ .48)
(Supplementary Figure 3; Supplementary Table 1, available on-
line). With death in absence of hepatic progression considered
the only competing risk, the cumulative incidence of hepatic
progressions at one, three, and five years were 31.0% (95%
CI ¼ 19.1% to 42.9%), 58.6% (95% CI ¼ 45.9% to 71.3%), and 62.1%
(95% CI ¼ 49.6% to 74.6%) in the combined modality arm vs
51.7% (95% CI ¼ 38.9% to 64.6%), 86.2% (95% CI ¼ 77.3% to 95.1%),
and 88.2% (95% CI ¼ 79.8% to 96.6%) in the systemic treatment
arm (P < .001) (Figure 4). The cumulative incidence of extrahe-
patic progressions at one, three, and five years was 24.1% (95%
CI ¼ 13.1% to 35.1%), 55.2% (95% CI ¼ 42.4% to 68.0%), and 60.4%
(95% CI ¼ 47.8% to 72.9%) for the combined modality arm and
20.9% (95% CI ¼ 10.4% to 31.5%), 45.5% (95% CI ¼ 32.6% to 58.5%),
and 60.2% (95% CI ¼ 47.4% to 73.1%) for the systemic treatment
arm (P ¼ .73) (Figure 5). With regard to local recurrence after
RFA, in total 11 lesions (in nine patients) out of 170 RFA-treated
lesions showed a local recurrence at the RFA site as first pro-
gression. In addition, three lesions (in two patients) recurred af-
ter initial progression at another site.
Discussion
In this randomized phase II trial, we found that a combination
of aggressive local treatment plus systemic treatment, as com-
pared with systemic treatment alone, improved both progres-
sion-free survival and overall survival in patients with
unresectable colorectal liver metastases. The addition of local
Table 1. Baseline characteristics
Patient and tumor
characteristics
Local plus
systemic treatment
(n ¼ 60)
Systemic
treatment
(n ¼ 59)
No. (%) No. (%)
Age, y
Median (range) 64 (31–79) 61 (38–79)
Sex
Male 37 (61.7) 42 (71.2)
Female 23 (38.3) 17 (28.8)
WHO performance status
0 47 (78.3) 47 (79.7)
1 13 (21.7) 12 (20.3)
No. of liver metastases
1 15 (25.0) 7 (11.9)
2 6 (10.0) 4 (6.8)
3 8 (13.3) 7 (11.9)
4 9 (15.0) 8 (13.6)
5 6 (10.0) 10 (16.9)
6 3 (5.0) 9 (15.3)
7 6 (10.0) 8 (13.6)
8 3 (5.0) 2 (3.4)
9 4 (6.7) 4 (6.8)
Median 4.0 5.0
Synchronicity of liver metastases
Metachronous metastases 37 (61.7) 31 (52.5)
Synchronous metastases* 23 (38.3) 28 (47.5)
Time from surgery for primary
cancer to random assignment, d
Median (range) 290 (28–1802) 308 (30–2754)
T stage of primary cancer
pT2 9 (15.0) 4 (6.8)
pT3 42 (70.0) 48 (81.4)
pT4 9 (15.0) 6 (10.2)
Unknown 0 (0.0) 1 (1.7)
N stage of primary cancer
pN0 17 (28.3) 21 (35.6)
pN1 22 (36.7) 24 (40.7)
pN2 20 (33.3) 12 (20.3)
Unknown 1 (1.7) 2 (3.4)
Adjuvant chemotherapy
for primary cancer†
No 50 (83.3) 49 (83.1)
Yes 10 (16.7) 10 (16.9)
Prior chemotherapy for
metastatic disease†
No 51 (85.0) 51 (86.4)
Yes 9 (15.0) 8 (13.6)
Previous liver surgery for
CRC metastases
No 51 (85.0) 49 (83.1)
Yes 9 (15.0) 10 (16.9)
Route of random assignment†
Before surgery 46 (76.7) 44 (74.6)
During surgery 14 (23.3) 15 (25.4)
*Liver metastases detected within three months after primary cancer diagnosis.
CRC ¼ colorectal cancer; WHO ¼ World Health Organization.
†Stratification factors.
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treatment using RFA was clinically beneficial and was associated
with a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (P ¼
.01). Patients were followed for a minimum of 7.8 years, and only
five patients (4.2%) were lost to follow-up. Almost all deaths were
due to progressive disease.
The current analysis, after a median follow up time of 9.7
years, extends the initial analysis on the primary end point of
30-month overall survival. At 30 months, overall survival in the
experimental arm (61.7%) and the control arm (57.6%) was com-
parable, both being higher than expected. At the time of original
study design (late 1990s), figures on overall survival of patients
with liver-limited colorectal metastases were scarce, which has
led to a very conservative estimation of overall survival (21,22).
At the time of the initial analysis, a statistically significant
60 allocated to local treatment
+ systemic treatment
57 eligible
3 ineligible
59 started systemic treatment
59 allocated to systemic treatment
58 eligible
1 ineligible (resectable)
119 patients randomly assigned
2 patients did not receive local
treatment
1 eligible (patient’s refusal)
1 ineligible (bone
metastases at baseline)
1 unknown
57
p
atients received local treatment
6 patients did not receive adjuvant
chemotherapy
6 eligible (patient
progression [n = 2], patient
death [n = 1], surgery
complications [n = 3])
51 patients received
s
y
stemic treatment
45 events for PFS:
28 liver (recurrence at a site treated by
RFA [n = 9], elsewhere in liver [n = 18],
unknown [n = 1])
15 elsewhere (primary, lung, regional,
other)
2 deaths (cardiovascular disease;
multiple organ failure (RFA/surgery
complication))
39 patients died
35 progressive disease
1 cardiovascular disease
1 other (multiple organ failure,
RFA/surgery complication)
2 unknown
53 patients died
49 progressive disease
4 unknown
57 events for PFS:
46 liver
8 elsewhere (primary, lung, regional,
other)
2 unknown site
1 death (unknown cause)
1 ineligible resected
6 patients converted into
resectable and resected
2 patients had surgery plus RFA after PD
(major protocol violations)
Figure 1. CONSORT flow diagram. PD ¼ progressive disease; PFS ¼ progression-free survival; RFA ¼ radiofrequency ablation.
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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Progress against CRC can be accelerated by increasing access to guideline‐recommended screening and high‐quality treatment, particularly among Alaska Natives, and elucidating causes for rising incidence in young and middle‐aged adults.
Abstract: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most common cause of cancer death in the United States. Every 3 years, the American Cancer Society provides an update of CRC occurrence based on incidence data (available through 2016) from population-based cancer registries and mortality data (through 2017) from the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2020, approximately 147,950 individuals will be diagnosed with CRC and 53,200 will die from the disease, including 17,930 cases and 3,640 deaths in individuals aged younger than 50 years. The incidence rate during 2012 through 2016 ranged from 30 (per 100,000 persons) in Asian/Pacific Islanders to 45.7 in blacks and 89 in Alaska Natives. Rapid declines in incidence among screening-aged individuals during the 2000s continued during 2011 through 2016 in those aged 65 years and older (by 3.3% annually) but reversed in those aged 50 to 64 years, among whom rates increased by 1% annually. Among individuals aged younger than 50 years, the incidence rate increased by approximately 2% annually for tumors in the proximal and distal colon, as well as the rectum, driven by trends in non-Hispanic whites. CRC death rates during 2008 through 2017 declined by 3% annually in individuals aged 65 years and older and by 0.6% annually in individuals aged 50 to 64 years while increasing by 1.3% annually in those aged younger than 50 years. Mortality declines among individuals aged 50 years and older were steepest among blacks, who also had the only decreasing trend among those aged younger than 50 years, and excluded American Indians/Alaska Natives, among whom rates remained stable. Progress against CRC can be accelerated by increasing access to guideline-recommended screening and high-quality treatment, particularly among Alaska Natives, and elucidating causes for rising incidence in young and middle-aged adults.

2,928 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In patients with oligometastatic NSCLC that did not progress after front-line systemic therapy, LCT prolonged PFS and OS relative to MT/O, and the longer-term overall survival (OS) results accompanied by additional secondary end points are presented.
Abstract: PURPOSEOur previously published findings reported that local consolidative therapy (LCT) with radiotherapy or surgery improved progression-free survival (PFS) and delayed new disease in patients wi...

760 citations


Cites methods from "Local Treatment of Unresectable Col..."

  • ...Eligible patients (1) had pathologically confirmed NSCLC, (2) had stage IV disease according to the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system, (3) had three or fewer metastases, not including the primary tumor, (4) had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2 or less, (5) were age 18 years or older, and (6) received standard front-line systemic therapy....

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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: With extended follow-up, the impact of SABR on OS was larger in magnitude than in the initial analysis and durable over time and there were no new safety signals, and S ABR had no detrimental impact on QOL.
Abstract: PURPOSE The oligometastatic paradigm hypothesizes that patients with a limited number of metastases may achieve long-term disease control, or even cure, if all sites of disease can be ablated. Howe...

528 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: 20 international experts including 19 members of the European Society for Radiotherapy and Oncology and European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer OligoCare project developed a comprehensive system for characterisation and classification of oligometastatic disease.
Abstract: Oligometastatic disease has been proposed as an intermediate state between localised and systemically metastasised disease. In the absence of randomised phase 3 trials, early clinical studies show improved survival when radical local therapy is added to standard systemic therapy for oligometastatic disease. However, since no biomarker for the identification of patients with true oligometastatic disease is clinically available, the diagnosis of oligometastatic disease is based solely on imaging findings. A small number of metastases on imaging could represent different clinical scenarios, which are associated with different prognoses and might require different treatment strategies. 20 international experts including 19 members of the European Society for Radiotherapy and Oncology and European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer OligoCare project developed a comprehensive system for characterisation and classification of oligometastatic disease. We first did a systematic review of the literature to identify inclusion and exclusion criteria of prospective interventional oligometastatic disease clinical trials. Next, we used a Delphi consensus process to select a total of 17 oligometastatic disease characterisation factors that should be assessed in all patients treated with radical local therapy for oligometastatic disease, both within and outside of clinical trials. Using a second round of the Delphi method, we established a decision tree for oligometastatic disease classification together with a nomenclature. We agreed oligometastatic disease as the overall umbrella term. A history of polymetastatic disease before diagnosis of oligometastatic disease was used as the criterion to differentiate between induced oligometastatic disease (previous history of polymetastatic disease) and genuine oligometastatic disease (no history of polymetastatic disease). We further subclassified genuine oligometastatic disease into repeat oligometastatic disease (previous history of oligometastatic disease) and de-novo oligometastatic disease (first time diagnosis of oligometastatic disease). In de-novo oligometastatic disease, we differentiated between synchronous and metachronous oligometastatic disease. We did a final subclassification into oligorecurrence, oligoprogression, and oligopersistence, considering whether oligometastatic disease is diagnosed during a treatment-free interval or during active systemic therapy and whether or not an oligometastatic lesion is progressing on current imaging. This oligometastatic disease classification and nomenclature needs to be prospectively evaluated by the OligoCare study.

472 citations

References
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The addition of bevacizumab to fluorouracil-based combination chemotherapy results in statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in survival among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.
Abstract: background Bevacizumab, a monoclonal antibody against vascular endothelial growth factor, has shown promising preclinical and clinical activity against metastatic colorectal cancer, particularly in combination with chemotherapy. methods Of 813 patients with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer, we randomly assigned 402 to receive irinotecan, bolus fluorouracil, and leucovorin (IFL) plus bevacizumab (5 mg per kilogram of body weight every two weeks) and 411 to receive IFL plus placebo. The primary end point was overall survival. Secondary end points were progression-free survival, the response rate, the duration of the response, safety, and the quality of life. results The median duration of survival was 20.3 months in the group given IFL plus bevacizumab, as compared with 15.6 months in the group given IFL plus placebo, corresponding to a hazard ratio for death of 0.66 (P<0.001). The median duration of progressionfree survival was 10.6 months in the group given IFL plus bevacizumab, as compared with 6.2 months in the group given IFL plus placebo (hazard ratio for disease progression, 0.54; P<0.001); the corresponding rates of response were 44.8 percent and 34.8 percent (P=0.004). The median duration of the response was 10.4 months in the group given IFL plus bevacizumab, as compared with 7.1 months in the group given IFL plus placebo (hazard ratio for progression, 0.62; P=0.001). Grade 3 hypertension was more common during treatment with IFL plus bevacizumab than with IFL plus placebo (11.0 percent vs. 2.3 percent) but was easily managed. conclusions The addition of bevacizumab to fluorouracil-based combination chemotherapy results in statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in survival among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

10,161 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a class of tests developed for comparing the cumulative incidence of a particular type of failure among different groups is presented. The tests are based on comparing weighted averages of the hazards of the subdistribution for the failure type of interest.
Abstract: In this paper, for right censored competing risks data, a class of tests developed for comparing the cumulative incidence of a particular type of failure among different groups. The tests are based on comparing weighted averages of the hazards of the subdistribution for the failure type of interest. Asymptotic results are derived by expressing the statistics in terms of counting processes and using martingale central limit theory. It is proposed that weight functions very similar to those for the $G^p$ tests from ordinary survival analysis be used. Simulation results indicate that the asymptotic distributions provide adequate approximations in moderate sized samples.

4,469 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Both sequences achieved a prolonged survival and similar efficacy in metastatic colorectal cancer and the toxicity profiles were different.
Abstract: Purpose In metastatic colorectal cancer, phase III studies have demonstrated the superiority of fluorouracil (FU) with leucovorin (LV) in combination with irinotecan or oxaliplatin over FU LV alone. This phase III study investigated two sequences: folinic acid, FU, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) followed by folinic acid, FU, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX6; arm A), and FOLFOX6 followed by FOLFIRI (arm B). Patients and Methods Previously untreated patients with assessable disease were randomly assigned to receive a 2-hour infusion of l-LV 200 mg/m 2 or dl-LV 400 mg/m 2 followed by a FU bolus 400 mg/m 2 and 46-hour infusion 2,400 to 3,000 mg/m 2 every 46 hours every 2 weeks, either with irinotecan 180 mg/m 2 or with oxaliplatin 100 mg/m 2 as a 2-hour infusion on day 1. At progression, irinotecan was replaced by oxaliplatin (arm A), or oxaliplatin by irinotecan (arm B).

2,823 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Modern chemotherapy allows 12.5% of patients with unresectable CRLM to be rescued by liver surgery, with a wide use of repeat hepatectomies and extrahepatic resections, and four preoperative risk factors could select the patients most likely to benefit from this strategy.
Abstract: Objective: To evaluate the long-term survival of patients resected for primarily unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) downstaged by systemic chemotherapy and to use prognostic factors of outcome for a model predictive of survival on a preoperative setting.

1,424 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The association with longer overall survival suggests that FOLFIRI plus cetuximab could be the preferred first-line regimen for patients with KRAS exon 2 wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer.
Abstract: Summary Background Cetuximab and bevacizumab have both been shown to improve outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer when added to chemotherapy regimens; however, their comparative effectiveness when partnered with first-line fluorouracil, folinic acid, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) is unknown. We aimed to compare these agents in patients with KRAS (exon 2) codon 12/13 wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer. Methods In this open-label, randomised, phase 3 trial, we recruited patients aged 18–75 years with stage IV, histologically confirmed colorectal cancer, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status of 0–2, an estimated life expectancy of greater than 3 months, and adequate organ function, from centres in Germany and Austria. Patients were centrally randomised by fax (1:1) to FOLFIRI plus cetuximab or FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab (using permuted blocks of randomly varying size), stratified according to ECOG performance status, number of metastatic sites, white blood cell count, and alkaline phosphatase concentration. The primary endpoint was objective response analysed by intention to treat. The study has completed recruitment, but follow-up of participants is ongoing. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00433927. Findings Between Jan 23, 2007, and Sept 19, 2012, 592 patients with KRAS exon 2 wild-type tumours were randomly assigned and received treatment (297 in the FOLFIRI plus cetuximab group and 295 in the FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab group). 184 (62·0%, 95% CI 56·2–67·5) patients in the cetuximab group achieved an objective response compared with 171 (58·0%, 52·1–63·7) in the bevacizumab group (odds ratio 1·18, 95% CI 0·85–1·64; p=0·18). Median progression-free survival was 10·0 months (95% CI 8·8–10·8) in the cetuximab group and 10·3 months (9·8–11·3) in the bevacizumab group (hazard ratio [HR] 1·06, 95% CI 0·88–1·26; p=0·55); however, median overall survival was 28·7 months (95% CI 24·0–36·6) in the cetuximab group compared with 25·0 months (22·7–27·6) in the bevacizumab group (HR 0·77, 95% CI 0·62–0·96; p=0·017). Safety profiles were consistent with the known side-effects of the study drugs. The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events in both treatment groups were haematotoxicity (73 [25%] of 297 patients in the cetuximab group vs 62 [21%] of 295 patients in the bevacizumab group), skin reactions (77 [26%] vs six [2%]), and diarrhoea (34 [11%] vs 40 [14%]). Interpretation Although the proportion of patients who achieved an objective response did not significantly differ between the FOLFIRI plus cetuximab and FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab groups, the association with longer overall survival suggests that FOLFIRI plus cetuximab could be the preferred first-line regimen for patients with KRAS exon 2 wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer. Funding Merck KGaA.

1,403 citations

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