Book•
Monte Carlo Statistical Methods
01 Jan 1999-
TL;DR: This new edition contains five completely new chapters covering new developments and has sold 4300 copies worldwide of the first edition (1999).
Abstract: We have sold 4300 copies worldwide of the first edition (1999). This new edition contains five completely new chapters covering new developments.
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TL;DR: Following the discussion of interference temperature as a new metric for the quantification and management of interference, the paper addresses three fundamental cognitive tasks: radio-scene analysis, channel-state estimation and predictive modeling, and the emergent behavior of cognitive radio.
Abstract: Cognitive radio is viewed as a novel approach for improving the utilization of a precious natural resource: the radio electromagnetic spectrum. The cognitive radio, built on a software-defined radio, is defined as an intelligent wireless communication system that is aware of its environment and uses the methodology of understanding-by-building to learn from the environment and adapt to statistical variations in the input stimuli, with two primary objectives in mind: /spl middot/ highly reliable communication whenever and wherever needed; /spl middot/ efficient utilization of the radio spectrum. Following the discussion of interference temperature as a new metric for the quantification and management of interference, the paper addresses three fundamental cognitive tasks. 1) Radio-scene analysis. 2) Channel-state estimation and predictive modeling. 3) Transmit-power control and dynamic spectrum management. This work also discusses the emergent behavior of cognitive radio.
12,172 citations
TL;DR: This work considers approximate Bayesian inference in a popular subset of structured additive regression models, latent Gaussian models, where the latent field is Gaussian, controlled by a few hyperparameters and with non‐Gaussian response variables and can directly compute very accurate approximations to the posterior marginals.
Abstract: Structured additive regression models are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. It includes, among others, (generalized) linear models, (generalized) additive models, smoothing spline models, state space models, semiparametric regression, spatial and spatiotemporal models, log-Gaussian Cox processes and geostatistical and geoadditive models. We consider approximate Bayesian inference in a popular subset of structured additive regression models, latent Gaussian models, where the latent field is Gaussian, controlled by a few hyperparameters and with non-Gaussian response variables. The posterior marginals are not available in closed form owing to the non-Gaussian response variables. For such models, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be implemented, but they are not without problems, in terms of both convergence and computational time. In some practical applications, the extent of these problems is such that Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling is simply not an appropriate tool for routine analysis. We show that, by using an integrated nested Laplace approximation and its simplified version, we can directly compute very accurate approximations to the posterior marginals. The main benefit of these approximations is computational: where Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms need hours or days to run, our approximations provide more precise estimates in seconds or minutes. Another advantage with our approach is its generality, which makes it possible to perform Bayesian analysis in an automatic, streamlined way, and to compute model comparison criteria and various predictive measures so that models can be compared and the model under study can be challenged.
4,164 citations
Cites background from "Monte Carlo Statistical Methods"
...Latent Gaussian models have a numerous and wide ranging list of applications; most structured Bayesian models are in fact of this form; see for example Fahrmeir and Tutz (2001), Gelman et al. (2004) and Robert and Casella (1999)....
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...(2004) and Robert and Casella (1999). We shall first give some areas of applications grouped according to their physical dimension....
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TL;DR: For instance, mean-field variational inference as discussed by the authors approximates probability densities through optimization, which is used in many applications and tends to be faster than classical methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling.
Abstract: One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation involving the posterior density. In this article, we review variational inference (VI), a method from machine learning that approximates probability densities through optimization. VI has been used in many applications and tends to be faster than classical methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. The idea behind VI is to first posit a family of densities and then to find a member of that family which is close to the target density. Closeness is measured by Kullback–Leibler divergence. We review the ideas behind mean-field variational inference, discuss the special case of VI applied to exponential family models, present a full example with a Bayesian mixture of Gaussians, and derive a variant that uses stochastic optimization to scale up to massive data...
3,421 citations
TL;DR: The author demonstrates that the full collinearity test is successful in the identification of common method bias with a model that nevertheless passes standard convergent and discriminant validity assessment criteria based on a confirmation factor analysis.
Abstract: The author discusses common method bias in the context of structural equation modeling employing the partial least squares method PLS-SEM Two datasets were created through a Monte Carlo simulation to illustrate the discussion: one contaminated by common method bias, and the other not contaminated A practical approach is presented for the identification of common method bias based on variance inflation factors generated via a full collinearity test The author's discussion builds on an illustrative model in the field of e-collaboration, with outputs generated by the software WarpPLS They demonstrate that the full collinearity test is successful in the identification of common method bias with a model that nevertheless passes standard convergent and discriminant validity assessment criteria based on a confirmation factor analysis
2,867 citations
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Book•
01 Jan 1993TL;DR: This second edition reflects the same discipline and style that marked out the original and helped it to become a classic: proofs are rigorous and concise, the range of applications is broad and knowledgeable, and key ideas are accessible to practitioners with limited mathematical background.
Abstract: Meyn & Tweedie is back! The bible on Markov chains in general state spaces has been brought up to date to reflect developments in the field since 1996 - many of them sparked by publication of the first edition. The pursuit of more efficient simulation algorithms for complex Markovian models, or algorithms for computation of optimal policies for controlled Markov models, has opened new directions for research on Markov chains. As a result, new applications have emerged across a wide range of topics including optimisation, statistics, and economics. New commentary and an epilogue by Sean Meyn summarise recent developments and references have been fully updated. This second edition reflects the same discipline and style that marked out the original and helped it to become a classic: proofs are rigorous and concise, the range of applications is broad and knowledgeable, and key ideas are accessible to practitioners with limited mathematical background.
5,931 citations
TL;DR: A general parallel search method is described, based on statistical mechanics, and it is shown how it leads to a general learning rule for modifying the connection strengths so as to incorporate knowledge about a task domain in an efficient way.
3,727 citations
TL;DR: This chapter reviews the main methods for generating random variables, vectors and processes in non-uniform random variate generation, and provides information on the expected time complexity of various algorithms before addressing modern topics such as indirectly specified distributions, random processes, and Markov chain methods.
3,304 citations