Multi-technique observations of convective rain events at a tropical location

Abstract: In the present study, the effectiveness of nowcasting convective activities using a microwave radiometer has been examined for Kolkata (22.65° N, 88.45° E), a tropical location. It has been found that the standard deviation of brightness temperature (BT) at 22 GHz and instability indices like Lifting Index (LI), K Index (KI) and Humidity Index (HI) has shown definite changes before convective events. It is also seen that combination of standard deviation of BT at 22 GHz and LI can be most effective in predicting convection. A nowcasting algorithm is prepared using 18 isolated convective events of 2011 and in all cases, a marked variation of these parameters has been seen an hour before the event. Accordingly, a prediction model is developed and tested on convective events of 2012 and 2013. It is seen that the model gives reasonable success in predicting convective rain about 7075 min in advance with a prediction efficiency of 80%.

Abstract: Microwave radiometer is an effective instrument to monitor the atmosphere continuously in different weather conditions. It measures brightness temperatures at different frequency bands which are subjected to standard retrieval methods to obtain real time profiles of various atmospheric parameters such as temperature and humidity. But the retrieval techniques used by radiometer have to be adaptive to changing weather condition and location. In the present study, three retrieval techniques have been used to obtain the temperature and relative humidity profiles from brightness temperatures, namely; piecewise linear regression, feed forward neural network and neural back propagation network. The simulated results are compared with radiosonde observations using correlation analysis and error distribution. The analysis reveals that neural network with back propagation is the most accurate technique amongst the three retrieval methods utilized in this study.

Abstract: Radiometric observations of relative humidity profile at Kolkata show a significant fall at around 1 to 2 km height during convective rain events. An extensive investigation shows that the fall of relative humidity is not seen during calm conditions but is strongly related to the characteristics of temperature lapse rate profiles. Moreover, the phenomenon may have strong association with boundary layer structure. The reason for such anomalies in the planetary boundary layer humidity profile might be due to the release of latent heat at the mentioned altitude. The abundance of pollutant aerosols in urban regions has also been found to contribute to this relative humidity anomaly. It has also been reported that this boundary layer relative humidity is accompanied by high latent heat release and condensation of vapour to liquid which is not much prominent in other rain types as observed in stratiform rain. Hence, convective rain produces some unique boundary layer characteristics which have also been partially supported with allied satellite and multi-station observations.

Abstract: In this paper parameters of precipitation profiles obtained from precipitation radar aboard tropical rainfall measuring mission satellite and from ground based micro rain radar observations have been compared for different rain events. The dual frequency radar observations of precipitating atmosphere have been utilized to study the vertical profiles of radar reflectivity and rain rate. It is shown that the inclination of the ray path of the satellite borne radar significantly influences the rain rate measurements. The study demonstrates the efficacy of combining space borne and ground-based measurement in obtaining a complete profile of vertical rain structure.

Abstract: [1] In the present study, the feasibility of nowcasting convective activity is examined by using thermodynamic indices derived from the ground-based microwave radiometer (MWR) observations located at a tropical station, Gadanki (13.5°N, 79.2°E). There is a good comparison between thermodynamic parameters derived from MWR and colocated GPS radiosonde observations, indicating that MWR observations can be used to develop techniques for nowcasting severe convective activity. Using MWR observations, a nowcasting technique was developed with the data of 26 thunderstorm cases observed at Gadanki. The analysis showed that there are sharp changes in some thermodynamic indices, such as the K index, the humidity index, precipitable water content, the stability index, and equivalent potential temperature lapse rates, about 2–4 h before the occurrence of thunderstorm. A superepoch analysis was made to examine the composite temporal variations of the thermodynamic indices associated with the occurrence of thunderstorms. The superepoch analysis revealed that 2–4 h prior to the storm occurrence, appreciable variations in many parameters are observed, suggesting thermodynamic evolution of the boundary layer convective instability. It is further demonstrated that by monitoring these variations it is possible to predict the ensuing thunderstorm activity over the region at least 2 h in advance. The association between the temporal evolution of thermodynamic indices and convective activity has been tested for the independent case of nine thunderstorms. The present results suggest that ground-based MWR observations can be used effectively to predict the occurrence of thunderstorms at least 2 h in advance.

Abstract: . The preconvective environment on days with ordinary, widespread, and severe thunderstorms in Southwest Germany was investigated. Various thermodynamic and kinetic parameters calculated from radiosoundings at 12:00 UTC were verified against subsequent thunderstorm observations derived from SYNOP station data, radar data, and damage reports of a building insurance company. The skill of the convective parameters and indices to predict thunderstorms was evaluated by means of probability distribution functions, probabilities of thunderstorms according to an index threshold, and skill scores like the Heidke Skill Score (HSS) that are based on categorical verification. For the ordinary decision as to whether a thunderstorm day was expected or not, the best results were obtained with the original Lifted Index (80% prediction probability for LI≤−1.73; HSS=0.57 for LI≤1.76), the Showalter Index, and the modified K-Index. Considering days with isolated compared to widespread thunderstorms, the best performance is reached by the Deep Convective Index. For days with severe thunderstorms that caused damage due to hail, local storms or floods, the best prediction skill is found again for the Lifted Index and the Deep Convective Index, but also for the Potential Instability Index, the Delta-θe Index, and a version of the CAPE, where the lifting profile is determined by averaging over the lowest 100 hPa.

Abstract: A severe cyclone, named Aila, passed over Kolkata on 25 May 2009. The strong convective activities manifested through rainfall during the cyclone were studied with multi-technique observations involving micro rain radar, disdrometer, rain gauges, and a Ku-band satellite signal receiving system. A number of features of precipitation, namely the presence of large rain drops, the large vertical extent of the precipitating layer, an unusual enhancement of cross-polar component, and strong scintillations of the co-polar component of the satellite signal due to strong turbulences associated with the cyclone, were observed. This study leads to a more comprehensive understanding of the precipitation associated with a cyclonic storm.

Abstract: The phenomenon of depolarization of a Ku-band satellite signal caused by rain has been studied with a simple experimental system in which the attenuation of the copolar component and the enhancement of the cross-polar component signal have been measured at a tropical location. The degradation of cross-polarization discrimination (XPD) due to rain over the Earth space path has been obtained from these measurements and compared to that estimated from the ITU-R model, indicating the characteristic feature of a tropical location.

Abstract: Two ground-based instruments were designed and built in order to accomplish the present research. The first, based on the principle of the induction ring, measures the electric charge as well as the size of the individual raindrops. The other is a novel raingage providing the instantaneous value of the rainfall rate: a U-shaped tube turns the rainwater flow into an airflow more easily measured by a sensitive airflow meter. The adjustable range has been set between 1 and 100 mm h−1. Six spring showers were investigated. Individual electric charges between 5 and 100 pC have been measured on raindrops up to 4 mm in diameter. The data reduction shows that each shower must be studied separately, using several parameters. Under these conditions, there are two distinct types of precipitation, according to the sign of the charge excess they provide. The total charge carried down by each shower is primarily determined by the greater number of drops of one sign as compared to the other sign. Cross-correlat...