Niche‐based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale
Citations
5,314 citations
Cites background from "Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..."
...For example, they have been applied to study spread of invasive species (Thuiller et al. 2005), impacts of climate change (Thomas et al. 2004), and spatial patterns of species diversity (Graham et al. 2006)....
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...Example applications include predicting the effect of climate change on species distributions (Thomas et al. 2004, Araujo et al. 2005) and predicting areas at risk for species invasions (Peterson et al. 2003, Thuiller et al. 2005)....
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5,076 citations
Cites background from "Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..."
...Models of the biotic repercussions of global warming and landuse changes require forecasting (Araújo & New 2007, Fitzpatrick et al. 2007, Thuiller et al. 2005), and hindcasting is used for exploring the effects of climate on evolutionary patterns (Kitchener & Dugmore 2000, Kozak et al. 2008, Ruegg…...
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3,518 citations
Cites background from "Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..."
...Distribution models are used to evaluate the spreading potential of invading species (Peterson & Robins 2003; Rouget et al . 2004; Thuiller et al . 2005b ), identify and manage threatened species (Engler, Guisan & Rechsteiner 2004; Norris 2004), prioritize places for biodiversity conservation (Araujo et al . 2004; Ortega-Huerta & Peterson 2004; Sanchez-Cordero et al . 2005) and evaluate the potential impact of climate change on ......
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2,647 citations
Cites background from "Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..."
...…(Raxworthy et al., 2003; Bourg et al., 2005), projecting potential impacts of climate change (e.g. Iverson & Prasad, 1998; Thomas et al., 2004; Thuiller et al., 2005a), testing evolutionary hypotheses (e.g. Peterson et al., 1999; Graham et al., 2004b), predicting species invasions (e.g.…...
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...…Thomas et al., 2004; Thuiller et al., 2005a), testing evolutionary hypotheses (e.g. Peterson et al., 1999; Graham et al., 2004b), predicting species invasions (e.g. Peterson, 2003; Thuiller et al., 2005b) and supporting conservation planning (e.g. Araújo & Williams, 2000; Ferrier et al., 2002)....
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2,307 citations
Cites background from "Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..."
...Examples of such extrapolations involve future climate conditions (Thomas et al. 2004) or areas at risk for species invasions (Thuiller et al. 2005)....
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References
47,133 citations
"Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..." refers methods in this paper
...Generalized additive models (GAM, Hastie & Tibshirani, 1990) incorporated into the Splus-based BIOMOD application (Thuiller, 2003), relating the biome distributions to the four bioclimatic variables, were calibrated using a random sample of the data (70%) and a stepwise selection methodology, with the most parsimonious model being selected using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974)....
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...%) and a stepwise selection methodology, with the most parsimonious model being selected using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974)....
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21,958 citations
"Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..." refers methods in this paper
...Potential evapotranspiration estimates were calculated using the FAO 56 Penman Monteith combination equation (Allen et al., 1998), while actual evapotranspiration estimates were derived using the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model (Hickler et al., 2004)....
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...Potential evapotranspiration estimates were calculated using the FAO 56 Penman Monteith combination equation (Allen et al., 1998), while actual evapotranspiration estimates were derived using the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model (Hickler et al....
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8,569 citations
"Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..." refers methods in this paper
...To validate our prediction in South Africa, the predictive power of each model was evaluated on the remaining 30% of the data using the values obtained for the area under the curve (AUC) of a receiver–operating characteristic (ROC) plot of sensitivity against (1 sensitivity) (Swets, 1988)....
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8,401 citations
"Niche‐based modelling as a tool for..." refers background in this paper
...Because biological invasions are part of global change and as changes in species’ distributions alter global biodiversity (Vitousek et al., 1997; Chapin et al., 2000; Sala et al., 2000), procedures for identifying potential new areas for invaders must be incorporated into integrated strategies for reducing invasions....
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...…invasions are part of global change and as changes in species’ distributions alter global biodiversity (Vitousek et al., 1997; Chapin et al., 2000; Sala et al., 2000), procedures for identifying potential new areas for invaders must be incorporated into integrated strategies for reducing…...
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