On the looting of nations
Abstract: We develop a dynamic discrete choice model of an unchecked ruler making decisions regarding the development of a resource rich country. Resources serve as collateral and facilitate the acquisition of loans. The ruler chooses either to stay in power while facing the risk of being ousted, or loot the country’s riches by liquefying the resources through lending. We show that unstructured lending from international credit markets can create incentives to loot the country; and an enhanced likelihood of looting causes greater political instability, and diminishes growth. Using a treatment effects model, we find evidence that supports our predictions.
Cites background from "On the looting of nations"
...Another form treats institutions as exogenous to resource wealth, and the interaction between resources and institutions explains the divergent outcomes of resource-rich countries (Robinson et al 2006, Mehlum et al 2006, Sarr et al 2011)....
"On the looting of nations" refers background in this paper
...Banks recognise that adverse selection can result from price-based lending and so limit lending levels instead (Stiglitz and Weiss 1981)....