Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model☆
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors considered the continuous-time consumption-portfolio problem for an individual whose income is generated by capital gains on investments in assets with prices assumed to satisfy the geometric Brownian motion hypothesis, which implies that asset prices are stationary and lognormally distributed.
About: This article is published in Journal of Economic Theory.The article was published on 1971-12-01 and is currently open access. It has received 4952 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Geometric Brownian motion & Intertemporal portfolio choice.
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TL;DR: In this paper, the authors study the dynamics of the distribution of wealth in an economy with infinitely lived agents, intergenerational transmission of wealth, and redistributive fiscal policy and show that wealth accumulation with idiosyncratic investment risk and uncertain lifetimes can generate a double Pareto wealth distribution.
Abstract: We study the dynamics of the distribution of wealth in an economy with infinitely lived agents, intergenerational transmission of wealth, and redistributive fiscal policy We show that wealth accumulation with idiosyncratic investment risk and uncertain lifetimes can generate a double Pareto wealth distribution
72 citations
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...where J(W (s; t)) denotes the optimal value of the agent and E[ ] the expectation operator; see Merton (1992)....
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TL;DR: In this paper, a three-agent model with continuous-time stochastic variables, uncertain private production and government expenditure, and forward-looking rational agents is presented to determine the growth rate of output, physical capital accumulation, financial asset returns, and uncertain inflation.
72 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the existence of the cyclical solution and its global stability properties using elementary methods was proved and the occurrence of cycles in forest harvesting was given a resource economics interpretation.
72 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors study the optimal consumption and portfolio choice of an investor who has habit formation in preferences and access to a complete financial market, and provide an exact characterization of the optimal behavior in terms of two relatively simple and intuitively interpretable stochastic processes.
Abstract: We study the dynamic consumption and portfolio choice of an investor who has habit formation in preferences and access to a complete financial market. For general, possibly non-Markov, dynamics of market prices, we provide an exact characterization of the optimal behavior in terms of two relatively simple and intuitively interpretable stochastic processes. We study in more detail the optimal strategies in two concrete examples of time-varying investment opportunities. Firstly, we derive a closed-form solution of the optimal consumption and portfolio choice with mean-reverting stock returns. Secondly, with Cox-Ingersoll-Ross interest rate dynamics we can express the optimal strategies in terms of the solution to a partial differential equation, which has an explicit solution for time-additive preferences, but not with habit formation. Our numerical examples show that, while hedging demands for various assets are affected differently by habit persistence, the main effect on relative asset allocations stems from the fact that some assets (bonds and cash) are better investment objects than others (stocks) when it comes to ensuring that future consumption will not fall below the habit level. The implications of habit persistence in models with labor income are also addressed.
72 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, a mean-variance portfolio selection problem under a hidden Markovian regime-switching Black-Scholes-Merton economy is studied, where the appreciation rate of a risky share is modulated by a continuous-time, finite-state hidden markov chain whose states represent different states of an economy, and a robust filter-based EM algorithm for online recursive estimates of the unknown parameters in the model is developed.
72 citations
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TL;DR: In this paper, the combined problem of optimal portfolio selection and consumption rules for an individual in a continuous-time model was examined, where his income is generated by returns on assets and these returns or instantaneous "growth rates" are stochastic.
Abstract: OST models of portfolio selection have M been one-period models. I examine the combined problem of optimal portfolio selection and consumption rules for an individual in a continuous-time model whzere his income is generated by returns on assets and these returns or instantaneous "growth rates" are stochastic. P. A. Samuelson has developed a similar model in discrete-time for more general probability distributions in a companion paper [8]. I derive the optimality equations for a multiasset problem when the rate of returns are generated by a Wiener Brownian-motion process. A particular case examined in detail is the two-asset model with constant relative riskaversion or iso-elastic marginal utility. An explicit solution is also found for the case of constant absolute risk-aversion. The general technique employed can be used to examine a wide class of intertemporal economic problems under uncertainty. In addition to the Samuelson paper [8], there is the multi-period analysis of Tobin [9]. Phelps [6] has a model used to determine the optimal consumption rule for a multi-period example where income is partly generated by an asset with an uncertain return. Mirrless [5] has developed a continuous-time optimal consumption model of the neoclassical type with technical progress a random variable.
4,908 citations
Book•
01 Jan 1965
TL;DR: This book should be of interest to undergraduate and postgraduate students of probability theory.
Abstract: This book should be of interest to undergraduate and postgraduate students of probability theory.
3,597 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the optimal consumption-investment problem for an investor whose utility for consumption over time is a discounted sum of single-period utilities, with the latter being constant over time and exhibiting constant relative risk aversion (power-law functions or logarithmic functions), is discussed.
Abstract: Publisher Summary This chapter reviews the optimal consumption-investment problem for an investor whose utility for consumption over time is a discounted sum of single-period utilities, with the latter being constant over time and exhibiting constant relative risk aversion (power-law functions or logarithmic functions). It presents a generalization of Phelps' model to include portfolio choice and consumption. The explicit form of the optimal solution is derived for the special case of utility functions having constant relative risk aversion. The optimal portfolio decision is independent of time, wealth, and the consumption decision at each stage. Most analyses of portfolio selection, whether they are of the Markowitz–Tobin mean-variance or of more general type, maximize over one period. The chapter only discusses special and easy cases that suffice to illustrate the general principles involved and presents the lifetime model that reveals that investing for many periods does not itself introduce extra tolerance for riskiness at early or any stages of life.
2,369 citations
Book•
17 Jan 2012
TL;DR: In this article, a book on stochastic stability and control dealing with Liapunov function approach to study of Markov processes is presented, which is based on the work of this article.
Abstract: Book on stochastic stability and control dealing with Liapunov function approach to study of Markov processes
1,293 citations
987 citations