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Journal ArticleDOI

Parsimonious hydrological modeling of urban sewer and river catchments

TL;DR: In this paper, a parsimonious model of flow capable of simulating flow in natural/engineered catchments and at WWTP (Wastewater Treatment Plant) inlets was developed.
About: This article is published in Journal of Hydrology.The article was published on 2012-09-25 and is currently open access. It has received 36 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Impervious surface & Combined sewer.

Summary (4 min read)

1. Introduction

  • Catchment modeling is a mature discipline, and much research and modeling has been carried out on natural catchments.
  • Such models are valuable for many purposes, of course.
  • Aquatic Science and Technolerland. , Swiss Federal Institute of m/, last accessed December and Woolhiser (2002) for a review).
  • The model integrates the main physical processes in urban catchments (i.e., precipitation, infiltration, soil moisture, runoff, streamflow and groundwater flow), but without consideration of the detailed pipe drainage network.
  • In urban systems, these two endpoints drain overlapping basins.

2. Design and mathematical description of the model

  • The basin is modeled as a set of three storages (one surface and two subsurface), each characterized by a state variable representing the water stored within it (Fig. 1).
  • The two meteorological forcings considered are precipitation and air temperature, T, both assumed uniform over the basin.
  • The subterranean layer is represented as composed of two reservoirs: the upper soil (or root zone) region and the groundwater region with, respectively, storages of Su and Sg (Botter et al., 2010).

2.1. Modeling of surface processes

  • This water bypasses the subsurface flow, and is treated as a separate component in the lumped model.
  • When falling on the pervious fraction of the basin, the rain can either infiltrate or produce overland flow.
  • This storage also receives the precipitation flux falling on any impervious surfaces, jAi.
  • The output, Q sup, from this storage produces the fast component of the total streamflow.

2.2. Modeling of subsurface processes

  • Surface infiltration enters the root zone storage, the total volume of which is: Su ¼ ZhAp; ð3Þ with Z [L] the depth of the active soil layer.
  • Two types of outputs from this region are considered: evapotranspiration, ET, and deep percolation, Je.

ET ¼ ApETmaxf ðhÞ; ð4Þ

  • A fraction jAi of the rainfall enters this apotranspires or percolates to the subsurface linear reservoir (Sg ).
  • Note that same ulate flow at the WWTP entrance, the subsurface reservoir discharges into the pipe to artificial inputs from water use (see Section 2.4).
  • The maximum evapotranspiration is computed through a modified version of the Blaney–Criddle equation (e.g., Doorenbos and Pruitt, 1975): ETmax ¼ aþ b½pð0:46Tþ 8:13Þ ; ð6Þ where a and b are fitting parameters and p is the mean annual percentage of daytime hours, which varies only with latitude (Allen et al., 1998).
  • This formulation of subterranean flow, based on Botter et al. (2010), is easily extendible to account for interflow (or subsurface runoff) through shallow soil layers.

2.3. Consideration of CSOs

  • A characteristic feature of hybrid sewer networks are CSOs.
  • In the drainage network, CSOs divert flows above a certain level directly to receiving waters, rather than to the WWTP (Butler and Davies, 2010; Lee and Bang, 2000; Wisner et al., 1981).
  • The authors consider in this study that a single, representative flow delimiter is sufficient to model the effect of all CSOs of the system in a lumped fashion manner.
  • This representative CSO is modeled using a diversion law that follows a linear threshold-limited function (in Fig. 2).

2.4. Dynamics of wastewater production

  • During dry weather, discharges arriving at the WWTP inlet are determined mainly by two phenomena: (i) infiltration of groundwater into the pipe network (see Section 2.2 and Dupont et al. (2006); Göbel et al. (2004)) and, (ii) water use and consequent wastewater production.
  • This ‘artificial’ water input, which is not present in a natural catchment, is modeled based on statistical analysis presented by Jordan (2010).
  • Monthly, daily and hourly flow coefficients are extrapolated from temporal series analysis and considered as characteristic of the system.
  • This includes direct water consumption in households, and all parasitic clear water (fountains, street washing, industrial uses, etc).

3. Optimization of hydrological quality index

  • Model calibration was performed based on the two objective functions in Table 1, since this combination has been found to yield better overall fits (Hingray et al., 2009; Perrin et al., 2001).
  • The list of fitting criteria and the range of prior values given before calibration process can be found in Table 2.
  • Similarly to Fenicia et al. (2006) and Seibert (2000), the calibration approach adopted here is based on a Monte Carlo algorithm designed to optimize the model performance, using the Nash–Sutcliffe (NS) and the Normalized Bias (NB) criteria (Table 1).
  • The former places an emphasis on the model’s ability to estimate large magnitudes (i.e., peak discharge), while the latter weights more the deviation between simulated and observed water balance, as follows: Minfð1 NSÞþ j NB jg: ð10Þ 4 http://www.meteosuisse.ch, last accessed January 2012.

4.1. Application of the model to an urban basin: Modeling of flow at the river outlet and WWTP entrance

  • The same modeling framework is employed to model both the dynamics of flows at an urban river outlet and inlet of a local WWTP.
  • The application area is the city of Lausanne in Switzerland, which has a population of about 200,000 and is characterized by a steep average gradient towards nearby Lake Geneva.
  • A feature of Lausanne is that the WWTP catchment and the river catchment overlap over a fraction of the city (Fig. 3).
  • The model is calibrated twice on the same time period, once to model the WWTP input, and once to model the river output to the adjacent Lake Geneva, which is the receiving water body for both river and WWTP discharges.

4.2. Application to the WWTP basin

  • The WWTP catchment under study is the Lausanne hybrid (partially-separate) sewer system, drains to the Vidy Bay WWTP.
  • A large part of the water is in consequence diverted through drainage out of the WWTP basin.
  • The flow rate at the WWTP entrance during significant storm events is attenuated by the presence of CSOs; this behavior is captured by the simulator.
  • The modeling results in Fig. 4 do not capture perfectly the measured data.

4.3. Application to the river basin

  • The modeled river, called the Vuachère, is located in the eastern part of the city of Lausanne (Fig. 3).
  • The flow rate was measured at the outlet of the river basin, just before discharge into Lake Geneva.
  • The calibration and validation periods were taken the same as for the WWTP basin modeling.
  • Different factors in the model drive the simulated flow dynamics in the river.

5. Sensitivity analysis

  • A sensitivity analysis was conducted to estimate the influence of the model parameters (Table 2).
  • Each parameter was varied within the prior range of acceptable values for this parameter, and the two fitting criteria (Nash–Sutcliff and Normal Bias) computed.
  • The authors see from Fig. 7 that two parameters mainly govern the overall performance of the model.
  • These are the discharge constants of the surface impervious reservoir (ksup) and the subsurface reservoir (ksub).
  • On the other hand, changes in the ksub value degrade the ability of the model to reproduce the base flow, and thus move the Normal Bias criterion away from its optimal value of 0, in addition to affecting the Nash–Sutcliff criterion.

6. Discussion

  • The lumped modeling approach was designed to predict, with an identical framework, both flow at the WWTP inlet and at the outlet of the river basin overlapping the WWTP catchment.
  • Saturation excess could be easily implemented but at cost of additional calibration parameter.
  • Another key assumption is the way CSOs are represented.
  • For the river, CSOs provide additional water as excess water in the pipe network is diverted to prevent overloading the WWTP.
  • In agreement with Leon et al. (2010), the study presented here presents a physically consistent model that, despite its simplifications, allows prediction of water flow dynamics in two structurally different basins.

7. Conclusion

  • A hierarchical physically based storage and transmission model was designed as an alternative means for simulating continuous flow dynamics in complex engineered urban basins.
  • The model ignores the complexity of the drainage network, while reproducing efficiently the flow dynamics at the different end-points.
  • Two important modeling assumptions are: (i) the pipe network is replaced by an underground impervious area and thus overland flow and pipe discharge can be together modeled as a fast discharge linear reservoir, and (ii) the water diverted out of the sewer system through the different CSOs can be combined together through the hydraulic discharge function of a representative CSO.
  • Therefore, their approach is ideal for repetitive tasks such as model calibration and optimization.
  • In addition, the model can serve as the flow part of more complex models assessing complex diffuse pollution production and transfer processes.

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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A structured approach to select, among five variants, the optimal bias de- scription for a given urban or natural case study and results clearly show that flow simulations are much more reliable when bias is accounted for than when it is neglected.
Abstract: . Hydrodynamic models are useful tools for urban water management. Unfortunately, it is still challenging to obtain accurate results and plausible uncertainty estimates when using these models. In particular, with the currently applied statistical techniques, flow predictions are usually overconfident and biased. In this study, we present a flexible and relatively efficient methodology (i) to obtain more reliable hydrological simulations in terms of coverage of validation data by the uncertainty bands and (ii) to separate prediction uncertainty into its components. Our approach acknowledges that urban drainage predictions are biased. This is mostly due to input errors and structural deficits of the model. We address this issue by describing model bias in a Bayesian framework. The bias becomes an autoregressive term additional to white measurement noise, the only error type accounted for in traditional uncertainty analysis. To allow for bigger discrepancies during wet weather, we make the variance of bias dependent on the input (rainfall) or/and output (runoff) of the system. Specifically, we present a structured approach to select, among five variants, the optimal bias description for a given urban or natural case study. We tested the methodology in a small monitored stormwater system described with a parsimonious model. Our results clearly show that flow simulations are much more reliable when bias is accounted for than when it is neglected. Furthermore, our probabilistic predictions can discriminate between three uncertainty contributions: parametric uncertainty, bias, and measurement errors. In our case study, the best performing bias description is the output-dependent bias using a log-sinh transformation of data and model results. The limitations of the framework presented are some ambiguity due to the subjective choice of priors for bias parameters and its inability to address the causes of model discrepancies. Further research should focus on quantifying and reducing the causes of bias by improving the model structure and propagating input uncertainty.

100 citations


Cites background from "Parsimonious hydrological modeling ..."

  • ...Lumped modeling is particularly appropriate when a study focuses on outlet discharge and computation can be a limiting factor (Coutu et al., 2012)....

    [...]

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TL;DR: The results of the case study indicate that the uncertainty in calibration data derived by the rating curve method may be of the same relevance as rainfall-runoff model parameters themselves.
Abstract: Streamflow cannot be measured directly and is typically derived with a rating curve model. Unfortunately, this causes uncertainties in the streamflow data and also in- fluences the calibration of rainfall-runoff models if they are conditioned on such data. However, it is currently unknown to what extent these uncertainties propagate to rainfall-runoff predictions. This study therefore presents a quantitative ap- proach to rigorously consider the impact of the rating curve on the prediction uncertainty of water levels. The uncer- tainty analysis is performed within a formal Bayesian frame- work and the contributions of rating curve versus rainfall- runoff model parameters to the total predictive uncertainty are addressed. A major benefit of the approach is its inde- pendence from the applied rainfall-runoff model and rating curve. In addition, it only requires already existing hydro- metric data. The approach was successfully demonstrated on a small catchment in Poland, where a dedicated monitoring campaign was performed in 2011. The results of our case study indicate that the uncertainty in calibration data derived by the rating curve method may be of the same relevance as rainfall-runoff model parameters themselves. A conceptual limitation of the approach presented is that it is limited to water level predictions. Nevertheless, regarding flood level predictions, the Bayesian framework seems very promising because it (i) enables the modeler to incorporate informal knowledge from easily accessible information and (ii) bet- ter assesses the individual error contributions. Especially the latter is important to improve the predictive capability of hy- drological models.

51 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present two stochastic models, with different levels of complexity, that link the key physical features of urbanized basins with rainfall variability to determine the resulting flow duration curves.
Abstract: Given the critical role of the streamflow regime for instream, riparian, and floodplain ecosystem sustainability, modeling the long-term effect of urbanization on streamflow is important to predict possible changes in stream ecosystems. Since flow duration curves are largely used to characterize the streamflow regime and define indices for stream ecosystem health, we present two stochastic models, with different levels of complexity, that link the key physical features of urbanized basins with rainfall variability to determine the resulting flow duration curves. The two models are tested against 11 basins with various degrees of urban development, characterized by the percentage of impervious areas in the basin. Results show that the more complex model needs to be used to reproduce accurately the entire flow duration curve. The analysis performed suggests that the transformation of green (i.e., water used in evapotranspiration) to blue (i.e., streamflow) water in urbanized basins is an important long-term source of ecohydrological alteration. The modeling scheme also provides useful links between rainfall variability, urbanization levels, and some streamflow indices of high and low flows.

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TL;DR: In this particular case, ciprofloxacin was found to be the most problematic compound, with a risk quotient far above 1, and a treatment at the WWTP is not sufficient to reduce the risk, and additional measures at the CSO or at the hospital should be considered.

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Cites background or methods from "Parsimonious hydrological modeling ..."

  • ...The closer this coefficient is to 1, the better the model fits the data, especially during high-flow periods [Reichert and Mieleitner, 2009; Coutu et al., 2012]....

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  • ...Parsimonious linear models, using as input spatially aggregate rainfall, are effective tools to reproduce the discharge dynamics at the catchment outlet during storm events [Coutu et al., 2012; Sun and Bertrand-Krajewski, 2013]....

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References
More filters
Book
01 Jan 1998
TL;DR: In this paper, an updated procedure for calculating reference and crop evapotranspiration from meteorological data and crop coefficients is presented, based on the FAO Penman-Monteith method.
Abstract: (First edition: 1998, this reprint: 2004). This publication presents an updated procedure for calculating reference and crop evapotranspiration from meteorological data and crop coefficients. The procedure, first presented in FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 24, Crop water requirements, in 1977, allows estimation of the amount of water used by a crop, taking into account the effect of the climate and the crop characteristics. The publication incorporates advances in research and more accurate procedures for determining crop water use as recommended by a panel of high-level experts organised by FAO in May 1990. The first part of the guidelines includes procedures for determining reference crop evapotranspiration according to the FAO Penman-Monteith method. These are followed by updated procedures for estimating the evapotranspiration of different crops for different growth stages and ecological conditions.

21,958 citations


"Parsimonious hydrological modeling ..." refers background or methods in this paper

  • ...…is computed through a modified version of the Blaney–Criddle equation (e.g., Doorenbos and Pruitt, 1975): ETmax ¼ aþ b½pð0:46Tþ 8:13Þ ; ð6Þ where a and b are fitting parameters and p is the mean annual percentage of daytime hours, which varies only with latitude (Allen et al., 1998)....

    [...]

  • ...where a and b are fitting parameters and p is the mean annual percentage of daytime hours, which varies only with latitude (Allen et al., 1998)....

    [...]

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the principles governing the application of the conceptual model technique to river flow forecasting are discussed and the necessity for a systematic approach to the development and testing of the model is explained and some preliminary ideas suggested.

19,601 citations

01 Jan 1979
TL;DR: In this paper, a hydrological forecasting model is presented that attempts to combine the important distributed effects of channel network topology and dynamic contributing areas with the advantages of simple lumped parameter basin models.
Abstract: A hydrological forecasting model is presented that attempts to combine the important distributed effects of channel network topology and dynamic contributing areas with the advantages of simple lumped parameter basin models. Quick response flow is predicted from a storage/contributing area relationship derived analytically from the topographic structure of a unit within a basin. Average soil water response is represented by a constant leakage infiltration store and an exponential subsurface water store. A simple non-linear routing procedure related to the link frequency distribution of the channel network completes the model and allows distinct basin sub-units, such as headwater and sideslope areas to be modelled separately. The model parameters are physically based in the sense that they may be determined directly by measurement and the model may be used at ungauged sites. Procedures for applying the model and tests with data from the Crimple Beck basin are described. Using only measured and estimated parameter values, without optimization, the model makes satisfactory predictions of basin response. The modular form of the model structure should allow application over a range of small and medium sized basins while retaining the possibility of including more complex model components when suitable data are available.

6,158 citations

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TL;DR: In this paper, a hydrological forecasting model is presented that combines the important distributed effects of channel network topology and dynamic contributing areas with the advantages of simple luminescence.
Abstract: A hydrological forecasting model is presented that attempts to combine the important distributed effects of channel network topology and dynamic contributing areas with the advantages of simple lum...

4,668 citations

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Frequently Asked Questions (11)
Q1. What are the main physical processes driving the discharge at the two basin end-points in this?

The dominant physical processes driving water discharge at the two basin end-points in this study are Hortonian runoff, evapotranspiration, and gravity-driven percolation to groundwater. 

Two important modeling assumptions are: (i) the pipe network is replaced by an underground impervious area and thus overland flow and pipe discharge can be together modeled as a fast discharge linear reservoir, and (ii) the water diverted out of the sewer system through the different CSOs can be combined together through the hydraulic discharge function of a representative CSO. 

Most popular urban hydrological models used in research and engineering (e.g., MOUSE (Hernebring et al., 2002), SWMM3) are spatially distributed with link-node drainage networks. 

In this study, a hierarchical physically based storage and transmission model was designed as an alternative means for simulating continuous flow dynamics in complex engineered urban basins. 

In addition, the hydrological model integrates functions that aim to reproduce characteristic daily variations of dry weather flow to the WWTP. 

Detailed modeling of drainage systems is often deemed necessary because of the complexity of flow paths in urban catchments (Cantone and Schmid, 2011; Gironás et al., 2009). 

The type of precipitation is determined based on a temperature threshold (DeWalle and Rango, 2008; Schaefli et al., 2005): when T is above the threshold Tcr , precipitation occurs as rain, otherwise precipitation is frozen. 

This CSO, the closest CSO to the WWTP, is responsible for more than a third of all CSO discharge, and is typically the first to become operational in storms (e-dric.ch, 2008). 

During dry weather, discharges arriving at the WWTP inlet are determined mainly by two phenomena: (i) infiltration of groundwater into the pipe network (see Section 2.2 and Dupont et al. (2006); Göbel et al. (2004)) and, (ii) water use and consequent wastewater production. 

It is a typical urban catchment, where much water comes from toilets, washing, industry and other uses, rather than directly from natural sources. 

Saturation excess was not implemented in their modeling scheme as the authors considered an unlimited reservoir height – i.e., the reservoir is never full – and this could lead to underestimation of surface runoff (Buda et al., 2009; MartínezMena et al., 1998; Nachabe et al., 1997).