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Journal ArticleDOI

Performance characteristics of MM5-SMOKE-CMAQ for a summer photochemical episode in southeast England, United Kingdom

01 Jun 2008-Atmospheric Environment (Pergamon)-Vol. 42, Iss: 20, pp 4870-4883
TL;DR: In this paper, a Mesoscale Model (MM5), Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) and Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model has been applied to a summer photochemical period in southeast England, UK.
Abstract: In this study a modelling system consisting of Mesoscale Model (MM5), Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) and Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model has been applied to a summer photochemical period in southeast England, UK. Ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations modelled with different horizontal grid resolutions (9 and 3 km) were evaluated against available ground-level observations from the UK Automatic Urban and Rural Network (AURN) and London Air Quality Network (LAQN) for the period of 24–28 June 2001 with a focus on O3 predictions. This effort, which represents the first comprehensive performance evaluation of the modelling system over a UK domain, reveals that CMAQ's ability to reproduce surface O3 observations varies with O3 concentrations. It underpredicts O3 mixing ratios on high-O3 days and overpredicts the maximum and minimum hourly O3 values for most low-O3 days. Model sensitivity analysis with doubled anthropogenic NOx or volatile organic compounds (VOC) emissions and analysis of the daylight-averaged levels of OX (sum of O3 and NO2) as a function of NOx revealed that the undereprediction of peak O3 concentrations on high-O3 days is caused by the underprediction of regional contribution and to a lesser extent local production, which might be related to the underestimation of European emissions in EMEP inventory and the lacked reactivity of the modelled atmosphere. CMAQ systematically underpredicts hourly NO2 mixing ratios but captures the temporal variations. The normalized mean bias for hourly NO2, although much larger than that for O3, falls well within the generally accepted range of −20% to −50%. CMAQ with both resolutions (9 and 3 km) significantly underpredicts PM2.5 mass concentrations and fails to reproduce its temporal variations. While model performance for O3 and PM2.5 are not very sensitive to model grid resolutions, a better agreement between modelled and measured hourly NO2 mixing ratios was achieved with higher resolution. Further investigation into the uncertainties in meteorological input, uncertainties in emissions, as well as representation of physical and chemical processes (e.g. chemical mechanism) in the model is needed to identify the causes for the discrepancies between observations and predictions.

Summary (2 min read)

1. Introduction

  • Especially in transportation and in industry, pollutant concentrations in many European cities are still likely to exceed ambient air quality standards and guidelines.
  • Elevated concentrations of tropospheric ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter are known to have negative effects on human health and the environment (e.g. Englert, 2004; Koop and Tole, 2006), and to a larger extent have important influence on the global atmospheric chemistry and climate change (Jenkin and Clemitshaw, 2000).
  • During the last two decades different air quality models, ranging from simple statistical models to fully threedimensional (3-D) comprehensive Eulerian models, have been developed in Europe and elsewhere.
  • The purpose of the present study is to apply CMAQ to the UK domain and evaluate its ability to simulate ambient concentrations of O3, NO2 and PM2.5 in the southeast of England during a summer (June 2001) air pollution episode.

2.1. Modelling period and CMAQ configuration

  • The degree of severity of summertime photochemical episodes largely depends on daytime air temperature, and high summertime air pollution events are almost always associated with anticyclonic conditions and temperatures in excess of 28–30 1C (UK PORG, 1997).
  • Fig. 1a shows the CMAQ modelling domain that consists of four nested domains with resolutions of 81, 27, 9 and 3 km.
  • Vertical layers were unevenly distributed with fifteen layers in the lowest kilometre and a surface layer of approxi- Please cite this article as: Yu, Y., et al., Performance characteristics of southeast England, United Kingdom.
  • 2. Model input preparation 2.2.1. Meteorology The Fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) MM5, version 3 (Dudhia et al., 2004) was used to generate meteorological fields for CMAQ.

2.2.2. Emissions

  • Point source emissions were extracted from the European Pollutant Emission Register (EPER, http://www.eper.cec.eu.int/) and NAEI database, for non-UK and UK point sources, respectively.
  • It is assumed that the speciation profile for the UK could be applied across Europe without further adjustment.
  • Values of ei and D are taken from Sanderson (2002); gi is the environmental correction factor accounting for the dependence on temperature and radiation (Guenther et al., 1995).
  • Then the 44 CORINE land use classes were aggregated into four ecosystems (i.e. grass, broadleaf forest, needle leaf forest and shrub) and the fraction of the area of each grid cell covered by each ecosystem class and the associated emissions of isoprene and monoterpenes was calculated using the hourly temperature and solar radiation values from MM5.

2.2.3. Initial and boundary conditions

  • The initial and boundary conditions for the coarsest CMAQ domain were generated based on monthly mean data from the UK Met Office global 3-D Lagrangian tropospheric chemistry model .
  • This model outputs concentrations of 26 species with a horizontal resolution of 51 latitude 51 longitude and nine vertical layers extending from surface up to 150 hPa (Collins et al., 1997).
  • The initial and boundary conditions for the inner three domains are provided by the coarser domain.

3.1. Meteorological predictions

  • The MM5 modelled near-surface temperature, wind speed and wind direction were compared to hourly weather observations from 29 land surface stations archived at the Met Office Integrated Data Archive System (MIDAS; UK Meteorological Office, 2006).
  • These values reflect averages over space (all monitoring stations within the 3 kmgrid CMAQ domain) and time (all hours in the simulation period).
  • The model is able to reproduce the major features of the observed wind and temperature fields and the modelled profiles show a generally good agreement with measurements.
  • The locations of air quality monitoring sites used in the evaluation are shown in Fig. 1b.
  • In addition to the statistical measures used in Section 3.1, the correlation coefficient R was also calculated to quantify the model performance.

3.2.3. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5)

  • Hourly measurements of PM2.5 are available at four sites within the evaluation domain (one of them is located at roadside and is not included in the present study).
  • The limited availability of PM2.5 mass concentration and composition data makes the results of the model performance analysis less conclusive and robust; however, the analysis still provides a general indication of the model performance.
  • The above results on O3 predictions reveal a general underprediction of the hourly and daily maximum 8-h mean O3 mixing ratios by CMAQ for the studied area, especially on high-O3 days.
  • Previous study by Clapp and Jenkin (2001) shows that the level of OX (the sum of O3 and NO2) at a given location is made up of NOx-independent regional contribution (the intercept) and NOxdependent local contribution (the slope).
  • Please cite this article as: Yu, Y., et al., Performance characteristics of southeast England, United Kingdom.

5. Conclusions

  • A performance evaluation of MM5–SMOKE–CMAQ modelling system for southeast England, UK, for a summer photochemical episode has been presented.
  • The evaluation shows that CMAQ tends to underpredict hourly O3 mixing ratios on high-O3 days and overpredict the maximum and minimum O3 mixing ratios for most low-O3 days.
  • NOx emissions from soil were not accounted for in the present study.
  • The authors are thankful to Richard Derwent for providing the STOCHEM simulations.

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Citations
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Frequently Asked Questions (2)
Q1. What have the authors contributed in "Performance characteristics of mm5–smoke–cmaq for a summer photochemical episode in southeast england, united kingdom" ?

In this study the Mesoscale Model ( MM5 ) –Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions ( SMOKE ) –Community Multiscale Air Quality ( CMAQ ) modelling system has been applied to a summer photochemical period in southeast England, UK. Further investigation into the uncertainties in UN 95 97 99 101 103 e front matter r 2008 Elsevier Ltd. 

Further studies, however, are needed to explore how the model response to uncertainties linked to different processes of tropospheric chemistry modelling, namely large-scale pollution transport, refinement of emission inventory, as well as representation of the physical and chemical processes ( e. g. enhanced VOC reactivity under episodic conditions ).