Potential Science and Technology Game Changers for the Ground Warfare of 2050: Selected Projections Made in 2017
01 Feb 2018-
About: The article was published on 2018-02-01 and is currently open access. It has received 4 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Technology forecasting.
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Posted Content•
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore an approach to identify a composite measure called a Figure of Regularity (FoR) for diverse classes of small arms -bow, crossbow, harquebuses, muskets, rifles, repeaters, and assault rifles -and show that this measure agrees well with the empirical data.
Abstract: Considering a broad family of technologies where a measure of performance (MoP) is difficult or impossible to formulate, we seek an alternative measure that exhibits a regular pattern of evolution over time, similar to how a MoP may follow a Moore's law. In an empirical case study, we explore an approach to identifying such a composite measure called a Figure of Regularity (FoR). We use the proposed approach to identify a novel FoR for diverse classes of small arms - bows, crossbows, harquebuses, muskets, rifles, repeaters, and assault rifles - and show that this FoR agrees well with the empirical data. We identify a previously unreported regular trend in the FoR of an exceptionally long duration - from approximately 1200 CE to the present - and discuss how research managers can analyze long-term trends in conjunction with a portfolio of research directions.
5 citations
18 Feb 2022
TL;DR: In this article , the authors analyse the public rhetoric of American military stakeholders in the quantum industry and argue that this rhetoric and the desire for quantum arms align with the reproduction of existing violent power structures.
Abstract: Doing quantum ethics properly will require detailed socio-political analysis of the technologies and the organizations trying to build them. In this paper, I contribute to this task by analysing the public rhetoric of American military stakeholders in the quantum industry. I look at Air Force Research Laboratory involvement in the 2020 Quantum 2 Business conference, where they were the main sponsor. A critical thematic analysis shows a focus on enacting the violence of war, maintaining narratives that the Air Force provides a secure future for Americans, and marrying quantum technology with the aesthetics of war. I contextualize this with anti-imperialist theory, arguing that this rhetoric and the desire for quantum arms aligns with the reproduction of existing violent power structures. Insights about this example of military involvement in quantum spaces should help orient nascent critical quantum ethics interventions.
3 citations
27 Apr 2018
TL;DR: Several social computing strategies resulting from a workshop at the U.S. Army Research Laboratory are discussed and a set of recommendations for integrating social computing in key ARL basic research science and technology objectives are proposed.
Abstract: Social computing blends computational techniques such as statistics, machine learning, text mining, and graph theory, with psychological and organizational theories of process and structure, and social science theories of membership, engagement and communication. The application of social computing approaches for assessing and shaping the sociocultural landscape within an area of operations is of growing interest to the defense and intelligence community. These approaches can enable the understanding of how patterns of relations among actors, their environment, and resources influence behavior, and how interventions might change those patterns so altering that behavior. Recently the Army conducted a Workshop on Social Computing Research at the U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL). The purpose of the workshop was to understand the strengths and limits of current computational research applied to socially-created data while identifying critical research needs and opportunities of interest to the Army. We discuss several social computing strategies resulting from the workshop and propose a set of recommendations for integrating social computing in key ARL basic research science and technology objectives.
1 citations
References
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Book•
09 Oct 2015
TL;DR: In this paper, the challenge of complexity in linear systems has been discussed and the fractional calculus has been used to control complexity of linear systems, including the size effect.
Abstract: Nomenclature The Challenge of Complexity Little Science, Big Science Complexity Chapter Overviews After Thoughts Yesterday's Science Simple Linearity Complicated Linearity Nonlinear Dynamics After Thoughts Appendix Chapter 2 New Ways of Thinking Why Now? Through the Looking Glass Non-differentiablity can be Physical The size effect After Thoughts Simple Fractional Operators Random Walks Fractional Derivatives Fractional Rate Equations After Thoughts Tomorrow's Dynamics What We Think We Know Linear Systems 126 5.2 Fractional Linear System Applications of FLE Control of Complexity Fractional Logistic Equation Fractional Leibniz Rule After Thoughts Appendix Chapter 5 Fractional Cooperation HRV and Levy Statistics Fractional Wave Equations Turbulence Fractional Magnetization Equations Fractional Search Hypothesis The Network Effect After Thoughts Strange Statistics Fractional Hamiltonian Formalism Anomalous Transport Fractional Fokker-Planck Equation Fractional Sturm-Liouville Theory Fractional Kinetics Equation Physiology and Complexity Loss Diffusion Entropy After Thoughts Appendices Chapter 7 What have we learned? Why the fractional calculus? Conformation Bias and Scientific Truth Final Thoughts
103 citations
Posted Content•
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore an approach to identify a composite measure called a Figure of Regularity (FoR) for diverse classes of small arms -bow, crossbow, harquebuses, muskets, rifles, repeaters, and assault rifles -and show that this measure agrees well with the empirical data.
Abstract: Considering a broad family of technologies where a measure of performance (MoP) is difficult or impossible to formulate, we seek an alternative measure that exhibits a regular pattern of evolution over time, similar to how a MoP may follow a Moore's law. In an empirical case study, we explore an approach to identifying such a composite measure called a Figure of Regularity (FoR). We use the proposed approach to identify a novel FoR for diverse classes of small arms - bows, crossbows, harquebuses, muskets, rifles, repeaters, and assault rifles - and show that this FoR agrees well with the empirical data. We identify a previously unreported regular trend in the FoR of an exceptionally long duration - from approximately 1200 CE to the present - and discuss how research managers can analyze long-term trends in conjunction with a portfolio of research directions.
5 citations
27 Apr 2018
TL;DR: Several social computing strategies resulting from a workshop at the U.S. Army Research Laboratory are discussed and a set of recommendations for integrating social computing in key ARL basic research science and technology objectives are proposed.
Abstract: Social computing blends computational techniques such as statistics, machine learning, text mining, and graph theory, with psychological and organizational theories of process and structure, and social science theories of membership, engagement and communication. The application of social computing approaches for assessing and shaping the sociocultural landscape within an area of operations is of growing interest to the defense and intelligence community. These approaches can enable the understanding of how patterns of relations among actors, their environment, and resources influence behavior, and how interventions might change those patterns so altering that behavior. Recently the Army conducted a Workshop on Social Computing Research at the U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL). The purpose of the workshop was to understand the strengths and limits of current computational research applied to socially-created data while identifying critical research needs and opportunities of interest to the Army. We discuss several social computing strategies resulting from the workshop and propose a set of recommendations for integrating social computing in key ARL basic research science and technology objectives.
1 citations