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Practical Application and Discernability of Risky Choice Models

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The article was published on 2009-01-01 and is currently open access. It has received 4 citations till now.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Empirical Challenges for Risk Preferences and Production

TL;DR: The importance of risk preferences in agricultural production has long been identified as an important and preeminent issue of policy relevance as discussed by the authors, and recent developments in the study of production risk have called into question much of the core of risk production research.
Dissertation

Dynamiques de moyen et long terme des cours des matières premières : les enjeux pour le développement dans les pays africains producteurs de coton

Yankou Diasso
Abstract: Cette these analyse les enjeux du developpement economique lies aux dynamiques des cours des matieres premieres en general et ceux du coton en particulier. Traditionnellement, les travaux s’inscrivant dans une optique de long terme questionnent la pertinence des specialisations primaires des PMA. A moyen terme l’interet porte davantage sur l’instabilite dont les consequences sont d’autant plus importantes que la dependance des pays a l’exportation de tels produits est forte. Les enjeux s’articulent alors autour des modalites de regulation des marches, du choix d'outils (publics ou marchands) pour la gestion des incertitudes, le tout dependant de l’apprehension de l’instabilite comme un phenomene endogene ou exogene. Dans un contexte nouveau marque par l’affirmation d’oligopoles de firmes, la segmentation du processus productif mondial, et la financiarisation des marches de matieres premieres, nous proposons un cadre analytique permettant d’aborder differemment ces problematiques. Nos travaux montrent d’abord comment les approches du type chaines globales de valeur peuvent etre mobilisees pour mieux orienter les strategies commerciales / industrielles des PMA. S’appuyant sur la notion de rationalite limitee dans le cadre de modeles de comportements heterogenes, ils prouvent ensuite l’existence d’une forte composante endogene dans l’instabilite et par la meme, l'inefficacite des seuls outils marchands. Au final, pour les pays africains producteurs de coton, il apparait qu’il reste possible de mettre ce produit au service d’une strategie globale de developpement. Cela passe par le recours a des mecanismes hybrides de gestion de l’instabilite, combine au renforcement des dynamiques de cooperation transfrontalieres en vue d’une structuration de chaines regionales de valeur.

Agricultural Policy Impact on the Stability of Farm Income and Water Use in the North-East of the Syrian Arab Republic

TL;DR: In this article, the impact of agricultural policy on water use and farms' incomes in the northeast of the Syrian Arab Republic was investigated. But the authors focused on the three governorates of Deir-Ezzour (DEG), Al-Rakka (RAK), and Al-Hassakeh (HAG), and the results showed that the negative impact of the current policy on the water balance is evident in the area of Al-Khabour basin, located almost entirely in HAG.
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Book ChapterDOI

Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a critique of expected utility theory as a descriptive model of decision making under risk, and develop an alternative model, called prospect theory, in which value is assigned to gains and losses rather than to final assets and in which probabilities are replaced by decision weights.
Journal ArticleDOI

Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty

TL;DR: Cumulative prospect theory as discussed by the authors applies to uncertain as well as to risky prospects with any number of outcomes, and it allows different weighting functions for gains and for losses, and two principles, diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion, are invoked to explain the characteristic curvature of the value function and the weighting function.
Journal ArticleDOI

Does the Stock Market Overreact

TL;DR: In this article, a study of market efficiency investigates whether people tend to "overreact" to unexpected and dramatic news events and whether such behavior affects stock prices, based on CRSP monthly return data, is consistent with the overreaction hypothesis.
Journal ArticleDOI

A theory of anticipated utility

TL;DR: In this paper, a cardinal utility theory with an associated set of axioms is presented, which is a generalization of the von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theory, which permits the analysis of phenomena associated with the distortion of subjective probability.
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