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Journal ArticleDOI

Reconstitution of the dynamics of an urban building stock

03 Apr 2017-Building Research and Information (Routledge)-Vol. 45, Iss: 3, pp 239-258
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors presented a method to reconstitute an urban building stock composed of more than 60,000 buildings, and analyzed the development of this stock over a period of 180 years (constructions and demolitions), and the analysis of building mortality patterns and reasons for demolition resulting from historic decisions and regimes.
Abstract: What are the patterns and influences on the lifespan of the building stock? This paper presents (1) the reconstitution of an urban building stock composed of more than 60 000 buildings, (2) the analysis of the development of this stock over a period of 180 years (constructions and demolitions), and (3) the analysis of building mortality patterns and reasons for demolition resulting from historic decisions and regimes. A method to reconstitute the stock from different data sources is presented. The mortality models take into account not only the present demolition rates and the age distribution of the ‘survivors' but also the disappeared buildings. The main results are new insights into the lifespan behaviour of buildings according to their period of construction (cohorts) as well as the reasons for demolition. The demolitions do not show specific explanation patterns, but changing influences of the construction activities over time. The average demolition age of all buildings in Zurich, Switzerlan...

Summary (1 min read)

Materials and Methods

  • Due to their complexity, building stocks are generally subdivided into different levels of analysis.
  • A special historical analysis concerned the development since the 14th century (source j) with maps from 1504 and 1824 (Keller plan, Figure 1).
  • Building stocks can be described by a simple use-age-size matrix.
  • There are four use classes (single family, multiple family, domestic with other use and non-domestic buildings).
  • There is an important and on-going densification of non-domestic buildings by adding floors (roof and additional basements.).

Material description

  • Available data on level 1 for the whole city and on level 2 for the current districts and former surrounding municipalities (Table 2).
  • Depository of the building stock in the year 2010 contain information about 55 000 buildings.
  • The database of Statistik Zürich contains about 50 fields per building.

Processing of material

  • The basis for the reconstitution is the state of the stock in the year 2010 (source a), i.e. how many buildings provide from the different years of construction bc,2010 .
  • For the years s and e the number of standing buildings was known (source h).
  • For the calculation of the number of standing buildings from construction year c in time t, the number of demolished buildings in time t (source d) is distributed.

Non-residential buildings:

  • Sources a, d, e and f were also available for non-residential buildings.
  • The resulting ratio between residential and non-residential buildings in 1900 was kept for the calculation of the non-residential buildings prior to 1900.

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Figures (12)

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Aksözen, M., Hassler, U. and Kohler, N. (2016) Reconstitution of the
dynamics of an urban building stock, Building Research &
Information.
DOI: 10.1080/09613218.2016.1152040
Supplemental data
Materials and Methods
Due to their complexity, building stocks are generally subdivided into different levels of analysis. The
building stock of Zurich was analysed on three different levels, defined by different approaches,
methods and data sources:
Level 1: City of Zurich
Level 2: Districts and quarters of Zurich
Level 3: Individual buildings
Figure 1 Plan of the city of Zurich in 1504 (Keller & Hegi, 1829) and in 1824 (Keller & Scheuermann, 1824). The
city develops gradually within the town wall until their demolition after 1832. See also (Dändliker, 1908)
former figure 1
In this work, the focus is on the City of Zurich. Level 1 comprises the whole stock (55’000 buildings in
2010) and its development since 1832, i.e. all buildings that have existed or still exist inside the
spatial limit of the commune of Zurich in 2010. The communal territory has been extended in the
years of 1893 and 1934 by the integration of suburban communes. A special historical analysis
concerned the development since the 14th century (source j) with maps from 1504 and 1824 (Keller
plan, Figure 1).
Building stocks can be described by a simple use-age-size matrix. Table 1 shows in a condensed way
the quantitative structure of the stock in 2010. There are four use classes (single family, multiple
family, domestic with other use and non-domestic buildings).
1

Table 1 Composition of the stock in 2010 by four use and four age classes with average age of buildings, number of
buildings, gross floor area, volume and footprint (in % of total)
There are slow increases and decreases for the number new constructions and demolitions. Around
the year 2000, the number of demolitions exceeds the number of new constructions for the first time
within the period between 1931 and 2010 (Figure 2).
Figure 2 Number of new constructed buildings (black line) and demolitions (red line) per year 1931 2010 (10
year sliding average)former figure 13
Figure 3 and Figure 4 shows the evolution of the population (source h and j) and the number of
buildings for the central, historic district. The number of buildings stays constant over 4 centuries
(even if there is a slow and constant densification). The population increase from 1810 on (beginning
of the industrialisation) clearly precedes the increase of buildings, which reaches a maximum around
1910. The decrease of population and number of domestic buildings after 1920 go parallel. This is
more due to a change in the classification than to demolitions. From 1950 on the population, living in
the city, remains constant and then decreases and the non-domestic building uses increase. There is
an important and on-going densification of non-domestic buildings by adding floors (roof and
additional basements.)
2

Figure 3 growth of the domestic stock (number of buildings in orange, left axis), non-domestic buildings (grey)
and population (number of persons in blue, right axis) 1410-2010 of the historic center of the City of Zurich
(Altstadt District 1)former figure 5
Figure 4 growth of the domestic stock (number of buildings in orange, right axis) and population (number of
persons in blue, left axis) 1830-2010 in the City of Zurich - – former figure 6
Figure 5 and Figure 6 show the complementary development of the historic core, the city
with the communal limits and the agglomeration.
Figure 5 growth of the population 1410-2010 of the whole City of Zurich (light) and of the historic district of
Zurich (dark) - – former figure 7
3

Figure 6 growth of the population 1850-2000 in the agglomeration of the City of Zurich with its 5 suburb belts
former figure 8
Figure 7 growth of the domestic stock (number of buildings) 1860 to 2000 in the agglomeration of the City of
Zurich with its 5 suburb belts former figure 9
The growth of the agglomeration that became dominant from 1950 on does not have a clear limit yet
(physical or institutional, Figure 7 and Figure 8). There is a growing importance of the public
transport system on the agglomeration. Today the region is composed of 101 communes (Statistik
Stadt Zürich, 2001), p.30.
4

Figure 8 Communes of the agglomeration of the region of Zurich -– former figure 10
Figure 9 shows the volume of buildings related to type of building and size of building (2010). This
representation, which has been suggested by Statistik Stadt Zürich (Mischler, 2005) for the year 2004
and was adapted for the year 2010. The horizontal axes indicate the building size (volume,
logarithmic scale) and the vertical axes shows the total volume contribution of the different types.
The one family buildings are small even if there is long tail of large villas. The difference between
domestic and exclusively non-domestic buildings is considerable (Figure 10). The exclusively non-
domestic buildings are in average much bigger than domestic buildings. This difference has to be
kept in mind when arguing on the level of the whole stock. When comparing buildings stocks these
differences must be taken into consideration.
5

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References
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TL;DR: The frequent opportunities I have had of receiving pleasure from your writings and conversation, have induced me to prefer offering to the Royal Society through your medium, this Paper on Life Contingencies, which forms part of a continuation of my original paper on the same subject, published among the valuable papers of the Society, as by passing through your hands it may receive the advantage of your judgment.
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Frequently Asked Questions (3)
Q1. What are the contributions in this paper?

In this work, the focus is on the City of Zurich. 

From 1950 on the population, living in the city, remains constant and then decreases and the non-domestic building uses increase. 

The reconstitution of the data was realised on the basis of 8 periods of new construction 1832-1892, 1893-1920, 1921-1930, 1931-1940, 1941-1950, 1951-1970, 1971-1980 (source c). 

Trending Questions (1)
How to become a geographical information systems officer?

The presented methods and results can be integrated in multidimensional geographical information systems (GIS) as comprehensive planning, scenario and regulatory tools.