Risk of rupture of a second aneurysm in patients with multiple aneurysms.
TL;DR: Treatment of the symptomatic lesion is commonly considered adequate in patients with multiple aneurysms and in four instances the second hemorrhage was fatal, as shown by autopsy.
Abstract: HERE are different opinions about the mortality associated with multiple aneurysms. MeKissock, et al., 2 state that multiple aneurysms are associated with a higher natural mortality than single aneurysms. In the Cooperative Study of Intracranial Aneurysms and Subarachnoid Hemorrhage, 3 the multiple aneurysm patients had the same prognosis for survival as those with single aneurysms. According to McKissock, recurrent hemorrhage virtually always occurs from the original lesion. Nishioka 3 found little evidence to suggest that more than one aneurysm would rupture within the followup time in the Cooperative Study. Therefore, treatment of the symptomatic lesion is commonly considered adequate. At the Neurosurgical Clinic of the University Central Hospital during the years 1957-1968, we have operated on 84 patients with multiple aneurysms in whom the ruptured aneurysm was identified with certainty at the operation. Ten of these patients had a recurrent hemorrhage during followup periods varying from 4 months to 11 years. In eight of these 10 patients the recurrent hemorrhage was shown to be due to rupture of another previously unruptured aneurysm, in four instances the second hemorrhage was fatal. In one of the remaining patients the second hemorrhage did occur from the original lesion, as shown by autopsy. In the other case, autopsy was not performed, and it is not known which of the aneurysms bled. Case Reports
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TL;DR: It is concluded that such unruptured aneurysms should be surgically treated regardless of their size and of a patient's smoking status, especially in young and middle-aged adults, if this is technically possible and if the patient's concurrent diseases are not contraindications.
Abstract: Object. The authors conducted a study to investigate the long-term natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the predictive risk factors determining subsequent rupture in a patient population in which surgical selection of cases was not performed. Methods. One hundred forty-two patients with 181 unruptured aneurysms were followed from the 1950s until death or the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage or until the years 1997 to 1998. The annual and cumulative incidence of aneurysm rupture as well as several potential risk factors predictive of rupture were studied using life-table analyses and Cox's proportional hazards regression models including time-dependent covariates. The median follow-up time was 19.7 years (range 0.8–38.9 years). During 2575 person-years of follow up, there were 33 first-time episodes of hemorrhage from previously unruptured aneurysms, for an average annual incidence of 1.3%. In 17 patients, hemorrhage led to death. The cumulative rate of bleeding was 10.5% at 10 yea...
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Journal Article•
TL;DR: It is concluded that such unruptured aneurysms should be surgically treated irrespective of their size and of patients' smoking status, especially in young and middle-aged adults, if this is technically possible and if the patient's concurrent diseases are not contraindications.
Abstract: Object The authors conducted a study to investigate the long-term natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the predictive risk factors determining subsequent rupture in a patient population in which surgical selection of cases was not performed. Methods We followed 142 patients with 181 unruptured aneurysms from the 1950s until death or the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage, or until the years 1997 to 1998. The annual and cumulative incidence of aneurysm rupture as well as several potential risk factors predictive of rupture were studied using life-table analyses and the Cox's proportional hazards regression models including time-dependent covariates. The median follow-up time was 19.7 years (range 0.8-38.9 years). During 2575 person years of follow up, there were 33 first-time episodes of hemorrhage from a previously unruptured aneurysm, giving an average annual incidence of 1.3%. In seventeen of these cases, hemorrhages led to the patients' deaths. The cumulative rate of bleeding was 10.5% at 10 years, 23.0% at 20 years, and 30.3% at 30 years after diagnosis. The diameter of the unruptured aneurysm(relative risk [RR] 1.11 per mm in diameter, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.23, p = 0.05) and patient age at diagnosis inversely (RR 0.97 per year, 95% CI 0.93-1.00, p = 0.05) were significant independent predictors for a subsequent aneurysm rupture after adjustment for sex, hypertension, and aneurysm group. Active smoking status at the time of diagnosis was a significant risk factor for aneurysm rupture (RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.04-2.06, p = 0.033) after adjustment for the size of the aneurysm, age, sex, presence of hypertension, and aneurysm group. Active smoking status asa time-dependent covariate was an even more significant risk factor for aneurysm rupture (adjusted RR 3.04, 95% CI 1.21-7.66, p = 0.020). Conclusions Cigarette smoking, size of the unruptured intracranial aneurysm, and age, inversely, are important factors determining risk for subsequent aneurysm rupture. The authors conclude that such unruptured aneurysms should be surgically treated irrespective of their size and of patients' smoking status, especially in young and middle-aged adults, if this is technically possible and if the patient's concurrent diseases are not contraindications. Cessation of smoking may also be a good alternative to surgery in older patients with small-sized aneurysms.
531 citations
TL;DR: Cigarette smoking, patient age inversely, and the size and location of the unruptured intracranial aneurysm seem to be risk factors for aneurYSm rupture, which decreases with a very long-term follow-up.
Abstract: Background and Purpose— Unruptured intracranial aneurysms are increasingly being detected and are a notable healthcare burden. We investigated the long-term natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and risk factors predictive of subsequent rupture.
Methods— A total of 142 patients with 181 unruptured intracranial aneurysms diagnosed between 1956 and 1978, when these were not treated, were followed up until death or subarachnoid hemorrhage, or until 2011 to 2012. Annual and cumulative incidences of aneurysm rupture and risk factors for rupture were studied using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression models.
Results— The median follow-up time was 21.0 (range, 0.8–52.3) years. During 3064 person-years, there were 34 first episodes of aneurysm rupture, giving an average annual incidence of 1.1%. Eighteen patients died on account of an initial or recurrent aneurysm rupture. The cumulative rate of bleeding was 10.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.2–15.8) at 10 years, 23.0% (95% CI, 15.4–30.6) at 20 years, and 30.1% (95% CI, 21.3–38.9) at 30 years. None of the index aneurysms bled after a follow-up of 25 years. Cigarette smoking (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.02–5.88), location of the aneurysm in the anterior communicating artery (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.73; 95% CI, 1.23–11.36), patient age inversely (0.96 per year, 95% CI, 0.92–1.00) and aneurysm diameter ≥7 mm (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.60; 95% CI, 1.13–5.98) independently predicted subsequent aneurysm rupture, as did alcohol consumption (1.27 per 100 g/week; 95% CI, 1.05–1.53; P <0.05), but only in univariable analysis.
Conclusions— Cigarette smoking, patient age inversely, and the size and location of the unruptured intracranial aneurysm seem to be risk factors for aneurysm rupture. The risk of bleeding decreases with a very long-term follow-up.
385 citations
TL;DR: The current state of knowledge about unruptured aneurysms does not support the use of the largest diameter of the lesion as the sole criterion on which to base treatment decisions, although it is of undoubted importance.
Abstract: Object. In this article, pathological, radiological, and clinical information regarding unruptured intracranial aneurysms is reviewed. Methods. Treatment decisions require that surgeons and interventionists take into account information obtained in pathological, radiological, and clinical studies of unruptured aneurysms. The author has performed a detailed review of the literature and has compared, contrasted, and summarized his findings. Unruptured aneurysms may be classified as truly incidental, part of a multiple aneurysm constellation, or symptomatic by virtue of their mass, irritative, or embolic effects. Unruptured aneurysms with clinical pathological profiles resembling those of ruptured lesions should be considered for treatment at a smaller size than unruptured lesions with profiles typical of intact aneurysms, as has been determined at autopsy in patients who have died of other causes. The track record of the surgeon or interventionist and the institution in which treatment is to be performed should be considered while debating treatment options. In cases in which treatment is not performed immediately, ongoing periodic radiological assessment may be wise. Radiological investigations to detect unruptured aneurysms in asymptomatic patients should be restricted to high-prevalence groups such as adults with a strong family history of aneurysms or patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. All patients with intact lesions should be strongly advised to discontinue cigarette smoking if they are addicted. Conclusions. The current state of knowledge about unruptured aneurysms does not support the use of the largest diameter of the lesion as the sole criterion on which to base treatment decisions, although it is of undoubted importance.
339 citations
Journal Article•
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors conducted a study to investigate the long-term natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the predictive risk factors determining subsequent rupture in a patient population in which surgical selection of cases was not performed.
Abstract: Object. The authors conducted a study to investigate the long-term natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the predictive risk factors determining subsequent rupture in a patient population in which surgical selection of cases was not performed. Methods. One hundred forty-two patients with 181 unruptured aneurysms were followed from the 1950s until death or the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage or until the years 1997 to 1998. The annual and cumulative incidence of aneurysm rupture as well as several potential risk factors predictive of rupture were studied using life-table analyses and Cox's proportional hazards regression models including time-dependent covariates. The median follow-up time was 19.7 years (range 0.8-38.9 years). During 2575 person-years of follow up, there were 33 first-time episodes of hemorrhage from previously unruptured aneurysms, for an average annual incidence of 1.3%. In 17 patients, hemorrhage led to death. The cumulative rate of bleeding was 10.5% at 10 years, 23% at 20 years, and 30.3% at 30 years after diagnosis. The diameter of the unruptured aneurysm (relative risk [RR] 1.1 1 per mm in diameter, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1-1.23, p = 0.05) and patient age at diagnosis inversely (RR 0.97 per year, 95% CI 0.93-1, p = 0.05) were significant independent predictors for a subsequent aneurysm rupture after adjustment for sex, hypertension, and aneurysm group. Active smoking status at the time of diagnosis was a significant risk factor for aneurysm rupture (RR 1.46, 95% CI 1.04-2.06, p = 0.033) after adjustment for size of the aneurysm, patient age, sex, presence of hypertension, and aneurysm group. Active smoking status as a time-dependent covariate was an even more significant risk factor for aneurysm rupture (adjusted RR 3.04, 95% CI 1.21-7.66, p = 0.02). Conclusions. Cigarette smoking, size of the unruptured intracranial aneurysm, and age, inversely, are important factors determining risk for subsequent aneurysm rupture. The authors conclude that such unruptured aneurysms should be surgically treated regardless of their size and of a patient's smoking status, especially in young and middle-aged adults, if this is technically possible and if the patient's concurrent diseases are not contraindications. Cessation of smoking may also be a good alternative to surgery in older patients with small-sized aneurysms.
294 citations
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