Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Associations Between Body Mass Index, Prostate Cancer, Advanced Prostate Cancer and Prostate Specific Antigen
Summary (5 min read)
Background
- Prostate cancer is the second commonest male cancer worldwide, [1] and the most commonly diagnosed cancer in men in the UK, with an estimated 47,151 diagnoses in 2015 [2].
- Generally, most prostate cancers are slow growing, but can metastasize to the bones, lungs, and brain.
- The authors therefore sought to perform an updated review of the literature, including more studies, and additionally examining non-linear associations.
- A negative association between BMI and PSA could also induce a spurious positive association between BMI and advanced prostate cancer, as obese men may be diagnosed later, due to their lower PSA levels.
- The authors objectives were to i) precisely quantify the (assumed linear) associations between BMI and prostate cancer, advanced prostate cancer, and PSA; ii) update previous meta-analyses using all relevant evidence, including case–control studies; and iii) explore potential non-linearity in these associations.
Eligibility criteria
- The authors performed a systematic review in which they included original articles published in peer reviewed journals that measured an association between BMI and total prostate cancer incidence and/or advanced prostate cancer; and studies that measured an association between BMI and PSA, including supplements and meeting abstracts; human randomized controlled trials (RCTs), case–control, cohort, crosssectional, and non-randomized experimental studies.
- If the abstract did not specifically mention BMI but mentioned height or weight, the authors acquired the full text to determine if BMI was calculable from data included in the publication.
- The authors determined the effect estimate to be for advanced prostate cancer if the individual studies labeled the effect as “advanced” or “aggressive,” or if the effect was for locally advanced, extra-prostatic, nodular or metastatic prostate cancer.
- Advanced prostate cancer represents clinically meaningful cancer, with lower survival rates than nonadvanced cancers.
Data sources
- The authors searched Medline and Embase databases up to 02 October 2017 for studies in humans associating BMI with either prostate cancer or PSA.
- The search query was as follows (each term as a text word search): (BMI or body mass index or obese or obesity or body weight or body size or adiposity) AND (prostate cancer or prostate neoplasm or PSA or prostate-specific antigen) NOT psoriatic arthritis.
- Psoriatic arthritis was excluded as its initialism is also PSA.
- The authors also reviewed the reference lists of previous meta-analyses for further studies for inclusion [6, 8, 14].
- Duplicate studies were removed prior to download using the Ovid deduplication tool.
Data extraction
- One author (SH) screened the titles and abstracts of all papers for inclusion and retrieved full texts for all studies that met the inclusion criteria.
- If no full text could be found, and the abstract provided insufficient information for inclusion, the study was excluded.
- One author (SH) screened all full texts for inclusion, and one of three independent reviewers (KT, ET, HJ) reviewed the first 60 full texts to check for consistency.
- Specifically, the authors estimated linear associations between BMI and the log odds of prostate cancer or advanced prostate cancer, and between BMI and log transformed PSA.
- If both adjusted (e.g., for potential confounders such as age, ethnicity, etc.) and unadjusted results were given in the same paper, the most-adjusted model was used in the meta-analysis.
Risk of bias assessment
- SH and RL assessed the risk of bias in each study independently using an assessment tool created for a previous meta-analysis [18], with disagreements resolved by discussion.
- The authors assessed risk of bias in six categories: confounding, selection of participants, missing data, outcome measurement, exposure measurement, and results’ reporting.
- The authors included baseline age, BMI, log-PSA, family history of prostate cancer, and study as explanatory variables to predict prostate cancer status using multiple imputation.
- Additionally, the authors visually inspected a plot of estimated prostate cancer risk against PSA for the imputed studies, to see whether the predicted risk of prostate cancer at low PSA levels for each study was plausible .
- In each of the three included IPD studies, the authors estimated associations between BMI and (1) prostate cancer, (2) advanced prostate cancer, and (3) PSA.
Combining data
- The authors combined estimates from studies identified through the systematic review and the IPD studies using random-effects and fixed-effect meta-analyses.
- Studies presenting HRs and ORs were analyzed and presented separately.
- In meta-analyses of categorical associations, studies from the systematic review were included if they presented ORs or HRs for overweight and/or obese men relative to normal weight men (for the outcomes of prostate cancer and advanced prostate cancer) or means and SDs of PSA or log-PSA for each of these BMI categories (for the outcome of PSA).
- ORs and HRs that were presented for other categories of BMI were not used (such as morbidly obese, BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2), though the authors combined the mean and SD of PSA for different categories with neighboring categories when sufficient information was available.
- Meta‑regression Meta-regression [33] was used to determine if the effect estimates from individual studies included in the metaanalyses varied by study-level factors.
Albatross plots
- As not all studies reported enough information to be included in the meta-analyses, the authors also present albatross plots containing results from studies with and without sufficient information to be included in the meta-analyses [17].
- These are plots of the p value of an association against the number of participants and can be used to assess heterogeneity between studies and assess the rough magnitude of an association using limited information.
- By indicating which studies had insufficient data to contribute to meta-analysis on the albatross plots, the authors determined whether inclusion of the remaining studies would have altered the overall interpretation of the evidence.
Results
- In total, 9,127 papers were found that had keywords for BMI and prostate cancer or PSA.
- After title and abstract screening, 725 papers remained (see Fig. 1, PRISMA flow diagram).
Continuous BMI
- All studies in the meta-analysis adjusted for age in either the study design or analysis, while 9 studies (47%) adjusted for ethnicity.
- No other variable (of 13 other variables) was adjusted for in more than four studies.
- The funnel plot (Supplementary Fig. 11) showed little evidence of small study effects.
Categorical BMI
- Overall, there were 17 studies and 218,700 participants included in this analysis.
- Forest plots are presented in Supplementary Figs. 13 and 14.
- The weighted mean BMI across all studies was 22.2 kg/m2 for the normal BMI category, 26.5 kg/m2 for the overweight category, and 31.3 kg/m2 for the obese category.
Overall prostate cancer
- There was no compelling evidence to suggest there is a linear association between BMI and prostate cancer risk as the effect estimate was null with a very tight confidence interval, nor an association between being overweight and prostate cancer risk, and only weak evidence for a small reduction in prostate cancer risk in obesity.
- There is likely a reduced risk of being diagnosed with prostate cancer in overweight/obese men due to the role of PSA screening or testing in many prostate cancer diagnoses.
- This finding is consistent with their hypothesis regarding the expected direction of bias due to the negative association of BMI with PSA.
- Overall, their results are consistent with previous metaanalyses.
- In addition, an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analysis by Kyrgiou et al. [3] concluded that there was no strong evidence for an association between BMI and prostate cancer risk, with a summary OR for prostate cancer for a 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI of 1.03 (95% CI 0.99–1.06).
Advanced prostate cancer
- This association was null in studies reporting an OR (OR = 1.00, 95% CI 0.94–1.06), but still consistent with a small positive association in studies, such that the difference between the two groups of studies may be due to chance or differences in study design or population.
- Additionally, there may be collider bias [24] in both estimates from conditioning on prostate cancer, since any unmeasured confounders associated with both prostate cancer and advanced prostate cancer could induce an association between BMI and advanced prostate cancer.
- The effect estimate may be increased in the WCRF analysis by the inclusion of high-grade and/or fatal prostate cancers or exclusion of case–control studies.
- Kyrgiou et al. [3] concluded that there was weak evidence for a positive association between increasing BMI and advanced prostate cancer risk, with a RR for advanced prostate cancer for a 5 kg/ m2 increase in BMI of 1.09 (95% CI 1.02–1.16), although their meta-analysis included more up-to-date studies with a stricter inclusion criteria.
PSA
- There was strong evidence of an inverse association between BMI and PSA, which the authors found to be likely non-linear, decreasing more quickly between overweight and obese than normal weight and overweight.
- On average, obese men have an estimated 12.9% lower PSA than a normal weight man, and overweight men 3.4% lower PSA.
- The authors could only find one previous review of the association between BMI and PSA, which did not include a meta-analysis or estimate effect size [152].
- Their conclusion was that many studies reported an inverse association between BMI and PSA, in agreement with their findings.
- It could thus be potentially beneficial to account for BMI when interpreting the results of a PSA test, however, prospective research would be necessary to confirm whether this would have a beneficial effect on prostate cancerrelated outcomes.
Strengths and Limitations
- The authors synthesized data from many studies, including participants from many different populations at different time points, improving generalizability.
- By including IPD studies and imputing prostate cancer status in men who were not biopsied, the authors were able to show and account for bias in the association between BMI and prostate cancer from PSA testing.
- It is also possible the association between BMI and PSA varies by population, though their meta-regressions did not find any explanatory factors.
- There was at least a moderate risk of bias for all studies, as all studies were observational and therefore could have been biased by unobserved confounding.
- As such, relatively few studies were included; a superior approach would be to gather IPD from all eligible studies and to determine the precise form of any non-linear associations, which would also allow more accurate corrections to men’s PSA levels.
Conclusion
- There was little evidence of any association between BMI and prostate cancer risk, and some evidence for a small positive association with advanced prostate cancer risk.
- There was evidence from IPD studies to suggest this could bias the association between BMI and prostate cancer in screening studies.
- The authors would like to acknowledge the support of the National Cancer Research Institute (NCRI) formed by the Department of Health, the Medical Research Council (MRC), and Cancer Research UK.
- The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
- This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.
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Frequently Asked Questions (7)
Q2. What was used to determine whether the effect estimates from individual studies varied by study-level factors?
Meta‑regressionMeta-regression [33] was used to determine if the effect estimates from individual studies included in the metaanalyses varied by study-level factors.
Q3. What was the risk of bias in the meta-analyses?
PCPT onlyincluded men with a PSA less than 3.0 ng/ml, biasing both the BMI-PSA and BMI-prostate cancer analyses, and as such was excluded from the meta-analyses due to the critical risk of bias from conditioning on a collider or outcome.
Q4. What is the reason for the heterogeneity in the studies?
because the studies may not have used the same definition of advanced prostate cancer, and because advanced prostate cancers could be locally advanced prostate cancer, nodes or metastatic cancer, these studies may be relatively heterogeneous.
Q5. What was the average HR for prostate cancer between overweight and normal weight men?
For the randomeffects meta-analysis, the average HR for prostate cancer between overweight and normal weight men was estimatedto be 1.02 (95% CI 0.98–1.05, p = 0.35) with no evidence of heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%, p = 0.66), and the average OR was estimated to be 0.99 (95% CI 0.91–1.08, p = 0.81, combined across ORs for BMI measured before and at the same time as prostate cancer diagnosis) with little evidence of heterogeneity (I2 = 32.6%, p = 0.19).
Q6. What was the average change in PSA between overweight and normal weight men?
For the randomeffects meta-analysis, the average percentage change in PSA between overweight and normal weight men was estimated to be − 3.43% (95% CI − 5.57 to − 1.23,1 3p = 0.002), with strong evidence of heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 80.9%, p < 0.001), and the average percentage change in PSA between obese and normal weight men was estimated to be − 12.9% (95% CI − 15.2 to − 10.7, p < 0.001), with strong evidence of heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 69.5%, p < 0.001).
Q7. What grants were used to support this work?
This work was supported by Cancer Research UK project Grants C11043/ A4286, C18281/A8145, C18281/A11326, and C18281/A15064 and a programme grant (the CRUK Integrative Cancer Epidemiology Programme, ICEP: C18281/A19169).