Too big to fail? The puzzling darkness of massive Milky Way subhaloes

TLDR: In this paper, dissipationless CDM simulations predict that the majority of themost massive subhalos of the Milky Way are too dense to host any of its brightsatellites (L V > 10 5 L ).

Abstract: We show that dissipationless CDM simulations predict that the majority of themost massive subhalos of the Milky Way are too dense to host any of its brightsatellites (L V > 10 5 L ). These dark subhalos have circular velocities at infall ofV infall = 30 1070kms 1 and infall masses of [0:2 4] 10 M . Unless the Milky Way isa statistical anomaly, this implies that galaxy formation becomes e ectively stochasticat these masses. This is in marked contrast to the well-established monotonic relationbetween galaxy luminosity and halo circular velocity (or halo mass) for more massivehalos. We show that at least two (and typically four) of these massive dark subhalosare expected to produce a larger dark matter annihilation ux than Draco. It maybe possible to circumvent these conclusions if baryonic feedback in dwarf satellites ordi erent dark matter physics can reduce the central densities of massive subhalos byorder unity on a scale of 0.3 { 1 kpc.Key words: Galaxy: halo { galaxies: abundances { dark matter { cosmology: theory