Journal ArticleDOI
Use of self-ratings to improve group estimates: Experimental evaluation of delphi procedures
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This article is published in Technological Forecasting.The article was published on 1970-03-01. It has received 134 citations till now.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis
Gene Rowe,George Wright +1 more
TL;DR: It is concluded that a different focus of research is required to answer questions on Delphi effectiveness, focusing on an analysis of the process of judgment change within nominal groups.
Book ChapterDOI
Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique
Gene Rowe,George Wright +1 more
TL;DR: A number of principles are developed here to indicate how to conduct structured groups to obtain good expert judgments and it is anticipated that by following these principles, forecasters may be able to use structuredgroups to harness effectively expert opinion.
Journal ArticleDOI
Qualitative Research: Application of the Delphi Method to CEM Research
TL;DR: In this article, the Delphi technique has been used to identify and qualify potential expert panelists according to objective guidelines and select appropriate parameters of the study such as the number of panelists, number of rounds, type of feedback, and measure of consensus.
Journal ArticleDOI
Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory
TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine the Delphi technique to determine whether it succeeds in alleviating the "process loss" typical of interacting groups, and conclude that inadequacies in the nature of feedback typically supplied in applications of Delphi tend to ensure that any small gains in the resolution of process loss are offset by the removal of any opportunity for group "process gain".
Journal ArticleDOI
An Evaluation of Delphi
TL;DR: The literature concerning quantitative applications of the Delphi method is reviewed in this paper, and no evidence was found to support the view that Delphi is more accurate than other judgment methods or that consensus in a Delphic is achieved by dissemination of information to all participants.
References
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The DELPHI Method, II: Structure of Experiments
TL;DR: The Delphi technique uses an anonymous, orderly program of sequential individual interrogations with controlled feedback from respondents between interrogations, to elicit and refine group judgments where exact knowledge is unavailable.