Zoom in at African country level: potential climate induced changes in areas of suitability for survival of malaria vectors
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...…(Diptera: Culicidae) The distributions of two malaria vectors in Sub-Saharan Africa, Anopheles gambiae and An. arabiensis, will also likely expand southwards and southeastwards, according to ENMs involving climate change scenarios (Peterson, 2009; Fuller et al., 2012; Tonnang et al., 2010, 2014)....
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...By adding mosquito survival rates to nichemodels, it was concluded that East African countries will have greater climatic suitability for these vectors in the coming decades than West African countries (Tonnang et al., 2014)....
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References
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"Zoom in at African country level: p..." refers background in this paper
...initiate activities for identifying vulnerable communities in a timely manner and to develop effective strategies to curtail and prevent malaria outbreaks [1,2]....
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1,341 citations
"Zoom in at African country level: p..." refers background or methods in this paper
...Peterson [6] applied ecological niche model using Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP) [7] and predicted the potential distributional shift from west to east and west to south of Africa for An. gambiae s.s. and An. arabiensis, respectively....
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...Moreover, several studies have suggested a high probability of distributional change of current regions where malaria vectors specially occur and may potentially occur in the future with climate change [3,6-14]....
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...Peterson [6] applied ecological niche model using Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP) [7] and predicted the potential distributional shift from west to east and west to south of Africa for An....
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911 citations
"Zoom in at African country level: p..." refers background in this paper
...Therefore, the combined effect of temporal and spatial changes in temperature, precipitation and humidity are expected to occur under different climate change scenarios which will affect the biology and ecology of vectors and intermediate hosts and consequently the risk of disease transmission [3]....
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...Moreover, several studies have suggested a high probability of distributional change of current regions where malaria vectors specially occur and may potentially occur in the future with climate change [3,6-14]....
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...Given that the greatest effect of climate change on transmission is likely to be observed at the extremes of temperature ranges [3], it was surprising that under scenario 1, adaptation to areas of long term survival (class 5) was evident for An....
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...abundance of Anopheles vectors and parasite development, which is correlated with increased biting and transmission of malaria [3-5]....
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