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The study shows that the population of India will start decreasing nearby middle of the present century.
Second, it will take at least 15 to 20 years for a balance to re-emerge in the contemporary hegemonic system; hence, India's emergence will be simultaneous with the relative decline of the United States (US).
Open accessBook ChapterDOI
Wang Feng, Andrew Mason 
01 Apr 2008
70 Citations
In the nottoo-distant future ‐ in a matter of a few decades ‐ China’s population will start to shrink, an unprecedented demographic turn in its history in the absence of massive wars, epidemics, and famines.
In most non-OECD countries, declining fertility rates will cause labor-force-to-population ratios to rise as the shrinking share of young people will more than offset the skewing of adults toward the older ages.
The author argues that India's declining sex ratio is primarily an artifact of the dynamics of India's population growth.
Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries of today will start to catch up with developed economies in which the growth process will stagnate due to the growth of the elderly population.
Open accessPosted Content
Bo Malmberg, Thomas Lindh 
30 Citations
Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries of today will start to catch up with developed economies in which the growth process will stagnate due to the growth of the retired population.
Future population prospects for India indicate three trends that will impact marriage patterns: (1) female deficit in sex ratios at birth; (2) declining birth cohort size; (3) female educational expansion.
Open accessJournal Article
Visaria P, L Visaria 
20 Citations
The acceleration in India's population growth has come mainly in the past 3 decades and is due primarily to a decline in mortality that has markedly outstripped the fertility decline.
In the absence of migration, Hong Kong SAR will see its population start to decline between 2008 and 2038, if the future course of fertility falls within these 'bounds'.

Related Questions

What are the consequences of population decline?5 answersPopulation decline can have significant repercussions on various aspects of society and the economy. As fertility rates decrease in high-income countries, there is a possibility of global population decline, leading to stagnant living standards and potential economic stagnation. This demographic shift can result in a latent crisis affecting the existence of states, compromising economic development, and impacting societal well-being, especially in rural and urban areas. Cities experiencing population loss tend to exhibit higher levels of poverty and crime, along with reduced fiscal capacity, potentially creating vicious cycles of decline. Additionally, population decline can have political implications, as seen in the case of China. Overall, the consequences of population decline encompass economic, social, and political dimensions, highlighting the multifaceted challenges associated with shrinking populations.
What are the consequences of a country's population increasing or decreasing?5 answersPopulation growth or decline has various consequences for a country. Increasing population can lead to economic growth and labor supply, but it can also result in environmental degradation, unemployment, urbanization, and social issues like violence and ghettoization. On the other hand, a declining population can make it easier to solve social problems, but it can also put pressure on public finances, especially in terms of age-related programs like pensions and healthcare. Spending on these programs is projected to increase significantly as the world population ages, which will require policy reforms, including entitlement reform, demographic and labor market policies, tax system improvements, and more efficient public expenditure. It is important for policymakers to be prepared for the consequences of population changes and implement comprehensive strategies to address them.
What are the challenges of a declining population?2 answersA declining population poses several challenges. One challenge is the potential stagnation of living standards and economic growth, as highlighted by Jones and Jones. This is because economic growth is often driven by population growth and the discovery of new ideas. Another challenge is the need for sustainable demographic development and the prevention of the extinction of certain nations, which requires family planning programs and significant financial resources. Additionally, the declining population raises concerns about the maintenance and preservation of the built environment, as a smaller workforce may struggle to care for and preserve existing infrastructure. These challenges necessitate the development of comprehensive plans and strategies, such as adaptable and sustainable design, to ensure the continued growth and preservation of the built environment.
Is India's population decreasing due to Covid?6 answers
When is the world population expected to stop growing?9 answers
When will China's population begin to decline?9 answers

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