Convective available potential energy

About: Convective available potential energy is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 936 publications have been published within this topic receiving 43773 citations. The topic is also known as: CAPE.

The Influence of Soil Moisture on the Planetary Boundary Layer and on Cumulus Convection over an Isolated Mountain. Part I: Observations

Abstract: Data collected around the Santa Catalina Mountains in Arizona as part of the Cumulus Photogrammetric, In Situ and Doppler Observations (CuPIDO) experiment during the 2006 summer monsoon season are used to investigate the effect of soil moisture on the surface energy balance, boundary layer (BL) characteristics, thermally forced orographic circulations, and orographic cumulus convection. An unusual wet spell allows separation of the two-month campaign in a wet and a dry soil period. Days in the wet soil period tend to have a higher surface latent heat flux, lower soil and air temperatures, a more stable and shallower BL, and weaker solenoidal forcing resulting in weaker anabatic flow, in comparison with days in the dry soil period. The wet soil period is also characterized by higher humidity and moist static energy in the BL, implying a lower cumulus cloud base and higher convective available potential energy. Therefore, this period witnesses rather early growth of orographic cumulus convection, growing rapidly to the cumulonimbus stage, often before noon, and producing precipitation rather efficiently, with relatively little lightning. Data alone do not allow discrimination between soil moisture and advected airmass characteristics in explaining these differences. Hence, the need for a numerical sensitivity experiment, in Part II of this study.

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Conditional Probabilities of Significant Tornadoes from RUC-2 Forecasts

Abstract: Several previous studies have established statistical relationships between the severity of convection and environmental conditions determined from rawinsonde observations. Here, the authors seek 1) to determine whether similar relationships are observed when severe weather reports are associated with gridded short-term numerical forecasts,and 2) to develop and demonstrate a prototypal probabilistic model to forecast the likelihood a thunderstorm will be tornadic. Severe weather reports and lightning network data from 1 January 1999 through 30 June 1999 were used to classify the weather at a set of Rapid Update Cycle (RUC-2) grid points into four weather categories. These were no thunderstorms, nonsupercellular thunderstorms, supercellular thunderstorms without significant tornadoes, and thunderstorms with significant tornadoes (F2 or greater). RUC-2 forecast convective available potential energy (CAPE), helicity, and 0‐4-km mean wind shear from the same period were associated with this gridded classification of the weather. In general similar relationships were found between environmental parameters and storm categorization as others have previously documented. The Bayesian probabilistic model used here forecasts the likelihood that a thunderstorm will produce a strong or violent tornado, given a certain value of CAPE and helicity (or CAPE and wind shear). For two selected cases when significant tornadoes occurred, this model reasonably located the high-threat areas many hours in advance of the severe weather. An enhanced version of this prototypal tool may be of use to operational severe weather forecasters.

Ocean Convective Available Potential Energy. Part I: Concept and Calculation

Abstract: Thermobaric convection (type II convection) and thermobaric cabbeling (type III convection) might substantially contribute to vertical mixing, vertical heat transport, and deep-water formation in the World Ocean. However, the extent of this contribution remains poorly constrained. The concept of ocean convective available potential energy (OCAPE), the thermobaric energy source for type II and type III convection, is introduced to improve the diagnosis and prediction of these convection events. OCAPE is analogous to atmospheric CAPE, which is a key energy source for atmospheric moist convection and has long been used to forecast moist convection. OCAPE is the potential energy (PE) stored in an ocean column arising from thermobaricity, defined as the difference between the PE of the ocean column and its minimum possible PE under adiabatic vertical parcel rearrangements. An ocean column may be stably stratified and still have nonzero OCAPE. The authors present an efficient strategy for computing OCAPE accurately for any given column of seawater. They further derive analytical expressions for OCAPE for approximately two-layer ocean columns that are widely observed in polar oceans. This elucidates the dependence of OCAPE on key physical parameters. Hydrographic profiles from the winter Weddell Sea are shown to contain OCAPE (0.001–0.01 J kg^(−1)), and scaling analysis suggests that OCAPE may be substantially enhanced by wintertime surface buoyancy loss. The release of this OCAPE may substantially contribute to the kinetic energy of deep convection in polar oceans.

Thermodynamic Constraints on the Morphology of Simulated Midlatitude Squall Lines

Abstract: This study examines how environmental thermodynamics constrain the morphology of simulated idealized midlatitude squall lines (SLs). The thermodynamic soundings used for simulating various SLs are specified primarily by prescribed vertical profiles of the convective available potential energy (CAPE) and the level of free convection. This framework, which contemplates the latent instability properties of both low- and midtropospheric air, is considered to be convenient for investigating layer-lifting convective phenomena.Results show that frequently used CAPE indices are unsuitable for diagnosing SL characteristics, while integrated CAPE (ICAPE) discriminates the amplitude of the storm-induced heating for a given value of environmental shear. The skill of ICAPE follows from its relation to the buoyancy attained by low- and midtropospheric parcels as they ascend over the cold pool under layer-lifting convection. Environmental kinematics also affect the storm-induced heating, with stronger low-level ...

Convergence zones and their impact on the initiation of a mesoscale convective system in West Africa

Abstract: During the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) campaign in 2006, extended surface and boundary-layer measurements were performed to study the influence of soil-moisture patterns on the generation of thermally forced circulations and triggering of deep convection. However, not all processes involved in the triggering of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) could be identified in previous studies. Therefore, COSMO (Consortium for Small-scale Modeling) simulations were carried out investigating possible trigger mechanisms. On 31 July 2006, an MCS was initiated and on 1 August, soil-moisture inhomogeneities resulted in a thermally forced circulation with an associated convergence zone, but no deep convection was triggered. It was found that the MCS on 31 July was influenced by a cyclonic vortex and favoured by the superposition of two convergence zones of different origins. Initiation of the MCS occurred in the simulation when moist monsoon air was transported to the north, associated with a cold pool ahead of another MCS, and reached the convergence zone. On 1 August, the simulation reproduced the thermally forced circulation caused by the soil-moisture pattern, which had been produced by the precipitation of the MCS. However, due to low humidity in the boundary layer and low convective available potential energy, the lifting along the convergence zone did not trigger deep convection. Copyright © 2011 Royal Meteorological Society