Cost price

Abstract: This paper documents that strategies which buy stocks that have performed well in the past and sell stocks that have performed poorly in the past generate significant positive returns over 3- to 12-month holding periods. We find that the profitability of these strategies are not due to their systematic risk or to delayed stock price reactions to common factors. However, part of the abnormal returns generated in the first year after portfolio formation dissipates in the following two years. A similar pattern of returns around the earnings announcements of past winners and losers is also documented

Abstract: This paper studies the association between a firm's stock returns and subsequent top management changes. Consistent with internal monitoring of management, there is an inverse relation between the probability of a management change and a firm's share performance. This relation can result from monitoring by the board, other top managers, or blockholders. However, unless share performance is extremely good or bad, logit models have no predictive ability. No average stock price reaction is detected at announcement of a top management change.

Abstract: Results from a vector autoregression show that oil prices and oil price volatility both play important roles in affecting real stock returns. There is evidence that oil price dynamics have changed. After 1986, oil price movements explain a larger fraction of the forecast error variance in real stock returns than do interest rates. There is also evidence that oil price volatility shocks have asymmetric effects on the economy.

Abstract: The authors undertake a comprehensive investigation of price and volume co-movement using daily New York Stock Exchange data from 1928 to 1987. They adjust the data to take into account well-known calendar effects and long-run trends. To describe the process, they use a seminonparametric estimate of the joint density of current price change and volume conditional on past price changes and volume. Four empirical regularities are found: (1) positive correlation between conditional volatility and volume; (2) large price movements are followed by high volume; (3) conditioning on lagged volume substantially attenuates the "leverage" effect, and (4) after conditioning on lagged volume, there is a positive risk-return relation. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

Abstract: A rapidly growing literature claims to reject the semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis by producing large estimates of long-term abnormal stock price performance subsequent to major corporate events. We re-examine three large samples of major managerial decisions, namely acquisitions, equity issues, and equity repurchases, and find little evidence of reliable long-term abnormal stock price performance for the three samples. The analysis shows (a) cross-sectional dependence of abnormal returns leads to inflated test statistics and (b) estimates of abnormal performance are small, and largely limited to small stocks, after accounting for the known mis-pricings of the model used to generate the results.