Crash

About: Crash is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 11990 publications have been published within this topic receiving 181972 citations.

The Impact of Driver Inattention on Near-Crash/Crash Risk: An Analysis Using the 100-Car Naturalistic Driving Study Data

Abstract: United States. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Office of Human-Vehicle Performance Research

The Crash of ʼ87: Was It Expected? The Evidence from Options Markets

Abstract: Transactions prices of S&P 500 futures options over 1985-1987 are examined for evidence of expectations prior to October 1987 of an impending stock market crash. First, it is shown that out-of-the-money puts became unusually expensive during the year preceding the crash. Second, a model is derived for pricing American options on jump-diffusion processes with systematic jump risk. The jump-diffusion parameters implicit in options prices indicate that a crash was expected and that implicit distributions were negatively skewed during October 1986 to August 1987. Both approaches indicate no strong crash fears during the 2 months immediately preceding the crash. ATTEMPTS TO EXPLAIN WHAT caused the stock market crashes around the world in October 1987 have suffered from the paucity of major economic developments occurring around that time that could have triggered the crashes. Shifting expectations regarding monetary policy, foreign investors' fears of a dollar decline, increasing riskiness of assets-none of these appeared major enough, if present at all, to explain the magnitude of the crashes. And although portfolio insurance strategies could conceivably magnify the effects of a jump in fundamentals, the initiating jump in fundamentals appears to be lacking.

Visual Processing Impairment and Risk of Motor Vehicle Crash Among Older Adults

Abstract: CONTEXT: Motor vehicle crash risk in older drivers has been associated with visual acuity loss, but only weakly so, suggesting other factors contribute. The useful field of view is a measure that reflects decline in visual sensory function, slowed visual processing speed, and impaired visual attention skills. OBJECTIVE: To identify whether measures of visual processing ability, including the useful field of view test, are associated with crash involvement by older drivers. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with 3 years of follow-up, 1990-1993. SETTING: Ophthalmology clinic assessment of community-based sample. PATIENTS: A total of 294 drivers aged 55 to 87 years at enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Motor vehicle crash occurrence. RESULTS: Older drivers with a 40% or greater impairment in the useful field of view were 2.2 times (95% confidence interval, 1.2-4.1) more likely to incur a crash during 3 years of follow-up, after adjusting for age, sex, race, chronic medical conditions, mental status, and days driven per week. This association was primarily mediated by difficulty in dividing attention under brief target durations. CONCLUSION: Reduction in the useful field of view increases crash risk in older drivers. Given the relatively high prevalence of visual processing impairment among the elderly, visual dysfunction and eye disease deserve further examination as causes of motor vehicle crashes and injury.

Visual attention problems as a predictor of vehicle crashes in older drivers.

Abstract: PURPOSE. To identify visual factors that are significantly associated with increased vehicle crashes in older drivers. METHODS. Several aspects of vision and visual information processing were assessed in 294 drivers aged 55 to 90 years. The sample was stratified with respect to age and crash frequency during the 5-year period before the test date. Variables assessed included eye health status, visual sensory function, the size of the useful field of view, and cognitive status. Crash data were obtained from state records. RESULTS. The size of the useful field of view, a test of visual attention, had high sensitivity (89%) and specificity (81%) in predicting which older drivers had a history of crash problems. This level of predictability is unprecedented in research on crash risk in older drivers. Older adults with substantial shrinkage in the useful field of view were six times more likely to have incurred one or more crashes in the previous 5-year period. Eye health status, visual sensory function, cognitive status, and chronological age were significantly correlated with crashes, but were relatively poor at discriminating between crash-involved versus crash-free drivers. CONCLUSIONS. This study suggests that policies that restrict driving privileges based solely on age or on common stereotypes of age-related declines in vision and cognition are scientifically unfounded. With the identification of a visual attention measure highly predictive of crash problems in the elderly, this study points to a way in which the suitability of licensure in the older adult population could be based on objective, performance-based criteria. Keywords: Driver distraction;