Financial risk

About: Financial risk is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 11899 publications have been published within this topic receiving 231404 citations. The topic is also known as: economic risk.

How Informative Are Value‐at‐Risk Disclosures?

Abstract: Value at Risk (VAR), a measure of the dollar amount of potential loss from adverse market moves, has become a standard benchmark for measuring financial risk. Spurred by regulators and competitive pressures, more institutions are reporting VAR numbers in annual and quarterly financial reports. To provide preliminary evidence on the informativeness of these new disclosures, I investigate the relation between the trading VAR disclosed by a small sample of U.S. commercial banks and the subsequent variability of their trading revenues. The empirical results suggest that VAR disclosures are informative in that they predict the variability of trading revenues. Thus, analysts and investors can use VAR disclosures to compare the risk profiles of banks' trading portfolios.

Financial Intermediation, International Risk Sharing, and Reserve Currencies

Abstract: I model the equilibrium risk sharing between countries with varying financial development. The most financially developed country takes greater risks because its financial intermediaries deal with funding problems better. In good times, the more financially developed country consumes more and runs a trade deficit financed by the higher financial income that it earns as compensation for taking greater risk. During global crises, it suffers heavier losses. Its currency emerges as the reserve currency because it appreciates during crises, thus providing a good hedge. I provide evidence that financial net worth plays a crucial role in understanding this asymmetric risk sharing. (JEL E44, F14, F32, G01, G15, G21)

Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability : Current Policy Issues

Abstract: The recent financial crisis has shown that financial innovation can have devastating systemic impacts. International standard setters and national regulators response has been a global concerted effort to overhaul and tighten financial regulations. However, at a time of designing stricter regulations, it is crucial to avoid a backlash against financial inclusion. In this chapter, we argue that greater financial inclusion presents opportunities to enhance financial stability. Our arguments are based on the following insights : Financial inclusion poses risks at the institutional level, but these are hardly systemic in nature. Evidence suggests that low-income savers and borrowers tend to maintain solid financial behavior throughout financial crises, keeping deposits in a safe place and paying back their loans. Institutional risk profiles at the bottom end of the financial market are characterized by large numbers of vulnerable clients who own limited balances and transact small volumes. Although this profile may raise some concerns regarding reputational risks for the central bank and consumer protection, in terms of financial instability, the risk posed by inclusive policies is negligible. In addition, risks prevalent at the institutional level are manageable with known prudential tools and more effective customer protection. The potential costs of financial inclusion are compensated for by important dynamic benefits that enhance financial stability over time through a deeper and more diversified financial system. In the following pages, we present the current state of financial inclusion globally. We also explore some trends in financial inclusion and what the most effective policies are to favor it. In doing so, we suggest that innovations aimed at countering financial exclusion may help strengthen financial systems rather than weakening them.

Financial Synergies and the Optimal Scope of the Firm: Implications for Mergers, Spinoffs, and Structured Finance

Abstract: Multiple activities may be separated financially, allowing each to optimize its financial structure, or combined in a firm with a single optimal financial structure. We consider activities with nonsynergistic operational cash flows, and examine the purely financial benefits of separation versus merger. The magnitude of financial synergies depends upon tax rates, default costs, relative size, and the riskiness and correlation of cash flows. Contrary to accepted wisdom, financial synergies from mergers can be negative if firms have quite different risks or default costs. The results provide a rationale for structured finance techniques such as asset securitization and project finance. DECISIONS THAT ALTER THE SCOPE of the firm are among the most important faced by management, and among the most studied by academics. Mergers and spinoffs are classic examples of such decisions. More recently, structured finance has seen explosive growth: Asset securitization exceeded $6.8 trillion in 2004, and Esty and Christov (2002) report that in 2001, more than half of capital investments with costs exceeding $500 million were financed on a separate project basis. 1 Ye tf inancial theory has made little headway in explaining structured finance. Positive or negative operational synergies are often cited as a prime motivation for decisions that change the scope of the firm. A rich literature addresses the roles of economies of scope and scale, market power, incomplete contracting, property rights, and agency costs in determining the optimal boundaries of the firm. 2 But operational synergies are difficult to identify in the case of asset securitization and structured finance.