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Showing papers on "Futures studies published in 1973"


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Viewing forecasting in terms of three modes, as predictions deduced from tested scientific theories, as trend extrapolations, and as heuristics, it is shown that most long-term predictions are inherently contingent.

6 citations



Journal ArticleDOI
01 Jun 1973-Futures
TL;DR: Cazes as mentioned in this paper examines the futures studies conducted in France as part of the VIth Plan (1971-1975) and identifies three classes of research, vertical, horizontal and synthetic, and analyses the strengths and weaknesses of each as they relate to policy planning.

3 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
01 Dec 1973-Futures
TL;DR: In this paper, a review of futures studies in a socialist country where long-term forecasting has become institutionalised and serves the centralised policy making and planning is presented, including history of the subject, organisation of research and education, work on allocated research projects and on national economic forecasts, as well as its information network.

1 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
01 Dec 1973-Futures
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show how good futures studies, replacing the criterion of subjective certainty by that of objective uncertainty, pinpoint changes in management needed for long-term planning, improving background information, stimulating new ways of thinking and providing decision inputs.

1 citations