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Futures studies

About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.


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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The present paper attempts to test the hypothesis that both science and strategy affect each other and this linkage can be investigated quantitatively, and is built on a quantitative trend monitoring process drawing on semantic analysis of large amount of textual data and text mining tools.
Abstract: Rapid changes in Science & Technology (S&T) along with breakthroughs in products and services concern a great deal of policy and strategy makers and lead to an ever increasing number of Foresight and other types of forward-looking work. At the outset, the purpose of these efforts is to investigate emerging S&T areas, set priorities and inform policies and strategies. However, there is still no clear evidence on the mutual linkage between science and strategy, which may be attributed to Foresight and S&T policy making activities. The present paper attempts to test the hypothesis that both science and strategy affect each other and this linkage can be investigated quantitatively. The evidence for the mutual attribution of science and strategy is built on a quantitative trend monitoring process drawing on semantic analysis of large amount of textual data and text mining tools. Based on the proposed methodology the similarities between science and strategy documents along with the overlaps between them across a certain period of time are calculated using the case of the Agriculture and Food sector, and thus the linkages between science and strategy are investigated.

25 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Open government data and text mining methods are suggested to utilize for building open foresight framework that various actors exchange their opinions on societal issues, implying that public discourse and policy agenda are coupled.

25 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This article developed the concept of distentive capability as a spatio-temporal process of way-finding that sustains the creative emergence of strategic foresight across multiple time horizons.

25 citations

01 Mar 2010
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors focus on how scenarios were used in the run up to the 2007-2010 financial crisis in order to clarify misconceptions and confusions concerning'scenario planning' and propose how scenarios might be helpful in overcoming the difficulties of learning from crisis.
Abstract: Futures practices have always sought to bridge longer term, context uncertainty and today's actions. Despite the emergence of diverse foresight lineages, methods and tools, the differences between 'better proactive foresight' and 'better reactive preparedness' remain unclear. This paper focuses on the 2007-2010 financial crisis in order to clarify misconceptions and confusions concerning 'scenario planning'. We assess why the crisis is not unique and propose how scenarios might be helpful in overcoming the difficulties of learning from crisis. We focus on how scenarios were used in the run up to this crisis to clarify the nature, role and effectiveness of scenario work. We highlight implications for scholarship and practice, including: overcoming simplistic distinctions of scenarios as products or processes; and as outputs or inputs. We assess the power of scenarios as frames and their role in re-framing strategic conversation; and contrast the misapplication of probability in systemic risk analysis with the co-production of plausibility, between builders and users of scenarios. Finally, we explore why the promises of deploying scenarios to address normal accidents and systemic risks are not yet fully realised.

24 citations


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Performance
Metrics
No. of papers in the topic in previous years
YearPapers
20241
2023323
2022665
2021145
2020155
2019173