Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
Papers published on a yearly basis
Papers
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors explore how the application of web 2.0 process influences on the widely applied For-Learn Foresight Cycle and more in general on the design and management of foresight projects.
Abstract: The use of web 2.0 in shaping and implementing public sector innovation policies is rather unexplored. Private sector innovation practice in web 2.0 suggests a good potential fir reshaping innovation polity processes from top down to more bottom-up approaches, building on low cost access to collaborative spaces of knowledge. By way of analysing a recent web 2.0 foresight project attached to European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT), we explore how the application of web 2.0 process influences on the widely applied For-Learn Foresight Cycle and more in general on the design and management of foresight projects. The paper also identifies implications for polity-making and avenuesfirfiaure research.
13 citations
TL;DR: In this article, a feasibility study was conducted to investigate methodologies for strategic planning and regulatory decision-making in technologies involving genetically modified (GM) crops, and the authors used a technology foresight (TF) framework, using a life cycle inventory (LCI) to define the problem complex, a stakeholder panel to identify drivers (of change) that influence the direction of future developments, and weighted stakeholder questionnaires to prioritize these drivers.
13 citations
TL;DR: The development of futures studies in New Zealand over several decades is reviewed in this paper, where the potential to address complexity through technologies for wicked problems and futures literacy is discussed in detail, supported by the strong sense of stewardship embedded in its indigenous culture and an increasing use of participatory processes in environmental decision-making around highly complex issues.
13 citations
TL;DR: The results of the recent Russian Science and Technology Foresight (S&TForesight) project as mentioned in this paper have been presented in order to identify the most promising areas of science and technology development in Russia towards 2030 to ensure the realisation of the nation's competitive advantages.
Abstract: Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to present the results of the recent Russian Science and Technology Foresight – a full-fledged study targeted at the identification of the most promising areas of science and technology (S&T) development in Russia towards 2030 to ensure the realisation of the nation’s competitive advantages. It was organised as a complex project involving dozens of organizations performing particular tasks under the overall coordination by the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) and more than 2,000 experts in various S&T fields.
Design/methodology/approach
Its methodology embraced a set of qualitative and quantitative methods and combined technology push and market pool approaches. For seven ST new markets and niches; innovation products and services; prospective technologies and RD assessment of the country’s positions vis-a-vis global leaders; recommendations for S&T and innovation policies.
Findings
The paper covers prospective drivers of economic growth and relevant implications for anticipatory evidence-based policy; discussions of national challenges and building a common vision of the future among key stakeholders; the role of Foresight in particular as a communication platform that helps integrating stakeholder interests; strengthening existing and developing new capacities to increase national competitiveness; and to move up along existing and emerging global value chains.
Originality/value
The Russian S&T Foresight, being deeply integrated in the national policy, can be considered as an exemplar tool for “wiring up” the national innovation system (NIS) of an emerging economy with its specific features and problems facing large-scale challenges.
13 citations
22 Feb 2019
TL;DR: An evidence review that examines the trends in manufacturing and global supply chains, looking at the international trade, technology and users, and how these may change between now and 2040 is presented in this paper.
Abstract: This is an evidence review that examines the trends in manufacturing and global supply chains, looking at the international trade, technology and users, and how these may change between now and 2040. The review has been commissioned by the Government Office for Science within the Foresight project. The Foresight Future of Mobility project is run from within the UK Government Office for Science (GO-Science). The Foresight project was launched to try to understand the broad question "What benefits/ opportunities could the transport system of the future provide and what are the implications for Government and society?"
13 citations