Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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14 Jul 2008
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a look into the future of television and discuss the challenges of the future and the possibilities and limits of future vision. But they do not consider the future in the context of strategy development.
Abstract: Introduction. Chapter 1. Venturing a Look into the Future. Moving from the past into the future via the present. 1.1. Reflections on the Future. 1.2. Changes in Our Environment. 1.3. Enterprise Development. 1.4. Present and Future Challenges. 1.5. Enterprise Intelligence Test. Chapter 2. Detection. Detecting and Recording Changes in the Enterprise Environment. 2.1. A Plea for Foresight and Prior Action. 2.2. The Enterprise Environment. 2.3. Information as a Basis for Decision Making. 2.4. How We Can Learn to Understand our Environment. 2.5. The Future of Television (I). Chapter 3. Reflection. Sorting and Structuring Information. 3.1. Changes in the Environment. 3.2. Stability - Paradigms and Assumptions. 3.3. Changes - Trends. 3.4. Uncertainty. 3.5. Contradictions. 3.6. Indeterminate Elements - Chaos and Wildcards. 3.7. From Hypothesis to Future Element. 3.8. The Future of Television (II). Chapter 4. Understanding. Anticipating the Future. 4.1. Memories of the Future. 4.2. The Possibilities and Limits of Foresight. 4.3. Origins and Development of Foresight. 4.4. Pictures of the Future. 4.5. Demarcation and Focus. 4.6. Selecting Future Elements. 4.7. The Actual "Look" into the Future. 4.8. Development of Scenario Frameworks and Scenarios. 4.9. Creating Pictures of the Future. 4.10. Evaluation of Scenarios. 4.11. Pictures of the Future. 4.12. The Future of Television (III). 4.13. Lessons Learned. Chapter 5. Planning. Seizing Opportunities and Avoiding Hazards. 5.1. Planning for the Future: An Insurance Policy. 5.2. Strategy Review. 5.3. Developing Strategies in Turbulent Environments. 5.4. Enterprise Analysis. 5.5. Strategy Synthesis. 5.6. Strategic Decisions. 5.7. Examining the Future in the Context of Strategy Development. 5.8. The Future of Television (IV). Chapter 6. Implementation. Managing Change. 6.1. The Dimensions of Change. 6.2. The Logic of Change. 6.3. The Reality of Change in Enterprises. 6.4. Elements of Change. 6.5. Orientation in the Process of Change. 6.6. Including the Results of Analysis. 6.7. Reflection, reflection, reflection... 6.8. The Future of Television (V). Chapter 7. Learning. Applications and Examples. 7.1. Dealing with Uncertainty in Practice. 7.2. The Future of Petroleum - Introduction. 7.3. The Future of Petroleum - An Information Base. 7.4. Compression and Operation. 7.5. Generating Environment Scenarios. 7.6. Generating Enterprise Scenarios. 7.7. Strategic Implications. 7.8. Example Summary. Chapter 8. Homework. What You Should Do. Chapter 9. Appendix I. 100 Sources of Information. Chapter 10. Appendix II. Short Profiles of Selected Methods. 10.1. Macro Environment Analysis. 10.2. Micro Environment Analysis. 10.3. Enterprise Analysis. 10.4. Foresight. 10.5. Strategic Analysis. 10.6. Change Management. References. Index.
86 citations
TL;DR: With its historical links to the 1970s radical science movements, Science and Technology Studies (STS) has from the outset been concerned with the critical assessment of developments in science and technology studies as discussed by the authors.
Abstract: With its historical links to the 1970s radical science movements, Science and Technology Studies (STS) has from the outset been concerned with the critical assessment of developments in Science and...
86 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors discuss the evolution of futures studies, and argue that there have been two paradigms in the evolution, and there are signs of emergence of a new one.
85 citations
TL;DR: The authors traces the development of futures studies from the Second World War and considers its philosophical basis, concluding that future thinking is seen as a learning process, and that future thinkers have special responsibilities as they are part of the world they describe.
85 citations
TL;DR: Futures study is not yet well established at the social level as discussed by the authors, and given the unstable conditions of the late 20th century, and the challenging outlook of the early 21st, this is a serious oversight.
85 citations