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Futures studies

About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.


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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a framework to answer strategic questions such as "What might give us continued competitive advantage?" and "What new product or markets should we enter and how?" Both questions go to the heart of a firm's strategic vision.
Abstract: Senior executives commonly ponder such questions as "What might give us continued competitive advantage?" and "What new product or markets should we enter and how?" Both questions go to the heart of a firm's strategic vision. Such a vision can be defined as the shared understanding of what the firm should be and how it must change. This paper presents a framework to answer such questions critically as well as creatively. Knowing the answers constitutes the difference between muddling through and running the business from day to day with confidence and foresight. The method consists of the following four steps:

66 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, an innovative UK attempt to develop an inclusive "bottom-up" community foresight process for urban sustainability research is reported, which is grounded in an exploration of the community participants' current lived experience and understandings of sustainability.

66 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
08 Jul 2020-PLOS ONE
TL;DR: Results suggest that changing global diets toward healthier patterns could also help to limit the expansion in agricultural land area, and Agrimonde-Terra’s scenarios enlarge the scope of possible futures by proposing two pathways that are uncommon in other sets of global scenarios.
Abstract: Facing a growing and more affluent world population, changing climate and finite natural resources, world food systems will have to change in the future. The aim of the Agrimonde-Terra foresight study was to build global scenarios linking land use and food security, with special attention paid to overlooked aspects such as nutrition and health, in order to help explore the possible future of the global food system. In this article, we seek to highlight how the resulting set of scenarios contributes to the debate on land use and food security and enlarges the range of possible futures for the global food system. We highlight four main contributions. Combining a scenario building method based on morphological analysis and quantitative simulations with a tractable and simple biomass balance model, the proposed approach improves transparency and coherence between scenario narratives and quantitative assessment. Agrimonde-Terra's scenarios comprise a wide range of alternative diets, with contrasting underlying nutritional and health issues, which accompany contrasting urbanization and rural transformation processes, both dimensions that are lacking in other sets of global scenarios. Agrimonde-Terra's scenarios share some similarities with existing sets of global scenarios, notably the SSPs, but are usually less optimistic regarding agricultural land expansion up to 2050. Results suggest that changing global diets toward healthier patterns could also help to limit the expansion in agricultural land area. Agrimonde-Terra's scenarios enlarge the scope of possible futures by proposing two pathways that are uncommon in other sets of global scenarios. The first proposes to explore possible reconnection of the food industry and regional production within supranational regional blocs. The second means that we should consider that a 'perfect storm', induced by climate change and an ecological crisis combined with social and economic crises, is still possible. Both scenarios should be part of the debate as the current context of the COVID-19 pandemic shows.

66 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This paper combines systemic Foresight, network analysis and scenario methods to propose an ‘Evolutionary Scenario Approach,’ which explains the ways in which the future may unfold based on the mapping of the gradual change and the dynamics of aspects or variables that characterise a series of circumstances in a period of time.

65 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors make the case for making future studies explicit in student learning in science education, and present a vision of the future of science education in the United States.
Abstract: (2004). Imaging the Future of Science Education: the Case for Making Futures Studies Explicit in Student Learning. Studies in Science Education: Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 139-177.

65 citations


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Performance
Metrics
No. of papers in the topic in previous years
YearPapers
20241
2023323
2022665
2021145
2020155
2019173