Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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TL;DR: In the early 1990s, technology foresight has become much more widespread in continental Europe as mentioned in this paper and the task is to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest socio-economic benefits.
59 citations
TL;DR: It is the position that futures researchers should balance the way they conduct futures research with the way innovation and strategy processes are organised and carried out.
Abstract: Futures research can support decisions concerning innovation and strategy issues. To encourage companies to use the results of futures studies, the futures researcher has to be aware of how those companies (clients) have organised their innovation and strategy processes. It is our position that futures researchers should balance the way they conduct futures research with the way innovation and strategy processes are organised and carried out. For example, in an organisation with a hierarchical way of building a strategy, a ‘democratic’ and interactive approach to futures research will probably not be appreciated. This makes it interesting and worthwhile to find out what futures research and innovation and strategy have in common, and on which points they relate. This will help futures researchers improve their work and make sure that their work has an impact on decisions concerning innovation and strategy.
59 citations
TL;DR: In this article, a rich repertoire of 13 families of foresight methods is presented, and the authors suggest considerations in deciding which of those methods suit the various types of future endeavours.
Abstract: This paper posits nine dimensions to distinguish the types of foresight studies. It arrays a rich repertoire of 13 families of foresight methods. It then suggests considerations in deciding which of those methods suit the various types of foresight endeavours. There is no one way to conduct effective foresight studies.
58 citations
Book•
01 Jan 2002
TL;DR: Gidley and Inayatullah as mentioned in this paper presented a map of the future terrain of youth and their personal well-being in the 21st century by mapping youth futures to a transdisciplinary perspective.
Abstract: Preface: Youth Futures: The Terrain by Jennifer Gidley and Sohail Inayatullah Mapping Youth Futures Global Youth Culture: A Transdisciplinary Perspective by Jennifer Gidley Youth Dissent: Multiple Perspectives on Youth Futures by Sohail Inayatullah Future Visions, Social Realities, and Personal Lives: Young People and Their Personal Well-Being by Richard Eckersley Partnership Education for the 21st Century by Riane Eisler Cultural Mapping and Our Children's Futures: Decolonizing Ways of Learning and Research by Francis Hutchinson From Youth Futures to Futures for All: Reclaiming the Human Story by Marcus Bussey Youth Essay 1: Optimistic Visions from Australia by Raina Hunter Comparative Research from Around the Globe Japanese Youth: Rewriting Futures in the "No Taboos" Post-Bubble Millennium by David Wright Reflections upon the Late-Modern Transition as Seen in the Images of the Future Held by Young Finns by Anita Rubin Imagining the Future: Youth in Singapore by Alfred Oehlers The Future Orientation of Hungarian Youth in the Years of the Transformation by Eva Hideg and Erzsebet Novaky Citizens of the New Century: Perspectives from the UK by Cathie Holden Longing for Belonging: Youth Culture in Norway by Paul Otto Brunstad Holistic Education and Visions of Rehumanized Futures by Jennifer Gidley Youth Essay 2: Voice of the Future from Pakistan by Bilal Aslam Case Studies: Teaching Futures in Educationl Settings From Rhetoric to Reality: The Emergence of Futures into the Educational Mainstream by Richard Slaughter Re-Imagining your Neighborhood--A Model of Futures Education by Carmen Stewart Learning with an Active Voice: Children and Youth Creating Preferred Futures by Cole Jackson, Sandra Burchsted, and Seth Itzkan I Don't Care About the Future (if I Can't Influence it) by Sabina Head Rural Visions of the Future: Futures in a Social Science Class by Shane Hart Youth, Scenarios, and Metaphors of the Future by Sohail Inayatullah Youth Essay 3: Shared Futures from the Philippines by Michael Guanco Concluding Reflections by Sohail Inayatullah and Jennifer Gidley Selected Bibliography Index
58 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a new corporate foresight framework and management tool based on foresight, which help leaders to manage VUCA, especially under the conditions of hypercompetition and technological disruption.
Abstract: Under current market conditions of corporate foresight, turbulence is a key element of the business landscape. Turbulence can be summarised using the trendy managerial acronym “VUCA”: volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. This paper aims to combine, for the first time, scientific discussion of technological disruption with the VUCA approach. Gartner Hype Cycle is used as a case example of technological turbulence and “vucability”.,First, the authors present the key concepts of technological disruption and radical innovation. Both these concepts are highly relevant for modern corporate foresight. Second, the authors discuss the key elements of current technological transformation and summarise it to create a bigger picture. Third, the authors link this discussion to the VUCA approach. Fourth, the authors present the new corporate foresight framework, which is highly relevant for corporations and takes current technological transformation more seriously than previous proposals, which expect more stable business and a technological landscape.,Key issues in modern VUCA management are agility (response to volatility), information and knowledge management (response to uncertainty), restructuring (response to complexity) and experimentation (response to ambiguity). Useful foresight tools are challenging tools, decision-making tools, aligning tools, learning tools and the ability to combine these management tools in the practices of corporate foresight and management systems. The VUCA approach is a key solution concept to technological disruption.,The authors present the new corporate foresight framework and management tool based on foresight, which help leaders to manage VUCA – especially under the conditions of hyper-competition and technological disruption.,Corporate leaders should reinvent the strategic planning framework and adjust it to the VUCA conditions and simply be more strategic. Traps and typical failures of foresight are adopting it too early, giving up too soon, adapting too late and hanging on too long. In particular, technological transformation with disruptive technologies is changing and challenging many basic assumptions of business management and strategic planning. Our comparative analysis with Gartner Hype Cycle (fast technological changes from 2008 to 2016) verifies this important aspect of technological disruption.
57 citations