Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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01 Jan 2013
TL;DR: Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) as discussed by the authors proposes a framework for designing and implementing FS activities, which recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems.
Abstract: Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ thought experiments, in which systems (e.g. human and social systems, industrial/sectoral systems, and innovation systems) are understood and modelled, and hopefully intervened in, for a successful change programme. These experiments are conducted in a series of iterative phases that we label (1) Intelligence (scoping, surveying and scanning phase) (2) Imagination (creative and diverging phase), (3) Integration (ordering and converging phase), (4) Interpretation (strategy phase), (5) Intervention (action phase), and (6) Impact (evaluation phase); (7) an Interaction phase (participation) goes on throughout the activity. The paper describes each of the phases and proposes a set of quantitative and qualitative methods, which can be combined to form research, policy, technology, and innovation paths. The ideas discussed in the light of two Systemic Foresight cases, dealing with Higher Education and Renewable Energy sectors. SFM was used to provide a methodological orientation for these the Foresight exercises, where a variety of methods were selected and combined in line with the objectives of and available resources for the Foresight exercises.
56 citations
01 Jan 2019
TL;DR: The authors examines major economic, political, social, social and technological trends affecting education, and the questions raised in this book are suggestive, and aim to inform strategic thinking and stimulate reflection on the challenges facing education and on how and whether education can influence these trends.
Abstract: This book examines major economic, political, social and technological trends affecting education. While the trends are robust, the questions raised in this book are suggestive, and aim to inform strategic thinking and stimulate reflection on the challenges facing education - and on how and whether education can influence these trends. The book covers an array of topics related to globalisation, democracy, security, ageing and modern cultures. The content for this 2019 edition has been updated and also expanded with a wide range of new indicators. Along with the trends and their relationship to education, the book includes a new section on future's thinking inspired by foresight methodologies.
56 citations
TL;DR: The most central characteristic of American futurists and their approach as practiced around the world is eclectic flexibility in methods and techniques as mentioned in this paper, illustrated by the author's own decades of work for organizational clients.
56 citations
TL;DR: In this article, a typology of paradigms of futures studies with specific focus on decision-making is presented, which forms a gradient from technocracy performed by professionals to direct citizen participation.
56 citations
TL;DR: A brief history of futures in school education can be found in this article, where the authors introduce integral analysis as a way of opening up new possibilities to help school education develop due foresight and to more fully realise its potential as a prime facilitator in individual and cultural evolution.
56 citations