Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide a synthesis of how services are understood, how they are likely to develop and how future development can be studied more closely in the forest-based sector (FBS).
Abstract: Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze and provide a synthesis of how services are understood, how they are likely to develop and how future development can be studied more closely in the forest-based sector (FBS). Services are likely to have an increasing role in the FBS in the future. Design/methodology/approach – The findings are based on a literature review of FBS outlook studies, strategies and programs and services-related studies in FBS and general services literature. Three case examples of services businesses in FBS companies are presented, and possible foresight approaches related to them are discussed. Foresight methods used in parallel sectors are also discussed. Findings – The study provides the first systematic introduction, classification and review of FBS services to include both industry- and non-industry-related services. The paper also points out the need for foresight studies and suggests various approaches for an analysis of the potential of FBS services in the future bioec...
46 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors identify the role of innovative entrepreneurship in Colombian business cycle scenarios using system dynamics (SD) modelling and show how this type of entrepreneurship contributes to sustainable economic growth during the simulation period (2003-2032).
46 citations
TL;DR: In this article, a set of qualitative and quantitative factors and indicators of future developments in three key domains for the Russian water sector were developed by using a combination of Foresight methods including scenario analysis, data mining, and various expert methods.
46 citations
TL;DR: A real-time Delphi study, entitled, "The Certification of Professional Futurists 2030,” was conducted among 142 experts from 29 countries to debate the forces that might diminish or enhance futures work as discussed by the authors.
45 citations
TL;DR: The role of incentives as determinants of motivation and explicit recognition of incentives may contribute to the design of a foresight process that fosters active participation and collaboration are considered.
Abstract: Technology foresight typically engages the stakeholders in an open and constructive discussion about S&T driven opportunities. This, in turn, requires that the stakeholders are motivated and recognise the benefits that the foresight exercise offers to them. In this paper, we consider the role of incentives as determinants of motivation and, specifically, we argue that explicit recognition of incentives may contribute to the design of a foresight process that fosters active participation and collaboration. The arguments are illustrated in the light of a recent sectoral foresight study for the Finnish Food and Drink Industries' Federation.
45 citations