Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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TL;DR: The ‘Technology Foresight towards 2020’ exercise in China is introduced and the methodology including scenario building for identifying technology demands and the method for processing and analysing the data from a Delphi survey is explained.
Abstract: Technology foresight has attracted increasing attention from government and academia as well as industry since the 1990s. However, the impact of technology foresight on national strategic decision-making varies from country to country. This paper aims to introduce the ‘Technology Foresight towards 2020’ exercise in China, which has been conducted by a research group in the Chinese Academy of Sciences. The paper consists of five parts: (1) introduction; (2) the framework for technology foresight towards 2020 in China; (3) the methodology including scenario building for identifying technology demands and the method for processing and analysing the data from a Delphi survey; (4) the major results of a Delphi survey in the following four research fields: Information technology, Biotechnology, Energy technology, Material science and technology; and (5) the impact of the research on decision-making concerning science and technology development in China.
38 citations
TL;DR: A reflection on the introduction of methods and tools of "participative foresight" for scientific and technology policy as well as environmental policy fields and applications for perspectives on environmental policy and sustainable development are discussed.
38 citations
TL;DR: Wang et al. as mentioned in this paper systematically summarized and discussed academic studies, governmental practices, and policy applications regarding technology foresight in China, associated with bibliometrics, expert interviews, and desk research methods.
38 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, a foresight orientation was taken to identify leadership skills necessary for success in the near future, based on in-depth analysis of key business, societal, organisational and leadership trends, nine key leadership competencies were identified.
Abstract: Purpose – With tectonic plate shifting change and continuous uncertainty, a reliance on leadership competencies rooted in the past will no longer be successful. Instead, it is argued that the emerging business environment now demands a new set of leadership skills that are aligned to the requirements of the future. This paper aims to address these issues.Design/methodology/approach – A foresight orientation was taken to identify leadership skills necessary for success in the near future. Based on in‐depth analysis of key business, societal, organisational and leadership trends, nine key leadership competencies were identified. An exploratory study was then conducted to assess the current level of future leadership capability in a diverse sample included of current and emerging leaders from a variety of organisations across Europe and Asia Pacific.Findings – Results suggest that both current and emerging organisational leaders are significantly under prepared for the challenges ahead.Research limitations/i...
38 citations
01 Jan 2008
TL;DR: In this article, the authors set out some of the problems faced by practising teachers in relation to the academic field of futures studies and then clarified the educational rationale for developing a "futures perspective" in the school curriculum.
Abstract: In this chapter I firstly set out some of the problems faced by practising teachers in relation to the academic field of futures studies and then clarify the educational rationale for developing a ‘futures perspective’ in the school curriculum. Whilst schools have a crucial role to play in helping young people think about the future what is actually possible and appropriate is dependent on children’s ages. I outline some of what is currently known about children and young people’s perceptions of the future and then give an example of how teachers and students who intend to be teachers can be introduced to these concerns. Finally I indicate some of the areas of futures education that require further research.
37 citations