Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a qualitative framework to the analysis of the Polish foresight projects based on the grounded theory and draw conclusions on the current and the potential future role of foresight studies in the development of the knowledge-based economy in Poland.
Abstract: The aim of the paper is to propose a qualitative framework to the analysis of the Polish foresight projects based on the grounded theory. The dimensions of the analysis are: type of industry, aims and expected results, stakeholders, geographical distribution, time frame and the research horizon, applied methods, budget and funding sources. The study is supplemented by the findings on the foresight projects' impact on policy. Furthermore, the work sets the Polish sectoral foresights against the background of similar projects in other European countries. Based on the study the authors draw conclusions on the current and the potential future role of foresight studies in the development of the knowledge-based economy in Poland.
34 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the use of qualitative and phenomenological approaches in the fields of FTA and foresight is discussed, and the authors advocate the professional use of such methods in foresight and FTA studies.
34 citations
TL;DR: The future of futures studies is bright, because it is reasonable to hope that futurists will be able to establish the field in most of the world's colleges and universities as mentioned in this paper.
34 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explored the contribution of serious gaming in enhancing the Nile Basin policy makers' capacity on strategic foresight and showed that strategic foresighted is an important element for effective disaster risk reduction.
33 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors explored how individuals think future energy policy measures would impact their lives (consumer-perspective) by asking them whether and for what reasons in a voting they would say “yes” or “no” to them.
Abstract: The future of energy depends on present decision-making, and present decision-making depends on assumptions about future effects of energy policy. Individuals have two roles in this: In their citizen-role they have to consent to measures and support their implementation, in their consumer-role they have to adopt and implement measures in their behaviour. Our question is, how distinct these roles are with regard to how they inform individuals’ perceptions and concerns related to energy policy options. By applying the “Futures Wheel” method we explored how individuals think future energy policy measures would impact their lives (consumer-perspective). By asking them whether and for what reasons in a voting they would say “yes” or “no” to them we inquired into their assessment of these measures from a citizens' perspective. Our results show that the two roles consumer and citizen trigger different patterns of thinking. Energy policy design and decision-making should consider both. Life quality and justice are important for individuals in both roles. The “Futures Wheel” method helps uncovering assumptions about the future individuals are unaware of and is a suitable method to explore anticipated effects of energy policy options. It might be useful to facilitate societal debate about the future of energy.
33 citations