Topic
Futures studies
About: Futures studies is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 2996 publications have been published within this topic receiving 49505 citations. The topic is also known as: futurology & futurism.
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TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe the Danish Green Technological Foresight on Environmental Friendly Agriculture (GTFEFA) as a case study and examine the way in which a group of interested parties arrived at recommendations on the application of a number of emerging agriculture-related technologies.
33 citations
TL;DR: A checklist is proposed based on the integrated foresight management model to compare eight national foresight studies and a new definition of ‘‘generations’’ of foresight is proposed.
32 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors make an assessment of the value and veracity that complexity theory makes as a new approach to futures thinking, and the implications that the approach holds for futures studies.
Abstract: Purpose – This paper seeks to make an assessment of the value and veracity that complexity theory makes as a “new” approach to futures thinking, and the implications that the approach holds for futures studies.Design/methodology/approach – There are three sections. In the first, the notion of complexity theory is explained and its robustness considered, leading to a commentary on its status as a theory. In the second section, the applications of complexity approaches to change and futures thinking are examined, including its perspective on forecasting and scenario analysis. The final section comments on the compatibility of complexity theory and the relevance of conventional analytical forecasting techniques.Findings – Complexity thinking implies that the causes of events cannot be known and that forecasting and scenario planning are doomed to failure. However, this perspective assumes that complexity has achieved status as a theory, a possibility which is rejected in this analysis.Practical implications ...
32 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the impact of technological innovation on the society from a multi-dimensional perspective is understudied by applying a qualitative survey of 137 experts, and the survey's results are then treated using quantitative cross-sectional analysis to examine the interrelationships between lifestyle domains.
32 citations