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Heteroscedasticity

About: Heteroscedasticity is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 6720 publications have been published within this topic receiving 317066 citations. The topic is also known as: heteroskedastic & heteroskedasticity.


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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a new class of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) processes are introduced, which are mean zero, serially uncorrelated processes with nonconstant variances conditional on the past, but constant unconditional variances.
Abstract: Traditional econometric models assume a constant one-period forecast variance. To generalize this implausible assumption, a new class of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) processes are introduced in this paper. These are mean zero, serially uncorrelated processes with nonconstant variances conditional on the past, but constant unconditional variances. For such processes, the recent past gives information about the one-period forecast variance. A regression model is then introduced with disturbances following an ARCH process. Maximum likelihood estimators are described and a simple scoring iteration formulated. Ordinary least squares maintains its optimality properties in this set-up, but maximum likelihood is more efficient. The relative efficiency is calculated and can be infinite. To test whether the disturbances follow an ARCH process, the Lagrange multiplier procedure is employed. The test is based simply on the autocorrelation of the squared OLS residuals. This model is used to estimate the means and variances of inflation in the U.K. The ARCH effect is found to be significant and the estimated variances increase substantially during the chaotic seventies.

20,728 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a natural generalization of the ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic) process introduced in 1982 to allow for past conditional variances in the current conditional variance equation is proposed.

17,555 citations

Book
28 Apr 2021
TL;DR: In this article, the authors proposed a two-way error component regression model for estimating the likelihood of a particular item in a set of data points in a single-dimensional graph.
Abstract: Preface.1. Introduction.1.1 Panel Data: Some Examples.1.2 Why Should We Use Panel Data? Their Benefits and Limitations.Note.2. The One-way Error Component Regression Model.2.1 Introduction.2.2 The Fixed Effects Model.2.3 The Random Effects Model.2.4 Maximum Likelihood Estimation.2.5 Prediction.2.6 Examples.2.7 Selected Applications.2.8 Computational Note.Notes.Problems.3. The Two-way Error Component Regression Model.3.1 Introduction.3.2 The Fixed Effects Model.3.3 The Random Effects Model.3.4 Maximum Likelihood Estimation.3.5 Prediction.3.6 Examples.3.7 Selected Applications.Notes.Problems.4. Test of Hypotheses with Panel Data.4.1 Tests for Poolability of the Data.4.2 Tests for Individual and Time Effects.4.3 Hausman's Specification Test.4.4 Further Reading.Notes.Problems.5. Heteroskedasticity and Serial Correlation in the Error Component Model.5.1 Heteroskedasticity.5.2 Serial Correlation.Notes.Problems.6. Seemingly Unrelated Regressions with Error Components.6.1 The One-way Model.6.2 The Two-way Model.6.3 Applications and Extensions.Problems.7. Simultaneous Equations with Error Components.7.1 Single Equation Estimation.7.2 Empirical Example: Crime in North Carolina.7.3 System Estimation.7.4 The Hausman and Taylor Estimator.7.5 Empirical Example: Earnings Equation Using PSID Data.7.6 Extensions.Notes.Problems.8. Dynamic Panel Data Models.8.1 Introduction.8.2 The Arellano and Bond Estimator.8.3 The Arellano and Bover Estimator.8.4 The Ahn and Schmidt Moment Conditions.8.5 The Blundell and Bond System GMM Estimator.8.6 The Keane and Runkle Estimator.8.7 Further Developments.8.8 Empirical Example: Dynamic Demand for Cigarettes.8.9 Further Reading.Notes.Problems.9. Unbalanced Panel Data Models.9.1 Introduction.9.2 The Unbalanced One-way Error Component Model.9.3 Empirical Example: Hedonic Housing.9.4 The Unbalanced Two-way Error Component Model.9.5 Testing for Individual and Time Effects Using Unbalanced Panel Data.9.6 The Unbalanced Nested Error Component Model.Notes.Problems.10. Special Topics.10.1 Measurement Error and Panel Data.10.2 Rotating Panels.10.3 Pseudo-panels.10.4 Alternative Methods of Pooling Time Series of Cross-section Data.10.5 Spatial Panels.10.6 Short-run vs Long-run Estimates in Pooled Models.10.7 Heterogeneous Panels.Notes.Problems.11. Limited Dependent Variables and Panel Data.11.1 Fixed and Random Logit and Probit Models.11.2 Simulation Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Panel Data.11.3 Dynamic Panel Data Limited Dependent Variable Models.11.4 Selection Bias in Panel Data.11.5 Censored and Truncated Panel Data Models.11.6 Empirical Applications.11.7 Empirical Example: Nurses' Labor Supply.11.8 Further Reading.Notes.Problems.12. Nonstationary Panels.12.1 Introduction.12.2 Panel Unit Roots Tests Assuming Cross-sectional Independence.12.3 Panel Unit Roots Tests Allowing for Cross-sectional Dependence.12.4 Spurious Regression in Panel Data.12.5 Panel Cointegration Tests.12.6 Estimation and Inference in Panel Cointegration Models.12.7 Empirical Example: Purchasing Power Parity.12.8 Further Reading.Notes.Problems.References.Index.

10,363 citations

Book
01 Jan 1999
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors proposed a multilevel regression model to estimate within-and between-group correlations using a combination of within-group correlation and cross-group evidence.
Abstract: Preface second edition Preface to first edition Introduction Multilevel analysis Probability models This book Prerequisites Notation Multilevel Theories, Multi-Stage Sampling and Multilevel Models Dependence as a nuisance Dependence as an interesting phenomenon Macro-level, micro-level, and cross-level relations Glommary Statistical Treatment of Clustered Data Aggregation Disaggregation The intraclass correlation Within-group and between group variance Testing for group differences Design effects in two-stage samples Reliability of aggregated variables Within-and between group relations Regressions Correlations Estimation of within-and between-group correlations Combination of within-group evidence Glommary The Random Intercept Model Terminology and notation A regression model: fixed effects only Variable intercepts: fixed or random parameters? When to use random coefficient models Definition of the random intercept model More explanatory variables Within-and between-group regressions Parameter estimation 'Estimating' random group effects: posterior means Posterior confidence intervals Three-level random intercept models Glommary The Hierarchical Linear Model Random slopes Heteroscedasticity Do not force ?01 to be 0! Interpretation of random slope variances Explanation of random intercepts and slopes Cross-level interaction effects A general formulation of fixed and random parts Specification of random slope models Centering variables with random slopes? Estimation Three or more levels Glommary Testing and Model Specification Tests for fixed parameters Multiparameter tests for fixed effects Deviance tests More powerful tests for variance parameters Other tests for parameters in the random part Confidence intervals for parameters in the random part Model specification Working upward from level one Joint consideration of level-one and level-two variables Concluding remarks on model specification Glommary How Much Does the Model Explain? Explained variance Negative values of R2? Definition of the proportion of explained variance in two-level models Explained variance in three-level models Explained variance in models with random slopes Components of variance Random intercept models Random slope models Glommary Heteroscedasticity Heteroscedasticity at level one Linear variance functions Quadratic variance functions Heteroscedasticity at level two Glommary Missing Data General issues for missing data Implications for design Missing values of the dependent variable Full maximum likelihood Imputation The imputation method Putting together the multiple results Multiple imputations by chained equations Choice of the imputation model Glommary Assumptions of the Hierarchical Linear Model Assumptions of the hierarchical linear model Following the logic of the hierarchical linear model Include contextual effects Check whether variables have random effects Explained variance Specification of the fixed part Specification of the random part Testing for heteroscedasticity What to do in case of heteroscedasticity Inspection of level-one residuals Residuals at level two Influence of level-two units More general distributional assumptions Glommary Designing Multilevel Studies Some introductory notes on power Estimating a population mean Measurement of subjects Estimating association between variables Cross-level interaction effects Allocating treatment to groups or individuals Exploring the variance structure The intraclass correlation Variance parameters Glommary Other Methods and Models Bayesian inference Sandwich estimators for standard errors Latent class models Glommary Imperfect Hierarchies A two-level model with a crossed random factor Crossed random effects in three-level models Multiple membership models Multiple membership multiple classification models Glommary Survey Weights Model-based and design-based inference Descriptive and analytic use of surveys Two kinds of weights Choosing between model-based and design-based analysis Inclusion probabilities and two-level weights Exploring the informativeness of the sampling design Example: Metacognitive strategies as measured in the PISA study Sampling design Model-based analysis of data divided into parts Inclusion of weights in the model How to assign weights in multilevel models Appendix. Matrix expressions for the single-level estimators Glommary Longitudinal Data Fixed occasions The compound symmetry models Random slopes The fully multivariate model Multivariate regression analysis Explained variance Variable occasion designs Populations of curves Random functions Explaining the functions 27415.2.4 Changing covariates Autocorrelated residuals Glommary Multivariate Multilevel Models Why analyze multiple dependent variables simultaneously? The multivariate random intercept model Multivariate random slope models Glommary Discrete Dependent Variables Hierarchical generalized linear models Introduction to multilevel logistic regression Heterogeneous proportions The logit function: Log-odds The empty model The random intercept model Estimation Aggregation Further topics on multilevel logistic regression Random slope model Representation as a threshold model Residual intraclass correlation coefficient Explained variance Consequences of adding effects to the model Ordered categorical variables Multilevel event history analysis Multilevel Poisson regression Glommary Software Special software for multilevel modeling HLM MLwiN The MIXOR suite and SuperMix Modules in general-purpose software packages SAS procedures VARCOMP, MIXED, GLIMMIX, and NLMIXED R Stata SPSS, commands VARCOMP and MIXED Other multilevel software PinT Optimal Design MLPowSim Mplus Latent Gold REALCOM WinBUGS References Index

9,578 citations

Book
06 Aug 1999
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a regression analysis with time series data using OLS asymptotics and a simple regression model in Matrix Algebra, which is based on the linear regression model.
Abstract: 1. The Nature of Econometrics and Economic Data. Part I: REGRESSION ANALYSIS WITH CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA. 2. The Simple Regression Model. 3. Multiple Regression Analysis: Estimation. 4. Multiple Regression Analysis: Inference. 5. Multiple Regression Analysis: OLS Asymptotics. 6. Multiple Regression Analysis: Further Issues. 7. Multiple Regression Analysis with Qualitative Information: Binary (or Dummy) Variables. 8. Heteroskedasticity. 9. More on Specification and Data Problems. Part II: REGRESSION ANALYSIS WITH TIME SERIES DATA. 10. Basic Regression Analysis with Time Series Data. 11. Further Issues in Using OLS with Time Series Data. 12. Serial Correlation and Heteroskedasticity in Time Series Regressions. Part III: ADVANCED TOPICS. 13. Pooling Cross Sections across Time: Simple Panel Data Methods. 14. Advanced Panel Data Methods. 15. Instrumental Variables Estimation and Two Stage Least Squares. 16. Simultaneous Equations Models. 17. Limited Dependent Variable Models and Sample Selection Corrections. 18. Advanced Time Series Topics. 19. Carrying out an Empirical Project. APPENDICES. Appendix A: Basic Mathematical Tools. Appendix B: Fundamentals of Probability. Appendix C: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics. Appendix D: Summary of Matrix Algebra. Appendix E: The Linear Regression Model in Matrix Form. Appendix F: Answers to Chapter Questions. Appendix G: Statistical Tables. References. Glossary. Index.

6,120 citations


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Performance
Metrics
No. of papers in the topic in previous years
YearPapers
2023371
2022824
2021310
2020322
2019271
2018287