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Pecking order
About: Pecking order is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 900 publications have been published within this topic receiving 41056 citations.
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TL;DR: The pecking-order model of finance as mentioned in this paper predicts that firms with more investments have lower long-term dividend payouts, while firms with fewer investments have higher dividend payout, which is consistent with the trade-off model and complex pecking order model.
Abstract: Confirming predictions shared by the trade-off and pecking order models, more profitable firms and firms with fewer investments have higher dividend payouts. Confirming the pecking order model but contradicting the trade-off model, more profitable firms are less levered. Firms with more investments have less market leverage, which is consistent with the trade-off model and a complex pecking order model. Firms with more investments have lower long-term dividend payouts, but dividends do not vary to accommodate shortterm variation in investment. As the pecking order model predicts, short-term variation in investment and earnings is mostly absorbed by debt. The finance literature offers two competing models of financing decisions. In the trade-off model, firms identify their optimal leverage by weighing the costs and benefits of an additional dollar of debt. The benefits of debt include, for example, the tax deductibility of interest and the reduction of free cash flow problems. The costs of debt include potential bankruptcy costs and agency conflicts between stockholders and bondholders. At the leverage optimum, the benefit of the last dollar of debt just offsets the cost. The tradeoff model makes a similar prediction about dividends. Firms maximize value by selecting the dividend payout that equates the costs and benefits of the last dollar of dividends. Myers (1984) develops an alternative theory known as the pecking order model of financing decisions. The pecking order arises if the costs of issuing new securities overwhelm other costs and benefits of dividends and debt. The financing costs that produce pecking order behavior include the transaction costs associated with new issues and the costs that arise because of management’s superior information about the firm’s prospects and the value of its risky securities. Because of these costs, firms finance new investments first with retained earnings, then with safe debt, then with risky debt, and finally, under duress, with equity. As a result, variation in a firm’s leverage
2,523 citations
TL;DR: The authors showed that firms with more investments have lower long-term dividend payouts, while firms with fewer investments are less levered, consistent with the tradeoff model and a complex pecking order model.
Abstract: Confirming predictions shared by the tradeoff and pecking order models, more profitable firms and firms with fewer investments have higher dividend payouts. Confirming the pecking order model but contradicting the tradeoff model, more profitable firms are less levered. Firms with more investments have less market leverage, which is consistent with the tradeoff model and a complex pecking order model. Firms with more investments have lower long-term dividend payouts, but dividends do not vary to accommodate short-term variation in investment. As the pecking order model predicts, short-term variation in investment and earnings is mostly absorbed by debt.
2,074 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors compare traditional capital structure models against the alternative of a pecking order model of corporate financing, which predicts external debt financing driven by the internal financial deficit, has much greater time-series explanatory power than a static trade-off model which predicts that each firm adjusts gradually toward an optimal debt ratio.
1,805 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors test the pecking order theory of corporate leverage on a broad cross-section of publicly traded American firms for 1971 to 1998 and find that net equity issues track the financing deficit more closely than do net debt issues.
1,783 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider the effect of share price changes on market-valued leverage and conclude that firms do have target capital structures, as opposed to market timing or pecking order considerations, which explains a majority of the observed changes in capital structure.
Abstract: The literature provides conflicting assessments about how firms choose their capital structures, with the "tradeoff", pecking order, and market timing hypotheses all receiving some empirical support. Distinguishing among these theories requires that we know whether firms have long-run leverage targets and (if so) how quickly they adjust toward them. Yet many previous researchers have relied on empirical specifications that fail to recognize the potential impact of adjustment costs on a firm's observed leverage. Likewise, few researchers have incorporated the effect of share price changes on market-valued leverage. We estimate a relatively general, partial-adjustment model of firm leverage decisions, and conclude that firms do have target capital structures. The typical firm closes more than half the gap between its actual and its target debt ratios within two years. 'Targeting' behavior as opposed to market timing or pecking order considerations explains a majority of the observed changes in capital structure.
1,556 citations