Stochastic process

About: Stochastic process is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 31227 publications have been published within this topic receiving 898736 citations. The topic is also known as: random process & stochastic processes.

Stochastic process with ultraslow convergence to a Gaussian: The truncated Lévy flight.

Abstract: We introduce a class of stochastic process, the truncated L\'evy flight (TLF), in which the arbitrarily large steps of a L\'evy flight are eliminated. We find that the convergence of the sum of $n$ independent TLFs to a Gaussian process can require a remarkably large value of $n$---typically $n\ensuremath{\approx}{10}^{4}$ in contrast to $n\ensuremath{\approx}10$ for common distributions. We find a well-defined crossover between a L\'evy and a Gaussian regime, and that the crossover carries information about the relevant parameters of the underlying stochastic process.

Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance

Abstract: In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets Many well-known aspects, such as the Levy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory The theory fully takes into account the non-Markovian and non-local character of financial time series Predictions on the long-time behaviour of the waiting-time probability density are presented Finally, a general scaling form is given, based on the solution of the fractional diffusion equation

The finite state projection algorithm for the solution of the chemical master equation.

Abstract: This article introduces the finite state projection (FSP) method for use in the stochastic analysis of chemically reacting systems. One can describe the chemical populations of such systems with probability density vectors that evolve according to a set of linear ordinary differential equations known as the chemical master equation (CME). Unlike Monte Carlo methods such as the stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) or tau leaping, the FSP directly solves or approximates the solution of the CME. If the CME describes a system that has a finite number of distinct population vectors, the FSP method provides an exact analytical solution. When an infinite or extremely large number of population variations is possible, the state space can be truncated, and the FSP method provides a certificate of accuracy for how closely the truncated space approximation matches the true solution. The proposed FSP algorithm systematically increases the projection space in order to meet prespecified tolerance in the total probability density error. For any system in which a sufficiently accurate FSP exists, the FSP algorithm is shown to converge in a finite number of steps. The FSP is utilized to solve two examples taken from the field of systems biology, and comparisons are made between the FSP, the SSA, and tau leaping algorithms. In both examples, the FSP outperforms the SSA in terms of accuracy as well as computational efficiency. Furthermore, due to very small molecular counts in these particular examples, the FSP also performs far more effectively than tau leaping methods.

Quantum Brownian motion in a general environment: Exact master equation with nonlocal dissipation and colored noise.

Abstract: We use the influence functional path-integral method to derive an exact master equation for the quantum Brownian motion of a particle linearly coupled to a general environment (ohmic, subohmic, or supraohmic) at arbitrary temperature and apply it to study certain aspects of the loss of quantum coherence.

Bayesian Prediction of Deterministic Functions, with Applications to the Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments

Abstract: This article is concerned with prediction of a function y(t) over a (multidimensional) domain T, given the function values at a set of “sites” {t (1), t (2), …, t (n)} in T, and with the design, that is, with the selection of those sites. The motivating application is the design and analysis of computer experiments, where t determines the input to a computer model of a physical or behavioral system, and y(t) is a response that is part of the output or is calculated from it. Following a Bayesian formulation, prior uncertainty about the function y is expressed by means of a random function Y, which is taken here to be a Gaussian stochastic process. The mean of the posterior process can be used as the prediction function ŷ(t), and the variance can be used as a measure of uncertainty. This kind of approach has been used previously in Bayesian interpolation and is strongly related to the kriging methods used in geostatistics. Here emphasis is placed on product linear and product cubic correlation func...