Topic
Surprise
About: Surprise is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 4371 publications have been published within this topic receiving 99386 citations.
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TL;DR: The 2003 outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome took the province of Ontario, Canada, by surprise and several of the control strategies were difficult to implement and resulted in considerable confusion, fear, and costs.
Abstract: The 2003 outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome took the province of Ontario, Canada, by surprise. A lack of planning and the decentralised nature of the health-care system meant that disruptive control measures had to be put in place to control the outbreak. Several of the control strategies were difficult to implement and resulted in considerable confusion, fear, and costs. We discuss these difficulties and offer suggestions for improving outbreak planning.
22 citations
TL;DR: This paper won a gold medal in the Religion category at the 2013 Independent Publisher Book Awards, but I was not aware of this while I was reading it. Nevertheless, the award came as no surprise to...
Abstract: This book won a gold medal in the Religion category at the 2013 Independent Publisher Book Awards, but I was not aware of this while I was reading it. Nevertheless, the award came as no surprise to...
22 citations
TL;DR: The recent incursion of historians into the "history of the family" raises a number of crucial problems from which anthropologists and sociologists seem to have shied away.
Abstract: The recent incursion of historians into the ‘history of the family’ raises a number of crucial problems from which anthropologists and sociologists seem to have shied away. Dealing with a topic new to the historical discipline, some of these historians have turned to anthropologists for theoretical inspiration. It will thus come as no surprise that what they have found and reproduced is the very conceptual discord so endemic in anthropological circles (see Laslett 1972 and Berkner 1975 for antithetical stances). This controversy, however, in one way represents only a minor aspect of the problem. Equally if not more important is the fact that the phenomena which fall under historical and sociological/anthropological investigation may not be the same after all. This is intrinsically related to their respective subject-matter and the type of evidence they have to rely upon.
22 citations
03 Apr 2017
TL;DR: In this article, a framework of factors supposedly characterizing the emergence of surprise in terms of individuals' interpretations and/or modifications of products' behavior and structure is proposed, and the results of a preliminary empirical investigation about the manifestation of unexpectedness according to such a framework are shown.
Abstract: Scholars argue about the role played by surprise in making new products creative. Different perspectives evaluate surprise as a nuance of novelty, an independent dimension, or an emotional reaction to new products. The paper proposes a framework of factors supposedly characterizing the emergence of surprise in terms of individuals’ interpretations and/or modifications of products’ behavior and structure. Moreover, it illustrates the outcomes of a preliminary empirical investigation about the manifestation of unexpectedness according to such a framework: the proposed factors have been checked by interpreting the motivations leading to the presence of surprise in 12 new lamps described in the literature. The experiment states the reasonability of the described factors and, as a consequence, the paper provides a contribution to better articulate the debate in the research arena.
22 citations
01 Jan 2008
TL;DR: In this article, Bracken, Bremmer and Gordon present a warning system for the case of a surprise attack in a nuclear power plant in the presence of deep uncertainty.
Abstract: 1. Introduction Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon 2. How to build a warning system Paul Bracken 3. Intelligence management as risk management: the case of surprise attack Uzi Arad 4. Nuclear proliferation epidemiology: uncertainty, surprise, and risk management Lewis A. Dunn 5. Precaution against terrorism Jessica Stern and Jonathan B. Wiener 6. Defense planning and risk management in the presence of deep uncertainty Paul K. Davis 7. Managing energy security risks in a changing world Coby van der Linde 8. What markets miss: political stability frameworks and country risk Preston Keat 9. The risk of failed state contagion Jeffrey Herbst 10. Conclusion: managing strategic surprise Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon.
22 citations