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Andrew F. Siegel

Researcher at University of Washington

Publications -  120
Citations -  9264

Andrew F. Siegel is an academic researcher from University of Washington. The author has contributed to research in topics: Capital asset pricing model & Yield curve. The author has an hindex of 40, co-authored 102 publications receiving 8908 citations. Previous affiliations of Andrew F. Siegel include Princeton University & Institute for Systems Biology.

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Book ChapterDOI

Probability

TL;DR: A good introduction to probability and uncertainty can be found in this paper , where the authors define a probability tree as a kind of decision tree (a decision tree) to organize and focus your thoughts in an organized way.
Journal ArticleDOI

Statistical Bias in the Newsvendor Model

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors consider the Newsvendor model where uncertain demand is assumed to follow a probabilistic distribution with known functional form, but unknown parameters, and they show that the classic maximized expected profit expression exhibits a positive systematic bias, where realized profits are overestimated.

Data-Driven Profit Estimation Error in the Newsvendor Model

TL;DR: It is proved that, if the empirical distribution is used to estimate the expected profit, this estimate exhibits a positive, statistically signi-cant bias, and an in-depth interpretation of the bias is provided, connecting it mathematically with a covariance term as well as visualizing the bias using areas under curves.