世界経済・社会統計 = World development indicators

In Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson, henceforth AJR, (2001), we advanced the hypothesis that the mortality rates faced by Europeans in different parts of the world after 1500 affected their willingness to establish settlements and choice of colonization strategy. Places that were relatively healthy (for Europeans) were—when they fell under European control—more likely to receive better economic and political institutions. In contrast, places where European settlers were less likely to go were more likely to have “extractive” institutions imposed. We also posited that this early pattern of institutions has persisted over time and influences the extent and nature of institutions in the modern world. On this basis, we proposed using estimates of potential European settler mortality as an instrument for institutional variation in former European colonies today. Data on settlers themselves are unfortunately patchy—particularly because not many went to places they believed, with good reason, to be most unhealthy. We therefore followed the lead of Curtin (1989 and 1998) who compiled data on the death rates faced by European soldiers in various overseas postings. 1 Curtin’s data were based on pathbreaking data collection and statistical work initiated by the British military in the mid-nineteenth century. These data became part of the foundation of both contemporary thinking about public health (for soldiers and for civilians) and the life insurance industry (as actuaries and executives considered the

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The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation

https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/shleifer/files/ip_corpgov.pdf

Investor Protection and Corporate Governance

The author argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth. There is evidence that the financial development level is a good predictor of future rates of economic growth, capital accumulation, and technological change. Moreover, cross-country, case-style, industry level and firm-level analysis document extensive periods when financial development crucially affects the speed and pattern of economic development. The author explains what the financial system does and how it affects, and is affected by, economic growth. Theory suggests that financial instruments, markets and institutions arise to mitigate the effects of information and transaction costs. A growing literature shows that differences in how well financial systems reduce information and transaction costs influence savings rates, investment decisions, technological innovation, and long-run growth rates. A less developed theoretical literature shows how changes in economic activity can influence financial systems. The author advocates a functional approach to understanding the role of financial systems in economic growth. This approach focuses on the ties between growth and the quality of the functions provided by the financial systems. The author discourages a narrow focus on one financial instrument, or a particular institution. Instead, the author addresses the more comprehensive question: What is the relationship between financial structure and the functioning of the financial system?

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Financial development and economic growth : views and agenda

1. Introduction and Overview. 2. Detecting Influential Observations and Outliers. 3. Detecting and Assessing Collinearity. 4. Applications and Remedies. 5. Research Issues and Directions for Extensions. Bibliography. Author Index. Subject Index.

Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity

We investigate how differences in legal and financial systems affect firms' use of external financing to fund growth. We show that in countries whose legal systems score high on an efficiency index, a greater proportion of firms use long-term external financing. An active, though not necessarily large, stock market and a large banking sector are also associated with externally financed firm growth. The increased reliance on external financing occurs in part because established firms in countries with well-functioning institutions have lower profit rates. Government subsidies to industry do not increase the proportion of firms relying on external financing. THE CORPORATE FINANCE LITERATURE suggests that market imperfections, caused by conflicts of interest and informational asymmetries between corporate insiders and investors, constrain firms in their ability to fund investment projects. The magnitude of these imperfections depends in part on the effectiveness of the legal and financial systems. Because these systems differ across countries, the literature implies that there should exist systematic cross-country differences in firms' ability to obtain external capital to finance investment. In this paper, we examine whether the underdevelopment of legal and financial systems does prevent firms in some countries from investing in potentially profitable growth opportunities. In particular, we focus on the use of long-term debt or external equity to fund growth (see our earlier work, Demirgut-Kunt and Maksimovic (1996a), which compares firms' financial structures in developed and developing countries and finds the greatest difference to be in the provision of long-term credit). We estimate a financial planning model to obtain the maximum growth rate that each firm in our thirty-country sample could attain without access to long-term financing. We then compare these predicted growth rates to growth rates realized by firms in countries with differing degrees of development in their legal and financial systems. Our approach enables us to identify specific characteristics of the legal and financial systems that are associated with long-term financing of firm growth. Thus, we provide a micro-level test of the hypoth

Law, finance, and firm growth

This study uses a new data set to assess whether capital structure theory is portable across countries with different institutional structures. We analyze capital structure choices of firms in 10 developing countries, and provide evidence that these decisions are affected by the same variables as in developed countries. However, there are persistent differences across countries, indicating that specific country factors are at work. Our findings suggest that although some of the insights from modern finance theory are portable across countries, much remains to be done to understand the impact of different institutional features on capital structure choices. OUR KNOWLEDGE OF CAPITAL STRUCTURES has mostly been derived from data from developed economies that have many institutional similarities. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the capital structure choices made by companies from developing countries that have different institutional structures. The prevailing view, for example Mayer ~1990!, seems to be that financial decisions in developing countries are somehow different. Mayer is the most recent researcher to use aggregate f low of funds data to differentiate between financial systems based on the “Anglo-Saxon” capital markets model and those based on a “Continental-German-Japanese” banking model. However, because Mayer’s data comes from aggregate f low of funds data and not from individual firms, there is a problem with this approach. The differences between private, public, and foreign ownership structures have a profound inf luence on such data, but the differences may tell us little about how profit-oriented firms make their individual financial decisions. This paper uses a new firm-level database to examine the financial structures of firms in a sample of 10 developing countries. Thus, this study helps determine whether the stylized facts we have learned from studies of developed countries apply only to these markets, or whether they have more general applicability. Our focus is on answering three questions:

Capital Structures in Developing Countries

Using a unique firm-level survey database covering 54 countries, we investigate the effect of financial, legal, and corruption problems on firms' growth rates. Whether these factors constrain growth depends on firm size. It is consistently the smallest firms that are most constrained. Financial and institutional development weakens the constraining effects of financial, legal, and corruption obstacles and it is again the small firms that benefit the most. There is only a weak relation between firms' perception of the quality of the courts in their country and firm growth. We also provide evidence that the corruption of bank officials constrains firm growth.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00727.x

Financial and Legal Constraints to Growth: Does Firm Size Matter?

Differences in interest margins reflect differences in bank characteristics, macroeconomic conditions, existing financial structure and taxation, regulation, and other institutional factors. Using bank data for 80 countries for 1988-95, Demirguc-Kunt and Huizinga show that differences in interest margins and bank profitability reflect various determinants: Bank characteristics. Macroeconomic conditions. Explicit and implicit bank taxes. Regulation of deposit insurance. General financial structure. Several underlying legal and institutional indicators. Controlling for differences in bank activity, leverage, and the macroeconomic environment, they find (among other things) that: Banks in countries with a more competitive banking sector-where banking assets constitute a larger share of GDP-have smaller margins and are less profitable. The bank concentration ratio also affects bank profitability; larger banks tend to have higher margins. Well-capitalized banks have higher net interest margins and are more profitable. This is consistent with the fact that banks with higher capital ratios have a lower cost of funding because of lower prospective bankruptcy costs. Differences in a bank's activity mix affect spread and profitability. Banks with relatively high noninterest-earning assets are less profitable. Also, banks that rely largely on deposits for their funding are less profitable, as deposits require more branching and other expenses. Similarly, variations in overhead and other operating costs are reflected in variations in bank interest margins, as banks pass their operating costs (including the corporate tax burden) on to their depositors and lenders. In developing countries foreign banks have greater margins and profits than domestic banks. In industrial countries, the opposite is true. Macroeconomic factors also explain variation in interest margins. Inflation is associated with higher realized interest margins and greater profitability. Inflation brings higher costs-more transactions and generally more extensive branch networks-and also more income from bank float. Bank income increases more with inflation than bank costs do. There is evidence that the corporate tax burden is fully passed on to bank customers in poor and rich countries alike. Legal and institutional differences matter. Indicators of better contract enforcement, efficiency in the legal system, and lack of corruption are associated with lower realized interest margins and lower profitability. This paper - a product of the Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study bank efficiency.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/546.pdf?abstractid=614949&rulid=18542&mirid=4

Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability: Some International Evidence

This paper presents recent research on access to finance by small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs). SMEs form a large part of private sector in many developed and developing countries. While cross-country research sheds doubt on a causal link between SMEs and economic development, there is substantial evidence that small firms face larger growth constraints and have less access to formal sources of external finance, potentially explaining the lack of SMEs’ contribution to growth. Financial and institutional development helps alleviate SMEs’ growth constraints and increase their access to external finance and thus levels the playing field between firms of different sizes. Specific financing tools such as leasing and factoring can be useful in facilitating greater access to finance even in the absence of well-developed institutions, as can systems of credit information sharing and a more competitive banking structure.

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Asli Demirguc-Kunt

Papers

Law, finance, and firm growth

Capital Structures in Developing Countries

Financial and Legal Constraints to Growth: Does Firm Size Matter?

Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability: Some International Evidence

Small and medium-size enterprises: Access to finance as a growth constraint