Social media plays a crucial role in shaping the worldview during election campaigns. Social media has been used as a medium for political campaigns and a tool for organizing protests; some of which have been peaceful, while others have led to riots. Previous research indicates that understanding user behaviour, particularly in terms of sentiments expressed during elections can give an indication of the election outcome. Recently, there has been tremendous progress in language modelling with deep learning via long short-term memory (LSTM) models and variants known as bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT). Motivated by these innovations, we develop a framework to model the US general elections. We investigate if sentiment analysis can provide a means to predict election outcomes. We use the LSTM and BERT language models for Twitter sentiment analysis leading to the US 2020 presidential elections. Our results indicate that sentiment analysis can provide a general basis for modelling election outcomes where the BERT model indicates Biden winning the elections.

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Biden vs Trump: Modeling US General Elections Using BERT Language Model

In this paper, we propose and showcase, for the first time, monocular multi-view layout estimation for warehouse racks and shelves. Unlike typical layout estimation methods, MVRackLay estimates multi-layered layouts, wherein each layer corresponds to the layout of a shelf within a rack. Given a sequence of images of a warehouse scene, a dual-headed Convolutional-LSTM architecture outputs segmented racks, the front and the top view layout of each shelf within a rack. With minimal effort, such an output is transformed into a 3D rendering of all racks, shelves and objects on the shelves, giving an accurate 3D depiction of the entire warehouse scene in terms of racks, shelves and the number of objects on each shelf. MVRackLay generalizes to a diverse set of warehouse scenes with varying number of objects on each shelf, number of shelves and in the presence of other such racks in the background. Further, MVRackLay shows superior performance vis-a-vis its single view counterpart, RackLay [1] in layout accuracy, quantized in terms of the mean IoU and mAP metrics. We also showcase a multi-view stitching of the 3D layouts resulting in a representation of the warehouse scene with respect to a global reference frame akin to a rendering of the scene from a SLAM pipeline. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first such work to portray a 3D rendering of a warehouse scene in terms of its semantic components - Racks, Shelves and Objects - all from a single monocular camera. 

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MVRackLay: Monocular Multi-View Layout Estimation for Warehouse Racks and Shelves

Social media has grown exponentially in a short period, coming to the forefront of communications and online interactions. Despite their rapid growth, social media platforms have been unable to scale to different languages globally and remain inaccessible to many. In this paper, we characterize Koo, a multilingual micro-blogging site that rose in popularity in 2021, as an Indian alternative to Twitter. We collected a dataset of 4.07 million users, 163.12 million follower-following relationships, and their content and activity across 12 languages. We study the user demographic along the lines of language, location, gender, and profession. The prominent presence of Indian languages in the discourse on Koo indicates the platform's success in promoting regional languages. We observe Koo's follower-following network to be much denser than Twitter's, comprising of closely-knit linguistic communities. An N-gram analysis of posts on Koo shows a #KooVsTwitter rhetoric, revealing the debate comparing the two platforms. Our characterization highlights the dynamics of the multilingual social network and its diverse Indian user base.

What's Kooking? Characterizing India's Emerging Social Network, Koo

Coordinated disinformation campaigns are used to influence social media users, potentially leading to offline violence. In this study, we introduce a general methodology to uncover coordinated messaging through analysis of user parleys on Parler. The proposed method constructs a user-to-user coordination network graph induced by a user-to-text graph and a text-to-text similarity graph. The text-to-text graph is constructed based on the textual similarity of Parler posts. We study three influential groups of users in the 6 January 2020 Capitol riots and detect networks of coordinated user clusters that are all posting similar textual content in support of different disinformation narratives related to the U.S. 2020 elections.

Coordinating Narratives and the Capitol Riots on Parler

Most platforms, including Reddit, face a dilemma when applying interventions such as subreddit bans to toxic communities -- do they risk angering their user base by proactively enforcing stricter controls on discourse or do they defer interventions at the risk of eventually triggering negative media reactions which might impact their advertising revenue? In this paper, we analyze Reddit's previous administrative interventions to understand one aspect of this dilemma: the relationship between the media and administrative interventions. More specifically, we make two primary contributions. First, using a mediation analysis framework, we find evidence that Reddit's interventions for violating their content policy for toxic content occur because of media pressure. Second, using interrupted time series analysis, we show that media attention on communities with toxic content only increases the problematic behavior associated with that community (both within the community itself and across the platform). However, we find no significant difference in the impact of administrative interventions on subreddits with and without media pressure. Taken all together, this study provides evidence of a media-driven moderation strategy at Reddit and also suggests that such a strategy may not have a significantly different impact than a more proactive strategy.

Reddit and the Fourth Estate: Exploring the magnitude and effects of media influence on community level moderation on Reddit.

On 6 January 2021, a mob of right-wing conservatives stormed the USA Capitol Hill interrupting the session of congress certifying 2020 Presidential election results. Immediately after the start of the event, posts related to the riots started to trend on social media. A social media platform which stood out was a free speech endorsing social media platform Parler; it is being claimed as the platform on which the riots were planned and talked about. Our report presents a contrast between the trending content on Parler and Twitter around the time of riots. We collected data from both platforms based on the trending hashtags and draw comparisons based on what are the topics being talked about, who are the people active on the platforms and how organic is the content generated on the two platforms. While the content trending on Twitter had strong resentments towards the event and called for action against rioters and inciters, Parler content had a strong conservative narrative echoing the ideas of voter fraud similar to the attacking mob. We also find a disproportionately high manipulation of traffic on Parler when compared to Twitter.

Capitol (Pat)riots: A comparative study of Twitter and Parler

Given a monocular colour image of a warehouse rack, we aim to predict the bird's-eye view layout for each shelf in the rack, which we term as multi-layer layout prediction. To this end, we present RackLay, a deep neural network for real-time shelf layout estimation from a single image. Unlike previous layout estimation methods, which provide a single layout for the dominant ground plane alone, RackLay estimates the top-view and front-view layout for each shelf in the considered rack populated with objects. RackLay's architecture and its variants are versatile and estimate accurate layouts for diverse scenes characterized by varying number of visible shelves in an image, large range in shelf occupancy factor and varied background clutter. Given the extreme paucity of datasets in this space and the difficulty involved in acquiring real data from warehouses, we additionally release a flexible synthetic dataset generation pipeline WareSynth which allows users to control the generation process and tailor the dataset according to contingent application. The ablations across architectural variants and comparison with strong prior baselines vindicate the efficacy of RackLay as an apt architecture for the novel problem of multi-layered layout estimation. We also show that fusing the top-view and front-view enables 3D reasoning applications such as metric free space estimation for the considered rack.

Monocular Multi-Layer Layout Estimation for Warehouse Racks.

The COVID-19 pandemic has so far accounted for reported 5.5M deaths worldwide, with 8.7% of these coming from India. The pandemic exacerbated the weakness of the Indian healthcare system. As of January 20, 2022, India is the second worst affected country with 38.2M reported cases and 487K deaths. According to epidemiologists, vaccines are an essential tool to prevent the spread of the pandemic. India's vaccination drive began on January 16, 2021 with governmental policies being introduced to prioritize different populations of the society. Through the course of the vaccination drive, multiple new policies were also introduced to ensure that vaccines are readily available and vaccination coverage is increased. However, at the same time, some of the government policies introduced led to unintended inequities in the populations being targeted. In this report, we enumerate and analyze the inequities that existed in India's vaccination policy drive, and also compute the effect of the new policies that were introduced. We analyze these potential inequities not only qualitatively but also quantitatively by leveraging the data that was made available through the government portals. Specifically, (a) we discover inequities that might exist in the policies, (b) we quantify the effect of new policies introduced to increase vaccination coverage, and (c) we also point the data discrepancies that exist across different data sources.

Co-WIN: Really Winning? Analysing Inequity in India's Vaccination Response

Online social networks like Twitter actively monitor their platform to identify accounts that go against their rules. Twitter enforces account level moderation, i.e. suspension of a Twitter account in severe cases of platform abuse. A point of note is that these suspensions are sometimes temporary and even incorrect. Twitter provides a redressal mechanism to 'restore' suspended accounts. We refer to all suspended accounts who later have their suspension reversed as 'restored accounts'. In this paper, we release the firstever dataset and methodology 1 to identify restored accounts. We inspect account properties and tweets of these restored accounts to get key insights into the effects of suspension.We build a prediction model to classify an account into normal, suspended or restored. We use SHAP values to interpret this model and identify important features. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) is a method to explain individual predictions. We show that profile features like date of account creation and the ratio of retweets to total tweets are more important than content-based features like sentiment scores and Ekman emotion scores when it comes to classification of an account as normal, suspended or restored. We investigate restored accounts further in the pre-suspension and post-restoration phases. We see that the number of tweets per account drop by 53.95% in the post-restoration phase, signifying less 'spammy' behaviour after reversal of suspension. However, there was no substantial difference in the content of the tweets posted in the pre-suspension and post-restoration phases.

Avinash Prabhu

Papers

Capitol (Pat)riots: A comparative study of Twitter and Parler

Monocular Multi-Layer Layout Estimation for Warehouse Racks.

Co-WIN: Really Winning? Analysing Inequity in India's Vaccination Response

I'll be back: Examining Restored Accounts On Twitter

RackLay: Multi-Layer Layout Estimation for Warehouse Racks.