: This thesis applies neural network feature selection techniques to multivariate time series data to improve prediction of a target time series. Two approaches to feature selection are used. First, a subset enumeration method is used to determine which financial indicators are most useful for aiding in prediction of the S&P 500 futures daily price. The candidate indicators evaluated include RSI, Stochastics and several moving averages. Results indicate that the Stochastics and RSI indicators result in better prediction results than the moving averages. The second approach to feature selection is calculation of individual saliency metrics. A new decision boundary-based individual saliency metric, and a classifier independent saliency metric are developed and tested. Ruck's saliency metric, the decision boundary based saliency metric, and the classifier independent saliency metric are compared for a data set consisting of the RSI and Stochastics indicators as well as delayed closing price values. The decision based metric and the Ruck metric results are similar, but the classifier independent metric agrees with neither of the other metrics. The nine most salient features, determined by the decision boundary based metric, are used to train a neural network and the results are presented and compared to other published results. (AN)

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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis.

The theory and practice of unmanned aerial vehicle UAV capture and control via Global Positioning System GPS signal spoofing are analyzed and demonstrated. The goal of this work is to explore UAV vulnerability to deceptive GPS signals. Specifically, this paper 1 establishes the necessary conditions for UAV capture via GPS spoofing, and 2 explores the spoofer's range of possible post-capture control over the UAV. A UAV is considered captured when a spoofer gains the ability to eventually specify the UAV's position and velocity estimates. During post-capture control, the spoofer manipulates the true state of the UAV, potentially resulting in the UAV flying far from its flight plan without raising alarms. Both overt and covert spoofing strategies are considered, as distinguished by the spoofer's attempts to evade detection by the target GPS receiver and by the target navigation system's state estimator, which is presumed to have access to non-GPS navigation sensor data. GPS receiver tracking loops are analyzed and tested to assess the spoofer's capability for covert capture of a mobile target. The coupled dynamics of a UAV and spoofer are analyzed and simulated to explore practical post-capture control scenarios. A field test demonstrates capture and rudimentary control of a rotorcraft UAV, which results in unrecoverable navigation errors that cause the UAV to crash.

Unmanned Aircraft Capture and Control Via GPS Spoofing

The field of flexible electronics has rapidly expanded over the last decades, pioneering novel applications, such as wearable and textile integrated devices, seamless and embedded patch-like systems, soft electronic skins, as well as imperceptible and transient implants. The possibility to revolutionize our daily life with such disruptive appliances has fueled the quest for electronic devices which yield good electrical and mechanical performance and are at the same time light-weight, transparent, conformable, stretchable, and even biodegradable. Flexible metal oxide semiconductor thin-film transistors (TFTs) can fulfill all these requirements and are therefore considered the most promising technology for tomorrow's electronics. This review reflects the establishment of flexible metal oxide semiconductor TFTs, from the development of single devices, large-area circuits, up to entirely integrated systems. First, an introduction on metal oxide semiconductor TFTs is given, where the history of the field is revisited, the TFT configurations and operating principles are presented, and the main issues and technological challenges faced in the area are analyzed. Then, the recent advances achieved for flexible n-type metal oxide semiconductor TFTs manufactured by physical vapor deposition methods and solution-processing techniques are summarized. In particular, the ability of flexible metal oxide semiconductor TFTs to combine low temperature fabrication, high carrier mobility, large frequency operation, extreme mechanical bendability, together with transparency, conformability, stretchability, and water dissolubility is shown. Afterward, a detailed analysis of the most promising metal oxide semiconducting materials developed to realize the state-of-the-art flexible p-type TFTs is given. Next, the recent progresses obtained for flexible metal oxide semiconductor-based electronic circuits, realized with both unipolar and complementary technology, are reported. In particular, the realization of large-area digital circuitry like flexible near field communication tags and analog integrated circuits such as bendable operational amplifiers is presented. The last topic of this review is devoted for emerging flexible electronic systems, from foldable displays, power transmission elements to integrated systems for large-area sensing and data storage and transmission. Finally, the conclusions are drawn and an outlook over the field with a prediction for the future is provided.

/pdf/metal-oxide-semiconductor-thin-film-transistors-for-flexible-16f7s8g8at.pdf

Metal oxide semiconductor thin-film transistors for flexible electronics

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/iel5/5/31324/01456901.pdf

Microelectronic circuits

This expanded and thoroughly revised edition of Thomas H. Lee's acclaimed guide to the design of gigahertz RF integrated circuits features a completely new chapter on the principles of wireless systems. The chapters on low-noise amplifiers, oscillators and phase noise have been significantly expanded as well. The chapter on architectures now contains several examples of complete chip designs that bring together all the various theoretical and practical elements involved in producing a prototype chip. First Edition Hb (1998): 0-521-63061-4 First Edition Pb (1998); 0-521-63922-0

The Design of CMOS Radio-Frequency Integrated Circuits: RF CIRCUITS THROUGH THE AGES

The structure and operating principle of ring oscillators (RO) have been described. The expression for the frequency of oscillation of a complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) delay cell based conventional ring oscillator is presented and propagation delay of the delay stages is calculated. The limitations of a conventional RO have been studied and a few techniques to overcome these limitations have been mentioned. In this context, some modified structures of ring oscillators such as negative skewed delay RO, multi feedback RO, coupled RO are described for high frequency oscillation. The effect of noise sources on the output of ring oscillators has also been studied. Some potential applications of such ring oscillator based on its voltage tuning characteristics and multiphase outputs are also mentioned.

http://nopr.niscair.res.in/bitstream/123456789/7244/1/IJPAP%2048(2)%20136-145.pdf

Ring oscillators: Characteristics and applications

The present paper reports the design and analysis of a new time-delayed chaotic system and its electronic circuit implementation. The system is described by a first-order nonlinear retarded type delay differential equation with a closed form mathematical function describing the nonlinearity. We carry out stability and bifurcation analysis to show that with the suitable delay and system parameters the system shows sustained oscillation through supercritical Hopf bifurcation. It is shown through numerical simulations that the system depicts bifurcation and chaos for a certain range of the system parameters. The complexity and predictability of the system are characterized by Lyapunov exponents and Kaplan–York dimension. It is shown that, for some suitably chosen system parameters, the system shows hyperchaos even for a small or moderate delay. Finally, we set up an experiment to implement the proposed system in electronic circuit using off-the-shelf circuit elements, and it is shown that the behavior of the time delay chaotic electronic circuit agrees well with our analytical and numerical results.

Design and analysis of a first order time-delayed chaotic system

Nonlinear dynamics of a third-order zero crossing digital phase locked loop (ZCDPLL) has been investigated. It has been observed that, while first and second-order ZCDPLLs show period doubling route to chaos, a third-order ZCDPLL manifests a disjoint periodic attractor in its route to chaos. Also, the complexity and predictability of the system dynamics have been characterized by using nonlinear dynamical measures such as Lyapunov exponent, Kaplan–York dimension, correlation dimension and Kolmogorov entropy. All the results show that the chaos in a third-order ZCDPLL is low dimensional.

Chaos and bifurcation in a third-order digital phase-locked loop

This paper explores the synchronization scenario of coupled chaotic and hyperchaotic time delay systems that are coupled through linear, dissipative and unidirectional coupling. For the present study, we choose a prototype first-order nonlinear time delay system, which is recently reported in Banerjee et al. (Nonlinlinear. Dyn., doi:
 10.1007/s11071-012-0490-3
 , 2012); the system shows well-characterized chaotic and hyperchaotic oscillations even for a small time delay, and also, experimental implementation of the system is easy. We show that, keeping all the system design parameters the same for the two systems, if the time delays associated with the two systems are equal, then complete synchronization occurs beyond a threshold coupling strength. On the contrary, above a certain coupling strength, generalized synchronization between two identical coupled systems occurs for the unequal time delays. We derive an estimate of the coupling strength and sufficient stability conditions for all the synchronization processes using Krasovskii–Lyapunov theory. We simulate the coupled system numerically to support the analytical results. Also, we implement the coupled system in an electronic circuit to verify all the synchronization phenomena. It is shown that the experimental results agree well with our analytical and numerical results.

Complete and generalized synchronization of chaos and hyperchaos in a coupled first-order time-delayed system

Two simple autonomous chaotic electronic circuits have been proposed in this paper. The core of each of the circuits consists of a single amplifier biquad (SAB). We have proposed two configurations of converting this SAB into chaotic oscillators using suitable passive nonlinear element and a storage element in the form of an inductor. The mathematical models of the proposed chaotic circuits have been constructed, which are fourth order autonomous nonlinear differential equations. The behavior of the proposed circuits has been investigated through numerical simulations, Spice-based circuit simulations and electronic hardware experiments and they agree well with each other. It has been found that both the circuits show complex behaviors like bifurcations and chaos for a certain range of circuit parameters.

Bishnu Charan Sarkar

Papers

Ring oscillators: Characteristics and applications

Design and analysis of a first order time-delayed chaotic system

Chaos and bifurcation in a third-order digital phase-locked loop

Complete and generalized synchronization of chaos and hyperchaos in a coupled first-order time-delayed system

Single amplifier biquad based autonomous electronic oscillators for chaos generation