Representing and Intervening

Mark Duffield's second edition of ‘Global Governance and the New Wars’ offers an important and biting critique of how different actors within the security and development discourse have adapted to 

Global Governance and the New Wars: The Merging of Development and Security

Ellen Mickiewicz has done an excellent job of presenting the key elements of our argument and empirical analysis about why the mainstream press proved incapable of independent news framing at critical junctures in the Iraq War. She then raises a series of excellent broader questions: What about the responsibility of government institutions to hold those in power accountable? What about the independent force of public opinion? Were earlier administrations as able to spin the press as successfully as the Bush administration? Each of these questions might well fuel a book. I can only address them briefly in this response.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S153759270999171X

Response to Ellen Mickiewicz's review of When the Press Fails: Political Power and the News Media from Iraq to Katrina

The sources of military doctrine: France, Britain, and Germany between the world wars

The article of record as published may be located at http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13523260600821640

https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/10945/38372/1/CSP-27-2-book-reviews.pdf

Book Reviews: Military Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle

Europe is the region of the world where the network of security institutions is the densest. Yet, these institutions did not erase differences about conceptions of force employment among European c...

Is there a European way of war?: Role conceptions, organizational frames, and the utility of force

Most empirical contributions to the normative power Europe (NPE) debate concentrate on whether and when the EU promotes its core internal norms abroad. In contrast, we investigate how norms emerging from international fora come to be accepted and internalised by the EU in the first place. We examine the case of the emerging responsibility to protect norm (R2P) and argue that the EU’s implementation has been more limited and slower than one would expect from the NPE procedural ethics of ‘living by example’. We examine the potential reasons for this failure to ‘live by example’: the role of persuasion by norm entrepreneurs; the role of inducements and costs; the goodness of fit between R2P and existing EU norms; and the clarity of the norm. We find that the lack of goodness of fit and clarity of the norm are important factors, but argue that low levels of bureaucratic receptivity were the greatest obstacle.

/pdf/living-by-example-the-european-union-and-the-implementation-3orkgovaj9.pdf

‘Living by Example?’ The European Union and the Implementation of the Responsibility to Protect (R2P)

The paper takes stock of the debate about the so-called warning-response-gap regarding armed conflict within states. It argues that while the existing literature has focused strongly on “better prediction,” it has neglected the analysis of the conditions under which warnings are being noticed, accepted, prioritized and responded to by policy-makers. This has led to a simplistic understanding of how communicative, cognitive and political processes involving a range of actors can influence both the perception as well as the response to warnings. The paper also criticizes that many normative judgments about the desirability of preventive action are suffering from hindsight bias and insufficient attention to balancing problems related to risk substitution, opportunity costs and moral hazard. In response to these deficits, the paper puts forward a modified model of warning as a persuasive process. It can help us to ascertain under what circumstances warning succeed in overcoming cognitive and political barriers to preventive action and to help establishing benchmarks for assessing success and failure from a normative perspective.

Recasting the Warning-Response Problem: Persuasion and Preventive Policy

Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention C.De Franco & C.O.Meyer PART I: FORECASTING HARM The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction D.Omand Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure' J.Goldman Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project V.Brummer , C.Burnley, H.Carlsen, A.Duta, B.Giegerich & R.Magoni Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support F.Wagner Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime T.Van Der Beken PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War C.De Franco & C.O.Meyer Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective W.Shapcott Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union D.Demeritt & S.Nobert Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention M.S.Gerstein & E.H.Schein PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective C.Crossin & J.Smither From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance H.Rothstein, O.Borraz & M.Huber Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis G.Tett Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance T.F.Huertas Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats W.H.Fishbein Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks C.O.Meyer & C.De Franco

Forecasting, warning and responding to transnational risks

Acknowledgements Introduction PART I: MEDIA POWER: A RADICAL VIEW Media Effects Media Power For a new analytical framework The sources of power: The image and the Arena A Four-dimensional definition Two Case Studies Looking for Media Effects PART II: POWER OVER THE AGENDA 'Agending' Kosovo 'Agending' Afghanistan Comparison and Conclusions PART III: POWER OVER THE PROCESS Real Time Kosovo Real Time Afghanistan Comparison and Conclusions PART IV: POWER OVER THE CHANNEL Media Diplomacy In Kosovo Media Diplomacy in Afghanistan Comparison and Conclusions PART V: POWER OVER THE INSTRUMENTS Kosovo's Semiotic War The Airstrikes Afghanistan's Semiotic War Operation Enduring Freedom Comparison and Conclusions PART VI: CONCLUSIONS Media Power Clarified The Medium and the System Implications for Warfare What's Next Notes

Chiara de Franco

Papers

Is there a European way of war?: Role conceptions, organizational frames, and the utility of force

‘Living by Example?’ The European Union and the Implementation of the Responsibility to Protect (R2P)

Recasting the Warning-Response Problem: Persuasion and Preventive Policy

Forecasting, warning and responding to transnational risks

Media Power and The Transformation of War