Showing papers by "Dean Keith Simonton published in 1977"
TL;DR: Using a multivariate cross-sectional time-series design with several controls, the lives and works of 10 classical composers were analyzed into consecutive 5-year age periods and it was consistently found that quality of productivity is a probabilistic consequence of productive quantity.
Abstract: The determinants of creative productivity were specified in the form of six hypotheses. Using a multivariate cross-sectional time-series design with several controls, the lives and works of 10 classical composers were analyzed into consecutive 5-year age periods. Two independent measures of productivity were operationalized (works and themes), with each measure subdivided into major and minor compositions according to a citation criterion. It was consistently found across both productivity measures that (a) quality of productivity is a probabilistic consequence of productive quantity and (b) total productivity, while affected by age and physical illness, is otherwise free of external influences (viz., social reinforcement, biographical stress, war intensity, and internal disturbances). Due to the more selective nature of the thematic productivity measure, the criterion of total themes alone was affected by competition and a time-wise bias. The article closes with a brief discussion of the broad substantive utility of the methodological design.
212 citations
TL;DR: In this article, alternative analytical procedures are developed for cross-sectional time series in which the sample size is large and the model is not restricted to a single case model, thereby limiting the general applicability of the designs.
Abstract: In the past, statistical analyses for time-series experiments have usually operated with a single-case model, thereby limiting the general applicability of the designs. In this article, alternative analytical procedures are developed for cross-sectional time-series in which the sample size is large
153 citations
104 citations
TL;DR: The authors found that women tend to wear the short "Empire" mode, whereas international war encourages the long, "hour glass" mode and intranational peace favors the long Empire mode.
Abstract: Previous research has suggested that the fashion changes in women's dress may be influenced by contemporary political context. This suggestion was tested for European women from 1797 to 1936. International war was found to induce women to wear the short "Empire" mode, whereas international peace was found to encourage the long, "Hour Glass" mode. By comparison, intranational war apparently nurtures the short Hour Glass mode, while intranational peace favors the long Empire mode. Contrary to the conclusions of prior research, the fashion behavior of women does not become more unstable during political conflicts.
6 citations