Power system reliability assessment—A conceptual and historical review

An Investigation of the Economic Size of Steam-Electric Generating Units [includes discussion]

Determination of Reserve Capacity by the Probability Method

Reliability measures how well a system can be expected to perform its intended purpose; it is expressed as a probability function with time and environment as variables. This paper discusses the mechanics of component failure and repair and shows that power system behavior follows a Markov process. The reliability of simple system configurations is evaluated analytically by solving the Markov equations. The reliability of complex systems is more easily evaluated by the use of digital computer simulation. The simulation method is described.

E. S. Loane

Papers

Probability Methods Applied to Generating Capacity Problems of a Combined Hydro and Steam System